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Monday, May 10, 2010

MLB Handicapping: Blue Jays vs Red Sox

Courtesy of OddsShark.com:

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet at Fenway Park.
The Blue Jays will give the ball to starter Brandon Morrow in this one. Righthander Morrow is 2-2 this season with a 5.40 ERA.
Meanwhile, it'll be John Lackey who starts for the Red Sox. Righthander Lackey is 3-1 with a 3.89 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 180-moneyline favorites versus the Blue Jays, while the game's total has not yet been posted.
The Blue Jays defeated Chicago 9-7 as a +100 underdog on Sunday. The 16 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (8.5).
Fred Lewis hit a three-run home run in the ninth inning for Toronto and Vernon Wells hit a two-run home run in the win.
The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 9-3 as a -105 favorite on Sunday. The 12 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).
Jeremy Hermida homered and drove in three runs for Boston and Jon Lester allowed two runs on four this with seven strikeouts in seven innings.
Team records:
Toronto: 19-14 SU
Boston: 16-16 SU
Toronto most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Chi White Sox are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

Boston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing NY Yankees are 2-8
After a win are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Next up:
Boston home to Toronto, Tuesday, May 11

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