Sunday, December 27, 2015
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Tuesday, December 22, 2015
Saturday, December 19, 2015
Monday, December 07, 2015
Sunday, December 06, 2015
Sunday, September 20, 2015
The Dallas Cowboys are at the Philadelphia Eagles and Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a free pick against the spread on the contest.
PHILADELPHIA -5.5 Dallas
The Cowboys over the years have clearly better with DeMarco Murray, who is now with Philly. Murray struggled last week, but will certainly be primed to bounce back against Jerry Jones, the Cowboys owner who miscalculated when trying to re-sign Murray.
But so much worse is that WR Dez Bryant is out. He is far and away their best offensive weapon. The other wide receivers Terrence Williams, Cole Beasley, Devin Street are below average. Jason Whitten will have to have huge game, but the Eagles can totally focus on him.
Probably their best defensive player is Greg Hardy. The newly acquired DE is suspended. Last week’s great comeback by Dallas overshadowed Pokes struggled to a bad team in the NY Giants.
The Eagles Sam Bradford shook off rust early, showed why he was hand-picked by Chip Kelly. Against Dallas last week, the Giants had guys open all night said game film, with Kelly’s schemes Eagles will score big.
Seven NFL winners are up led by two Wise Guys including Home Underdog Game of the Year for Joe Duffy’s Picks. We also have one of our highly anticipated NFL moneyline underdogs. We have been winning in the NFL for 29 seasons and Sunday is just another short chapter. Joe Duffy’s Picks is 28-14 with all Wise Guy plays, so many MLB underdogs.
The Grandmaster has added two MLB Wise Guys, which have been primary source of our incredible recent run, though decades long it is every sport. Get Duffy’s winners now at OffshoreInsiders.com
As is usually the case, the public is unloading on road favorites in the NFL. Baltimore laying 5.5 on the road to the Oakland Raiders is preferred by 85 percent who placed a spread bet on that contest. However, the Miami Dolphins laying the same number at Jacksonville is actually favored by 87 percent. Tennessee -1 at Cleveland has 80 percent of bets. The most popular totals bet is San Diego and Cincinnati OVER by an 83-17 margin.
Get official betting preview of several NFL games for Sunday from Sports Betting Review and OffshoreInsiders.com
Key betting and fantasy football injuries include Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey very doubtful, Bills RB LeSean McCoy questionable. Of course Texans RB Arian Foster remains out. In addition to Bryant, the Giants Victor Cruz, Cardinals Andre Ellington, and Redskins DeSean Jackson are topping the list of players who are out.
Wednesday, September 16, 2015
The NFL Thursday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs is not following normal form when it comes to betting trends, though Clemson vs. Louisville is.
Kansas City opened as a 1.5-point favorite and has been bet up to -3 and -120. The total has dropped from 46 to 41.5. Gamblers prefer to bet favorites, though Kansas City has garnered a modest 55 percent of bets, with 69-of-100 on the over.
Clemson is laying -6 on the road with a total of 52. The line is up 1.5 points from the opener with the total down two-points. Sportsbook trends have 72 percent betting on road favorite Tigers with a stunning 77 percent putting their hard-earned money on the over.
In Louisville for the college game, weather should be no factor at all with temperatures very comfortable in the upper-to-mid 70s with winds never exceeding 6 mph.
At Arrowhead Stadium, meteorological conditions could be a factor. Thunderstorms could be a factor with likelihood increasing as the game goes on. However winds will decrease starting at 9 mph at game time but dropping.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Sportsbook trends for the ESPN double-header are showing that gamblers are sticking to the usual tendencies and biases. As per usual, the public favors the road favorite and the over.
NFL bettors are confident of finishing off a spectacular week 1 of betting with the traditional week 1 Monday Night Football double-header. At 7:10 ET, the Philadelphia Eagles are at the Atlanta Falcons laying 3-points on the road with just -105 juice. The total is 54.5. The Minnesota Vikings are at the San Francisco 49ers. The Vikings are laying -1.5 with a total of 41.5.
In the early contest, 75 percent of spread bets are on the Eagles with 74 on the over. A similar ratio is on the 10:20 ET kickoff with 72 percent on the Vikings and 73 percent on the over.
Now for spread betting intel on the two games:
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Philadelphia is 10-4 MNF, while Atlanta is 2-7 on turf.
Over/under angles: Philadelphia has gone over 4-0 MNF and 7-2 overall. The Falcons have gone under 9-3 overall.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Minnesota is 0-6 on Monday Night Football, while San Francisco is a stunning 23-6 under the same situation.
Over/under angles: San Francisco has gone under 6-1 at home, while Minnesota has gone over 7-2 on Monday Night Football.
Joe Duffy’s Picks college and pro, pre and regular season combined now 29-14. Oh we won in MLB too. In fact, despite so many underdogs and small favorites we are 26-14 overall. We are 25-12 with Wise Guy. Get the early side and total Eagles-Falcons at OffshoreInsiders.com
Sunday, September 13, 2015
The Hilton handicapping contest consensus results are in and very strong agreement bets have evolved for week 1 NFL picks. As is generally the case, road favorites rule the day insofar as Joey Bagadonuts favorite bets.
Miami Dolphins laying three-points at Washington Redskins has gotten 70 percent of wagers, followed very closely by Green Bay Packers -6.5 at the Chicago Bears with 68 out of every 100 bettors laying the lumber in the Windy City battle.
Sports handicappers are not buying into Rex Ryan turning around the Buffalo Bills, at least not in week 1 as the Indianapolis Colts, Buffalo’s foe this week is favored by 66 percent of gamblers.
The most popular home team is the Arizona Cardinals at home to the New Orleans Saints with 65 percent. However, with home field advantage worth three-points, the fact that Arizona is laying only one-point means the public is actually backing the perceived inferior team, an uncommon tendency.
As far as totals bets, three unders, the Browns-Jets at 71 and the Panthers-Jaguars, and Chiefs-Texans both at 69 are tied with an over the Giants-Cowboys on Sunday Night Football as the most widespread over/under wagers.
The famed Hilton SuperContest has a different road chalk as the most popular bet: 664 contestants chose the Miami Dolphins over Washington laying 3.5. Aforementioned Arizona is next at 589. However, shockingly a road dog, the St. Louis Rams getting four to Seattle are next with 474 picks. The Jets and Packers round out the top five at 381 and 380.
Going back to preseason, Joe Duffy’s Picks is 13-4 in the NFL and we are literally just getting started. We are 23-11 with all Wise Guys many being MLB underdogs and are 25-12 with all football since preseason.
Get six NFL winners for Sunday, including SNF total and a day Wise Guy as Joe Duffy’s Picks has dominated the NFL since the mid-1980s scorephone days more than any handicapper has in any sport all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, August 31, 2015
College football kicks off Thursday, September 3 with two 6 ET starts, South Carolina vs. North Carolina and Florida International and Central Florida. Several public consensus-betting trends have emerged.
A significant harmony among bettors is laying the big number on the road with TCU getting 80 percent of the bets as they are laying 14-points with five-to-ten cents extra juice. At some sportsbooks the line is (-14.5). As is often the case, college football gamblers are not hesitating to bet a big number with 78 percent of wagers on Arizona laying a stunning 31.5 at home to UTSA.
The two other spread bets also seeing at least 70 percent of wagers are both large road favorites. Oklahoma State (-24) after opening at (-19) is supported by 72 percent of picks at Central Michigan. Likewise Ohio (-8.5) is getting 70 percent at Idaho. There is a reverse line movement on that though as the Bobcats opened as double-digit favorites laying a full 10 points. The line movement is significant as 10 is considered a key number by gamblers.
Percentage wise the strongest bet of the day is Florida International and Central Florida to exceed the total with 88 percent of bets saying the game will have more than the low posted over/under of 46.5.
The aforementioned OSU-CMU contest also has handicappers making a statement on the total with 77 percent putting their money where their mouth is expecting more than 54.5 points to be tallied.
Perhaps the most significant line move has been Vanderbilt going from a 2.5-point home favorite to Western Kentucky to a two-point underdog.
Joe Duffy's Picks is already sizzling with football picks, going 12-3 the last 15 in preseason NFL. At press time, he already has two more winning premium picks, the first two of the college football season at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Fresh off a 6-2 week last week in the NFL, Joe Duffy’s Picks is ready to win some more at OffshoreInsiders.com. Here is a slice of the sharp players clipboard!
Going against off a home win, undefeated in the preseason is 57-35. It favors Patriots. Carolina is without WR Kelvin Benjamin for the season, so may use this dress rehearsal as opportunity to find replacements. Patriots wideout Julian Edelman it out.
KC with two extra days to prepare as Tits played Sunday night. KC does run 4-3 defense, which Tennessee sees in practice.
Going against off a home win, undefeated in the preseason is 57-35. It favors Titans. Titans tight end Delanie Walker and nose tackle Sammie Hill would both play in Tennessee’s third game of the exhibition season.
Walker, who caught 63 passes for 890 yards and four touchdowns last season, had been out after injuring his thumb in practice Aug. 6.
Hill, who sprained his knee during offseason workouts, began training camp on the physically unable to perform list before being activated Aug. 10. Last season, the seven-year veteran made 33 tackles, with three sacks.
Matt Cassel, Tyrod Taylor, and EJ Manuel are still in a QB battle for Bills. Bills have been very cautious with WR Sammy Watkins and he is questionable. Percy Harvin is very doubtful for Bills.
Mike Vick signed by Steelers which shows Landry Jones failed in bid to win backup job.
Robert Griffin III. The first two games have seen Griffin complete just 46.2 percent of his throws. Colt McCoy and Kirk Cousins have been more successful, but coach Jay Gruden said Tuesday that the team isn’t diverting from their plan to give Griffin all of the work with the first team. Star WR Desean Jackson is doubtful. Jackson led the league with an average of 20.9 yards per catch last season.
Cornerback Orlando Scandrick is out and the Dallas Cowboys are very thin at CB.
Tampa WR Mike Evans is out.
Texans linebacker Jadeveon Clowney it out.
Miami could be down to its third-string left tackle in the so-called dry run for the regular season. Ryan Tannehill been the most-sacked quarterback the past three seasons with 139 and his offensive line is very thinned.
Miami already has major questions at guard with two starting jobs still open. Now, the Dolphins have added more issues at left tackle. Tannehill is on a nice run during the preseason and is completing 81 percent of his throws.
Atlanta signed veteran QB Rex Grossman indicating the backup spot is very much up for grabs.
Josh Johnson has been cut by the Bengals meaning A.J. McCarron is the backup.
Packers WR Jordy Nelson is out. The Green Bay Packers could be without three of five starting offensive linemen led by guards T.J. Lang and Josh Sitton as well as tackle David Bakhtiari.
LB Manti Te’o is questionable for San Diego. Prized rookie and Heisman runner-up Melvin Gordon is expected to finally play at RB for the Bolts.
Brian Quick had been the Rams leading receiver last season when he went down with the injury. He had 25 catches for 375 yards and three touchdowns in seven games for St. Louis.
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Daily fantasy sports MLB and preseason betting intel has been released. The man featured on ESPN Joe Duffy breaks down NFL betting and Major League baseball pick intel.
Ravens starters will play very little, but rookies and backups will get plenty of chances to shine.
Lions rebuilt OL. Jets Geno Smith out after being sucker punched. Big distraction. He was having a good camp and slated to start Thursday. Ryan Fitzpatrick, who played for OC Chan Gailey in Buffalo, will be expected take over as the Jets’ starter in the meantime. Rookie Bryce Petty is also on the roster.
Pettine said the Browns starters, with Josh McCown the QB, figure to play about a quarter in the preseason opener. Assuming QB Jonny Manziel is cleared to play, he’d likely figure with the second group. Thad Lewis is batting Conner Shaw for No. 3. Shaw has shown improved arm strength.
Redskins, Robert Griffin III will play about one quarter with the offensive starters. Defensive starters are also expected to play a quarter. Minor injuries have limited practice time of Skins DBs. Tackle Joe Thomas is questionable for Browns. Washington thinned at TE because of injuries. Fourth-round draft choice Jamison Crowder has been impressive at WR but is out.
Pokes likely to start FA rookie Gus Johnson at RB. John Randle and Darren McFadden. Dallas also ravaged by injuries at DT. Jack Crawford, who’s usually a defensive end, moving inside. Dez Bryant WR, is also out for Pokes.
Packers may play everyone who travels. Jimmy Garoppolo to start, with Ryan Lindley, serving as the primary backup. The team is expected to be without starting tackles Nate Solder and Sebastian Vollmer on Thursday night, as well as starting center Bryan Stork. Meanwhile, rookies Shaq Mason and Tre' Jackson -- both fourth-round draft picks -- have been the starting guards through 11 training camp practices.
Bears starters on offense and defense will only see 12-15 snaps. Chicago is expected to go more smash-mouth this year. Miami starters will play a full quarter at the most. Expect some starters, such as left guard Dallas Thomas, right guard Billy Turner, and perhaps kicker Caleb Sturgis, to get extended looks.
Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks Joe Duffy's Picks, the NFL Specialist, has a Wise Guy side and Major play total for Thursday NFL. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's Picks are widely accepted as the strongest bet in gambling at OffshoreInsiders.com
Thursday, July 09, 2015
The SEC West preview is forthcoming, but here are the odds and some bullet points for the SEC East:Though the top two contenders are from the West: the state of Alabama in fact, Georgia is given the best chance from the inferior division at 5/1.In the video preview, the top sports betting expert in college football explains that with the dominant running game and improving defense, put a checkmark next to the Dawgs to be an UNDER team among other likely betting tendencies.Tennessee is next insofar as divisional contenders at 10/1.
The Vols go from hunter to hunted. Can QB Joshua Dobbs, who went from third in depth chart to star of rising SEC contender, show he is no fluke? It is a watershed year for Butch Davis’ squad with 17 starters back from 7-6 straight up team. Because they are everyone’s chic dark horse, look for them to be “predictably unpredictable,” further explained in the broadcast.
As far as linemakers are concerned, five of the six biggest long shots to win the SEC are from the East.Will Missouri surprise for the third straight season? Oddsmakers give them minimal respect again at 18/1. They lost three starting WRs in consecutive years, leaving just 10 career catches among returnees. They have an unproven OL, however their LBs are very good. Pro gamblers see a regression to the mean, but HC Gary Pinkel has proven experts wrong, so keep an eye on them as money line underdogs.
The Will Muschamp experiment at Florida is over. The second coming of Ron Zook’s “defense wins” philosophy, the Gators were stout when the other team had the ball, but again we find out winning with defense requires a great offense. Of course Joe Duffy's Picks clients will miss one of our favorite head coaches to fade.The talent is still much stronger on defense, but the coaching upgrade alone will improve offensive production.
Tough to get a handle on O/U but coaching upgrade means the Gators will be sounder. At 30/1, despite the brand name, the Gators will be undervalued.South Carolina is also 30/1. USC lost QB Dylan Thompson, all-time single season passing leader topping many question marks on offense. Jon Hoke was brought in to improve defense as DC. It was a disaster last year, but not as bad as numbers indicate. Hence we look for the Cocks to often offer great value on the UNDER.
While Kentucky at 100/1 and Vanderbilt at 300/1 may offer little interest to the average fan, they present splendid value for top sports services and gamblers from Billy Walters picks on down as the film documents.
Tuesday, July 07, 2015
In betting with Marathonbet UK of course we have exploited conditions where the public prefers: squads that are much better at home. This is so often the case with young and inexperienced teams early in the season.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
CUBS (HAMMEL +115) LA Dodgers (Greinke)
The Dodgers are 2-6 the last eight for -8 units. Yes they lost eight units the last eight games. The Cubs are 10-5 the last 15. Going with NL home teams with a starting pitcher ERA of 3.70 against a pitcher with a WHIP Of 1.050 or better is +80.6 units.LA is -12.6 units on the road at 12-18, with the Cubs are 19-13 at home. Everyone knows how great Zach Greinke has been, but Jason Hammel has a 2.89 ERA and .976 WHIP in 13 starts despite his home games not exactly in a pitcher friendly ballpark.LA 1-7 road versus an opponent with a winning home record. The are a horrific 2-9 as favorites of 150 or less.
Some other top angles that apply today
- Twins are 11-1 +12.5 units after consecutive games stranding five or fewer runners
- Milwaukee over 12-1 at home versus an opponent with a bullpen WHIP of 1.250 or less in the last 15 games
- Cleveland 6-16 -16.9 units at home to AL teams averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game this year
- Philadelphia over 10-0 on Tuesdays this season
- Atlanta over 24-7 following a win
- Mets 2-15 -14.3 units on the road to NL teams averaging 4.3 or fewer runs per game
Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks The fact Joe Duffy’s Picks is outperforming the rest of the industry is nothing new. It is par for the course. Now we are even outperforming ourselves. We win again (despite briefly marking up a loser as a winner, now corrected after logging into sportsbook and noticing). Of course the AL Central Underdog Game of the Year proves to be money in the bank. So, are you one of those who insist it is okay to be on the outside looking in?Now get the absolute best portfolio of the season. We have eight winners led by four, yes four Wise Guys.
This includes the MLB Game of the Month. Yes it is the strongest portfolio of the season. What, there is a favorite that has a .136 slugging percentage less in their last five games than their opponent. Which chalk is 36-92 under the situation that applies tonight? Oh we have an angle that has won 222.3 units and it applies several times today all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, June 22, 2015
Most disturbingly, he bet “extensively” in games he played in.However, there is no evidence that he ever bet against his own team either as a player or a manager.While many touts brag about betting large amounts on sporting events (a laughable marketing ploy argument blown out of the water by pros), Rose is proof that large bets are often square bets, once losing more than $15,000 in a single day during March Madness.Most baseball fans are oblivious to the fact that re-instatement of Rose would mean his election to the Hall-of-Fame. These are two separate subjects.
It was the belief of OffshoreInsiders.com that Rose would likely be re-instated to Major League Baseball posthumously, but would never come close to election to Cooperstown.Rose would only be eligible for enshrinement by the Veterans Committee, most members are considered adversarial to the all-time hits leader’s inclusion.
It is now the belief of OffshoreInsiders.com that the latest news will prove irrevocable and ensure Rose’s permanent banishment.We look forward to opinion polls likely to come out soon to see how many Pete Rose apologists remain hard-core.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
Exactly 60 percent of against the spread wagers are on Cleveland today at the sportsbook with 61 percent favoring the under. A stunning 68 percent favor Cleveland to pull the upset and win outright based on moneyline wagers posted.
Duffy and Peter Loshak take a look at daily fantasy sports and sports betting tips for today in MLB.
Now to MLB, a free pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
LA ANGELS (SHOEMAKER +100) Oakland (Gray)
Great pitchers on bad teams are among the best go-against situations. Oakland is 2-5 the last seven. They have a lousy .305 OBP and .368 slugging in that span.LA has won three straight. Go with home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start, stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season is +115.8 units including +10.6 this year and +71.3 last five years. Built on pitching and defense, Oakland is -20.6 units.In their last five games the Halos has a slugging percentage of .454 compared to .358 for the A’s.
Athletics are 15-36 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 9-25 if their opponent scored two or fewer last game. Anaheim is 10-2 with Shoemaker as an underdog and 23-10 his last 33 overall. LA is 8-2 at home in the series.As great as Gray has been, Oakland is -1.3 with him. The scary thing is he cannot pitch any better. What happens when he is less than stellar?
Saturday we go 4-1. Heck we even won an extra inning game, staring my kryptonite in the face. Joe Duffy’s Picks has had winning days 9-of-12. This is the biggest all-sports portfolio since the conference tournaments in CBB. Get 11 winners in all: the NBA side and total plus three MLB Wise Guys and six Majors. We literally have it all. If you want to be on the outside looking in, please place a few bets and keep the bookmakers in business for our clients at OffshoreInsiders.com
Thursday, June 11, 2015
Nevertheless 59 percent of bets against the spread have been placed on Golden State with a stunning 70 percent expecting an over as this total continues to plummet each game. Insofar as this contest, the side and total remain steady from the opener.Cleveland has covered 6-of-8, with the two setbacks by a combined seven. The average margin of cover is just above 10 points per game during that span, called by some the sweat barometer.Golden State has gone under 12-3 the last 15, seven by double-digits. The Warriors are still tops in the postseason in terms of net rating with 7.9. Cleveland is second at 7.2. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Cleveland 15-3 to West.
Over/under angles: Golden State under 7-0 off spread loss, under 10-4 road. Cleveland under 37-17 on one day rest.
Joe Duffy’s Picks continues to dominate NHL, NBA, and especially MLB at OffshoreInsiders.comNow to some MLB trends and DFS notes for Thursday:
- Texas 7-0 road to AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better for +11.4 units
- Baltimore 26-6 under to AL starting pitcher with ERA of 4.00 to 4.70. That record is over the last two years
- San Diego’s Andrew Cashner has allowed a combined 12 earned runs on 19 hits in his last two starts
- Seattle JA Happ 3.31 ERA, including 3.09 his last five starts. He is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in four career outings vs. Cleveland
- Miami David Phelps at home 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA in five games
- Angels Garrett Richards 8.01 ERA last three and struggled in last four
- Mets Jon Niese 7.96 ERA over his last five starts
- Milwaukee Matt Garza turning it around. Despite 5.09 ERA overall, it is 3.18 last three starts
Monday, June 08, 2015
Cleveland has covered 5-of-7, all by 9.5. Of course the most recent setback was failing in overtime getting six-points. Golden State has gone under 11-3 the last 14, seven by at least 10.5. The Warriors average 108.9 points per game to teams normally allowing 100.2. However on defense, they are not as dominant but hold teams to 1.0 point below their normal average.
Cleveland gets 102.8 points per game to teams that normally permit 99.6, while allowing 87.8 to teams earning an average 99.7.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Golden State 24-11 off loss. Cleveland is 14-3 to the West, but 3-8 off spread win. Golden State is 10-4 in the series.
Over/under angles: Golden State under 8-2 on one day rest. Cleveland under 36-17 with just one day rest.
Get your winning picks every day at OffshoreInsiders.com which includes from Joe Duffy’s Picks, the all-time winningest baseball handicapper ever. Article made possible by DuffyVideo.com where you can get bar mitzvah video montages, company logos, and more.
Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Two picks, two Wise Guys, two winners. The Hawks and Warriors lead us to yet another sweep to go to 11-5 in the NBA playoffs. The Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has another NBA side selection winner for Tuesday. Joe Duffy has written articles on SportsNetwork, Bleacher Report, and Examiner; appears on national TV and network radio, featured in Sports Betting Review videos and more.I have added three MLB winners led by a Wise Guy and at least one Dandy Dogs, which are moneyline underdogs of 140 or more. Yep that is five winners in three sports. Best sports betting picks at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com
Cards Lance Lynn has a 6.00 ERA last three starts allowing five or more runs in 2-of-3. Lynn faces Cleveland’s Carlos Carrasco who has a 6.23 ERA and .908 OPS last three starts. Detroit’s Alfredo Simon has allowed 9 runs and 14 hits in his last 9.1 IP.
Cincinnati prospect Anthony DeSclafani has not gotten past fifth inning in any of his last three starts. Tampa’s Chris Archer 5-0 1.93 to the Bronx Bombers. Betting experts wonder about regression to the mean as Texas Nick Martinez had a 0.35 ERA in his first four starts but 4.22 the last two. Houston won 11 straight with Collin McHugh and he has 2.54 ERA in span. A rejuvenated Miami pitcher Dan Haren has allowed two or fewer runs in 5-of-6.
The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Chicago Bulls laying 5.5 with a total of 190. The line has stayed steady, but the total is down two points. Fifty-five percent of the betting public prefers Chicago with 71 percent investing in the over. The Los Angeles Clippers are at Houston Rockets laying 3.5 with a total of 218.5. LA only opened as a 1.5-point chalk with the first posted total at 219. A momentous margin of 71 percent are staking on the Clippers, 65 percent on the over.
Monday, May 11, 2015
Much like the Run for the Roses final results, the Pimlico Race Course feature race has Dortmond and Firing Line next at 5/1. Oddsmakers do not expect the win, place, and show party to be crashed, as Materiality is the No. 4 contender at 16/1.As is always the case, the Preakness field has been greatly slimmed down from the Derby. Danzig Moon is next at 18/1, Divining Rod at 20/1, and Bodhisattva as 35/1. Getting no respect is the longest shot Tale of Verve at 50/1.
Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy nailed the top four finishers in the Kentucky Derby, with the win and place horses being inverted and nailing three and four in order. He continues his years of Triple Crown and Breeders Cup domination at OffshoreInsiders.com
Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions. Atlanta is just seventh at 3.5. The Wiz are tops in offense getting 108.6 points per 100 possessions to just 104 for Atlanta. The teams are a bit closer on the defensive end with Washington allowing 99.4 points per 100 possessions to the Hawks 100.5.After a 32-10-2 start to the season, the Hawks are just 19-26 against the spread. This includes 3-8 the last 11 with four of the setbacks by at least 10.5 to the number.
Washington is 8-1 their last nine. In their last seven games, their margin of cover is 9.21. Some call this stat the sweat barometer.Washington has gone over 8-2 with seven by five or more points and five by at least 9.5, In fact three have exceeded the total by 21.5 or more.Spread trends (all records against the spread): Atlanta 3-13 Conference Semifinals games, 33-16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 29-14 on one day rest.Washington is 6-23 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 8-18 to Southeast division.Over/under angles: Washington over 6-0 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The series has gone over 6-of-7.
Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks Oh baby. Joe Duffy has hit 9-of-14 in the NBA and today is a beautiful one. We have Wise Guy sides on both NBA games. The intel we have will leave you speechless at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wednesday, May 06, 2015
It would be an understatement to say that Wednesday night is the best night of the NBA playoffs as we have Wise Guy bets on both NBA playoff sides. You will be blown away as to why. Oh yes you will. Improve on that 6-3 NBA run. Get four MLB winners, all for night action, led by MLB Underdog of the Week. We have both NHL sides led by a Wise Guy. Without question this is one of the great all-sports betting portfolios in some time. There are a total of eight winners led by four Wise Guys in three different sports. Get the bets now at OffshoreInsiders.com
Also Stevie Vincent is 15-7 the last 22. You have to be somewhat batshit crazy if you bet without the King of Offshore Stevie Vincent. He has hit two underdogs of 131 or more along the way. Wednesday the dossier is led by a Level 5 pro baseball over/under, not to mention the biggest side and over/under bets from pro basketball. He is also up at OffshoreInsiders.com
At press time Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine has not been released. The MasterLockLine has the top plays from the top sports services in their highest ranked sports.
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Atlanta is a 6.5-point favorite, up a half-point from the opener. The total is 198.5, which is down a half-point from the first posted total. Public money has 53 percent of bets on the underdog Wizards with 64 percent of bettors choosing the over. After getting off to a splendid spread start, the Hawks are only 18-25-2 recently after a 32-10-2 start to the season. They are 2-7 their last nine by -4.55 points per game against the spread. Washington has been a covering machine, cashing in seven straight with four of the last five by at least 11 points. Their margin of cover last five is -11.1 points per game. Washington has gone under 7-of-8 and 8-of-10, going over by an average of 13.1 in the latter span.
The Wizards have the best net rating in the postseason at +16.1. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions. Washington has the best playoff offense at 112.2 points per 100 possessions with the Hawks in the middle at 103. However, it is two of the top five playoff defenses, Washington at No. 2 allowing a mere 96.1 points per 100 possessions, Atlanta 100.8.
Get every MLB and NBA sports handicapping pick necessary for today’s betting portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, April 27, 2015
While this paradigm applies in all sports, certainly not equally. At one extreme, college football is the only team game in which mother lode conventionalities often actually favor the better-quality squad. However in baseball, the semblant paradoxes (to the commoners) are furthest magnified. There are two obvious whys and wherefores. As I have stated countless times, oddsmakers overvalue pitching, so baseball levies higher imposts in select situations than reality justifies. Furthermore oddsmakers must account for taking bets from plebeians, who are even more un-persuaded by steep moneylines than lofty pointspreads. To quote the single worst degenerate gambler I have ever known, “They don’t charge juice when the bet wins.” Those would be words to live by if a gambler hit 100 percent of bets. The sharp riposte is that in moneyline betting, bookmakers do not disburse recompense based on winning percentage.
In baseball betting, many of the most profitable gamblers in the world have winning…and I do mean, “winning” percentages of less than .500. For example if a starting pitcher has an ERA a full three runs higher than the other starting pitcher, the public will salivate at the thought of betting on the better pitcher. They would have lost 89 units if they staked on said situation every time the line was -150 or higher. Betting on the vastly inferior pitcher would have won you 20.8 units. However in the process the winning bettor would be 282-498, hitting just 36.2 percent of bets. Or to put it another way, to the aforesaid degenerate, the bookmakers does pay juice when our underdogs win.
Two terrible starting pitchers (both with ERAs of 5.00 or higher) are facing each other. It must be a higher scoring game right? So bet the over. There is one problem: such games go under at a 722-610-62 rate. Counterintuitive anticipation of mean regression proves invaluable again. Of course, some uncultivated bettors may point out that is only 54.2 percent winners. One could make quite the living riding angles that hit better than 54 percent over nearly 1.400 games. However keep in mind, quoted stats are not our preeminent angles, just a few that demonstrate how contrarian reasoning pays dividends. All systems are only part of the preponderance of evidence before making a bet.
So how about two pitchers with ERAs of less than 2.00 going head-to-head? Did you surmise it would be wise go over instead of the knee-jerk under? You would be correct as such situations have gone over 632-548-46. At 53.6 winners, that is a lukewarm angle at best, but the extreme value is avoiding the impulsive bet to wager on two superior pitchers under. Turning that frown upside down is a substantial net gain. Please note that all quoted angles go back to 2005. Lateral thinking when applied to sports betting means vertical profits. In baseball betting, thinking outside the box translates into significant capital gains.
Getting winning intel like this every day converted to winners from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
The erratic stock of the most recent Heisman winner Mariota is back on the rise according to most respect mock drafts. The team currently in possession of the second pick, the Tennessee Titans are the favorite to get him. Sports betting experts do not trust that the Cleveland Browns are buying into Johnny Manziel purported lifestyle epiphany as Cleveland is tied with the New York Jets are 7/2 to be Mariota’s landing spot on draft day.
The complete list from Sportsbook.ag is below:
Which team will draft Marcus Mariota?
Over/unders are posted on three top wide receivers: Amari Cooper at 5.5 (with slight juice on the under), Kevin White at 7.5, and Melvin Gordon at 21.5 (juiced to the over). Though oddsmakers believe the top two picks could be quarterbacks, no other signal callers are likely to go in the first round. The over-under on quarterbacks selected in round one is 2.5 but under odds are a very steep 2/13 with over unlikely at 4-1. For sports handicapper picks from nation’s top betting experts visit OffshoreInsiders.com
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
The Cavs are a steady (-11) at home with a total of 207, also unchanged from the opener. The only double-digit favorite on tonight’s betting portfolio has gotten 71 percent of the sportsbook bets in Vegas and offshore, the top consensus of either the side or total on any NBA playoff game today. Though the public tends to prefer wagering on the over, 56 percent of bets are on the under.
Toronto is (-5) unaffected from the opening line. The total has risen two points to 207. The consensus is 61 percent are betting on the Raptors and 59 percent on the over. Houston is (-6) up a half-point from the first available line with a total of 215.5 up from 214. Sixty-two percent are investing on the home chalk, with a surprising 54 percent taking the under.
A free pick tonight is a premium play from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com.
BOSTON (MILEY +117) Tampa (Archer)
We have an early season underdog angle with very specific parameters that has won 207.4 units. Please note: the reason the units jumped is I more accurately identified as underdog including laying up to -104 because they are underdogs as opposed to pick or plus after juice as previous units won was based. Also we redefined early season based on game number rather than month. Also starting pitchers with an ERA above 10.00 who are not getting at least 130 are solid bets at 236-212 for +14.2 units.
Oh that is far from impressive and does not even quality as corroborating data, but it does tell us not to be deterred by the rough start by Wade Miley. Tampa has lost three straight. Tampa is 1-5 at home -4.2 units hitting just .202. Road team is 3-0 in Chris Archer’s starts this season. Wade Miley is 2-0 to Tampa with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 1.050. Archer is 1-4 to Boston with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.805. Rays are 1-7 in Archers last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The free winner is on the Red Sox. Joe Duffy’s Picks keeps winning. We are 66-54 with 55 underdog winners. Yes after 120 picks we have more underdogs that have won than all picks combined have lost. In fact 18 winners were of 130 or more.
Get more info and winners at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, April 20, 2015
Tonight the NBA playoffs roll along. Up one game to none, the Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago is (-7.5) with a total of 186.5. Currently 74 percent of bets taken against the spread are for the Bulls with 62 percent favoring the over. Also leading 1-0 in the series, the Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans. Golden State is the choice of 68 percent who placed a wager on the spread. An overwhelming betting consensus is putting an ante on the over at a substantial 88 percent. Also Joe Duffy’s Picks, the hottest and top all-time MLB handicapper has a free premium pick on the Reds.
CINCINNATI (DESCLAFANI +105) Milwaukee (Peralta)
We have an early season underdog angle that is +207.3 units and you have already won a ton this season with it. While the Reds offensive numbers are not exactly impressive, their OBP, slugging, batting, average, and OPS are all better than Milwaukee. Milwaukee is 2-10 for -9 units this season. They are 0-2 with Wily Peralta. Milwaukee is batting .217 and is last in the majors with 30 runs, a .267 on-base percentage, a .303 slugging percentage and three homers, including none in the last six games. The Brew Crew have the worst home run percentage in MLB since 1948. Anthony Desclafani has a 1.38 ERA and tiny .769 WHIP. Reds are 16-6 in their last 22 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400 and 42-18 overall versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less. On the other hand The Brewers are 5-25 in their last 30 when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game.
There are also three NHL games tonight with the New York Rangers -115 road favorites at Pittsburgh, Minnesota -135 at home to St. Louis, and Winnepeg -140 at home against Anaheim.
Duffy has a stunning 10 bets of the professional gamblers in NBA, MLB, and NHL at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, April 13, 2015
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Monday, March 16, 2015
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Wednesday, March 11, 2015
Pittsburgh-NC State Pittsburgh is 7-20 the last 27. They enter on a three-game straight up losing streak and lost by nine and ten points against the spread last two. State 6-1 the last seven, three by nine or more.
Colorado State-Oregon State Oregon State 2-10 the last 12, three times in the last six games they have failed by 13.5 or more.
Rutgers-Minnesota Minnesota 344th luckiest of 351 teams. Rutgers at 87.
Air Force-New Mexico New Mexico DeShawn Delaney out. Games 30 PPG 11.8 RPG 5.3 Steals 38 BLK 18 APG 2.0
Eastern Michigan-Bowling Green Bowling Green Richaun Holmes is questionable. Games 29 PPG 14.7 RPG 8.0 Steals 20 BLK 78 APG 0.9 George Mason-Fordham Eric Paschall is probable. Games 26 PPG 16.5 RPG 5.6 Steals 21 BLK 11 APG 1.0
Southeast Louisiana-McNeese State SLE Zay Jackson doubtful Games 25 PPG 15.4 RPG 4.5 Steals 33 BLK 8 APG 4.6
Brooklyn-Miami Brooklyn back-to-back and three games in four days.
Orlando-Milwaukee Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days
Detroit-Golden State Detroit back-to-back and three games in four days while Golden State three games in four days.
Monday, March 02, 2015
A Worldwide Pandemic Warning issued to all bookmakers as today clearly belongs to sharp bettors. The top angle in each games is 43-1 in your favor. Get the angles unlocked inside the play at OffshoreInsiders.com
Toronto-Philadelphia Philadelphia back-to-back and three games in four days though Toronto three games in four days. Toronto Kyle Lowery is questionable. He is the 12th most effecient PG according to Hollinger ratings. Games 58 PPG 18.0 RPG 4.6 SPG 1.5 BPG 0.2 APG 7.0 Toronto lost five straight , four by 10.5 or more. The average is -14.1. The Raptors have gone over 15 straight since Mar 16, 2009 on the road with at most one day of rest off a game in which at least 6 players scored 10 or more points as a favorite
Free pick podcast http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/sports-betting-podcasts/e/37160316?autoplay=true
Phoenix-Miami Miami three games in four days while Phoenix well rested. Suns Brandon Knight is questionable. Knight 18th most effecient PG. Key Stats Games 57 PPG 17.4 RPG 4.0 SPG 1.5 BPG 0.2 APG 5.3 The Suns are 38-14-3 since Dec 02, 1997 with at least one day of rest after a loss when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points fewer in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. The Heat are 2-19-1 since Nov 12, 2014 after Mario Chalmers had a positive plus/minus.
Golden State-Brooklyn Warriors back-to-back and three games in four days. Brooklyn three games in four days. Teams are 11-44-1 ATS (-4.92 ppg) since Nov 27, 2009 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after a double digit win in which they scored 10 or fewer fast break points. This says to fade Brooklyn. Teams are 735-896-25 OU (-1.10 ppg) since Mar 29, 2000 with at least one day of rest after a win on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field. Obviously favors UNDER here.
Free: Brooklyn UNDER
Clippers-Minnesota Clippers back-to-back and three games in four days with Minnesota three games in four days. Clippers without Blake Griffin. They are 6-2 without him going under four straight. He is the second best PF in the NBA. Games 51 PPG 22.5 RPG 7.5 SPG 0.9 BPG 0.4 APG 5.1 The Clippers gone OVER 27-5 (10.48 ppg) since Mar 08, 2003 on the road with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted
New Orleans-Dallas Pelicans back-to-back and three games in four days. New Orleans Anthony Davis is out. They have managed to cover five in a row without him. Davis rated No. 1 in the NBA for all players in efficiency. Pels now 14-8 without Jrue Holiday. Dallas Chandler Parsons is questionable. They have gone under all six without him.