Here is dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping.
The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt is Kansas City by .9.
Passing yards per completion says the more productive passing squad is neither as it's a push.
Betting specialists employ yards per point, a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Baltimore by .8.
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Now it's time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush says the tougher defense is Baltimore by .4.
In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive checkmark in the column of Baltimore by .7.
The often overlooked yards per point defensive advantage is possessed by Baltimore, which forces 2.7 more.
The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Kansas City by .1.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Baltimore is 5-1 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game, 9-3 after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 26-10 grass.
Kansas City 6-1 off straight up loss, 1-6 to AFC.
Over/under trends: Baltimore over 39-19 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs over 6-1 to teams with a winning record, over 18-6 after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
