Sports betting, sports handicapping, gambling information, betting odds, daily notes, exclusive sportsbook bonuses, sports handicapping articles, by the top online sports betting expert Joe Duffy. It's the same JD of the ACC you've known for years, the NFL pointspread VegasAdvisor.
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
It’s the last day of the huge preseason football sale for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com. Details at OffshoreInsiders.com
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· Adam Eaton is 5-2 lifetime to the Cubs
· Brandon Webb is 3-6 to
· Mike Mussina has a team -24 units the last two years as a 150 or more favorite
Monday, July 30, 2007
Two days left for the huge sale at GodsTips.com
· Andy Sonnanstine is 1-6 this year
· Gil Meche is 5-1 lifetime to
· Kelvim Escobar is 5-8 lifetime to
· Miguel Batista has a 6.75 ERA to
· Kenny Rogers is 21-7 lifetime to
· Ted Lilly is 11-4 this year
· Cole Hamels is 11-5 for the year
Special incredible deal from GodsTips.com from now until end of preseason football, every play, every sport for less than the monthly price. Details at OffshoreInsiders.com
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· Kelvim Escobar is 8-0 with a 2.30 ERA lifetime to
· Livan Hernandez is 3-14 career to
Sunday, July 29, 2007
3-1 SATURDAY ALL DOGS, 2-0 WITH WISE GUY PLAYS ARIZ +123, BALT +155, 4 MAJORS + WISE GUY SUNDAY
The most published author in sports gaming strategy Joe Duffy of GodsTips.com does it again. We go 3-1 with four dogs. We nailed both Wise Guy plays with
Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
The Phillies are a perfect 5-0 at home with Kendrick. The home team is 7-1 in his starts. Ian Snell is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three starts. Philly is 4-1 in the series and the home team is 7-2 the last nine.
The Bucs have an embarrassing .275 OBP their last seven games. Philly has a .399 OBP in their last seven.
Saturday, July 28, 2007
Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal.
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· Mets over 23-5 as a favorite
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· Aaron Harang is 6-1 lifetime to
· Greg Maddux has a 26-13 lifetime record to
· Roy Oswalt is 6-1 career to
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Friday, July 27, 2007
All trends are ATS and from private and commercial databases used by the OffshoreInsiders.com elite handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com
· Andy Pettitte is 20-5 lifetime to
· Jon Garland is 8-2 lifetime to
· Paul Byrd is 7-3 lifetime to
· Tim Wakefield 16-2 career to
· Woody Williams is 4-0 career to
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· The Mets have gone under 22-5 as a favorite of more than 150
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Friday, July 27, 2007
All trends are ATS and from private and commercial databases used by the OffshoreInsiders.com elite handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com
· Andy Pettitte is 20-5 lifetime to
· Jon Garland is 8-2 lifetime to
· Paul Byrd is 7-3 lifetime to
· Tim Wakefield 16-2 career to
· Woody Williams is 4-0 career to
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· The Mets have gone under 22-5 as a favorite of more than 150
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ALERT: DIVISIONAL DANDY DOG OF THE DECADE TONIGHT AMONG 3 WISE GUY PLAYS
America’s Greatest has one of the biggest cards of the year to start out your weekend warrior three day pass at $45 or four-day at $55. We have our Divisional Dandy Dog of the Decade among three Wise Guy plays and two Majors. Dandy dogs are moneyline dogs of 140 or more (includes runline getting back 140 or more).
Go 5-0 with plenty of dogs among the winners including that huge Dandy Dog. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
GodsTips.com has been on fire since getting back to basics and has two night winners now at OffshoreInsiders.com
MLB
· Byung-Hyun Kim 1-5 8.56 ERA
· Brad Penny is 11-2 lifetime to
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· Mets under 22-4 as a favorite of 150 or more
· Justin Verlander 1-4 lifetime to White Sox with a 6.96 ERA
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5-3 LAST NIGHT, 7-4 THE LAST 11, 2 DAY WINNERS, 4 NIGHT! 2 NIGHT WISE GUY PLAYS
Promises Made, Promises Delivered continues our assault since getting back to basics. We go 5-3 last night and 7-4 with last two nights.
BALTIMORE (TRACHSEL -128)
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal.
· Erik Bedard has an 8-3 lifetime mark to
· Kenny Rogers is 16-8 lifetime to the White Sox
· Jose Contreras is 8-4 lifetime to
· The Mets have gone under 22-4 as a favorite of 150 or more
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· Mike Mussina has a lifetime record of 15-7 to
· Joe Blanton is 1-6 lifetime to
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· John Lackey is 10-3 in his career to
· Aaron Cook is 7-3 lifetime to
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2-1 LED BY ONLY WISE GUY BALTIMORE, 2 WG, 6 MAJORS
Wow folks, it’s clearly one of the biggest days of the year. We have eight winners, seven are at night. We have two Wise Guy plays, both night winners. We are off another winning day and despite a slump along the way, since getting back to basics, our permanent domination of MLB continues. Go 8-0 now. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
Suppan has a 7.94 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in four career starts at Great America. All the splits day go with the tiny home chalk.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal.
MLB
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· The White Sox are 14-33 -19.3 against a bullpen with an ERA of 6.00 or worse over their last 15 games
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· Kelvim Escobar is 4-8 lifetime to
· Javier Vazquez is 1-4 career to
PHILLIES +190 LEAD US TO ANOTHER WINNING DAY, 2 MAJORS MONDAY
Fresh off a winning day yesterday thanks to Dandy Dog Philadelphia, we have two huge plays today (plus possible steam). Which team lost 10 straight with today’s pitcher facing a team that won eight straight with today’s starter?
Find out now as part of today’s sweep. Begin your weekly pass, it’s just $90. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
SEATTLE (RAMIREZ +115)
Going against favorites of 125-175 with a bullpen WHIP of 1.350 or better on the year with a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in each of his last two outings is +106.4 units.
Information is compiled from the top free databases at OffshoreInsiders.com
· Mark Buehrle has a career mark to
· Jake Westbrook is 3-1 lifetime to
· Roger Clemens is 20-6 in his career to
· Bartolo Colon is 6-3 career to
· Jeff Francis has a 4-8 lifetime record to
· Matt Cain has a team record of 0-12 in night games this year
· Johan Santana has a team mark of 38-3 last three years to
· Aaron Harang has a team record of 16-5 this year on grass
Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances. Team record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the decision.
Yet another betting scandal has come to the forefront, this time it involves NBA referee Tim Donaghy. So far, the allegations have not pinpointed any specific games under suspicion.
What has been disclosed is that the FBI is investigating games Donaghy officiated over the last two years to see if he intentionally made calls to influence the betting outcome.
Though the media has used the term “pointspread,” it is unclear whether they are aware of the gambling distinction meaning Donaghy’s bets were against the spread as opposed to totals.
I’ve watched as some of my colleagues have tried in vain to find a statistical smoking gun. Nobody has and in truth, in lieu of specific information such as how many games were involved and whether such bets were on pointspread, moneyline or over/under, etc. there is not likely to be damning evidence found in any database.
Instead, I will try a different approach of getting into the mind of a potential game fixer. If hypothetically I wanted to influence the betting outcome of an NBA game with the aid of an NBA ref, how would I do it without leaving telltale signs?
First and foremost, as a handicapper I am always looking for an edge, never naively banking on a sure thing. In other words, I never have, nor ever will bet the mortgage on any one game, but instead will look to hit 57 percent or higher over the long run.
Hence, with the knowledge that one referee in a three man crew could not with 100 percent certainty fix any one game without being apparent, my theoretical collusion with a referee would involve achieving the desired gambling result at least 60 percent of the time over a series of games.
Because the accusations do involve games over the previous two years, this appears to be a likely scenario.
Also I would focus on over/unders. This way a referee need not favor any one team. Not only would this make it much easier to conceal a bias, but if Donaghy were looking for ethical clearance, he can easily convince himself that his unfairness is not favoring either team, instead only affecting the flow of the game.
In such circumstances, a referee need only be much more aggressive in calling fouls, getting both teams in the penalty early and often. Furthermore, all borderline calls would come at the defensive end. What’s a charge?
And finally a referee could see to it the defensive specialists on each team would get into foul trouble early. Let’s say
Knowing that the top defensive players on each team will be limited in minutes and that each team will likely make more than normally expected trips to the free throw line more than qualifies as an “edge” to the gambler.
Of course once those teams get in the penalty nice and early, as part of the plan, the referee would be instructed that anytime a good free throw shooter is as much as breathed on, he’s going to the line. Simply put, there need not be preferential treatment towards any one team, just towards both offenses or in other theoretic situations, each defense.
It’s no coincidence I chose the Bulls and Pistons as a hypothetical illustration. Games with low totals going over or high totals going under would be the type of bets that would have the highest probability of influencing without being glaringly obvious.
Alas, according to the referee database at Covers.com, in the 2006-07 season, games Donaghy officiated went over 10-of-12 times if the posted total were 184.5 or less. Yet if the total were 205 or more, it went under at an 11-7 rate.
Far from a smoking gun, but when all details come out, it’s the educated opinion of this gambling veteran that the above imaginary scenarios will prove to be very close to the truth. I’ll even bet on it.
Joe Duffy is former General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the premier hub of world-class handicappers. Media inquiries to joeduffy@joeduffy.net
The Giants Barry Zito continues to disappoint. His road ERA is 5.43 and
