I was close to making this a pay play because getting around 130ish at home with Chris Volstad and the solid enough Marlins is a good value against pretty much anybody.
Jeff Niemann is really good and the Rays are obviously an upper eschelon club led by studs in Crawford, Longoria and Pena. I'm not saying that Tampa won't walk off the field here as the winner but to think they do so 150 or so out of 250 times is just too much and that is about what the odds are suggesting (at least as I write this with the price being around 150).
Florida probably doesn't have a shot to win 90 games like Tampa or get to the playoffs but Volstad is a quality young hurler and at home Hanley Ramirez and the Marlins are not bad at all. Cantu, Uggle and the rest of the fish upset Niemann and the Rays at the Trop last week and I just see no reason why lightning can't strike twice today down in South Beach.
This game is very even in my book and to get any money back at home with Florida is good enough.
Free pick: Florida +128 at SportsBook
For more information: 24 of 41 winning days after the sweet 2-1 Friday with the Mets plus 175 and the Marlins plus 150. That's some more serious profit as I am now up 2.6 million* during the month plus.
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