Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Tuesday Computer Trends

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

It’s the last day of the huge preseason football sale for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com. Details at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Milwaukee has gone over 22-5 to NL teams averaging 4.3 or less runs per game

·        Philadelphia over 11-1 this year after two straight games in which their bullpen gave up no earned runs

·        Adam Eaton is 5-2 lifetime to the Cubs

·        Brandon Webb is 3-6 to San Diego with a 3.72 ERA in 111 1/3 IP

·        Mike Mussina has a team -24 units  the last two years as a 150 or more favorite

Sunday, July 29, 2007

Monday Computer Trends

Monday, July 30, 2007

Two days left for the huge sale at GodsTips.com 

MLB

·        Andy Sonnanstine is 1-6 this year

·        Gil Meche is 5-1 lifetime to Minnesota

·        Kelvim Escobar is 5-8 lifetime to Seattle with a 5.05 ERA

·        Miguel Batista has a 6.75 ERA to Anaheim

·        Kenny Rogers is 21-7 lifetime to Oakland

·        Ted Lilly is 11-4 this year

·        Cole Hamels is 11-5 for the year

Sunday Computer Trends

Sunday, July 29, 2007

Special incredible deal from GodsTips.com from now until end of preseason football, every play, every sport for less than the monthly price. Details at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Arizona is 18-5 to NL East this year +14.3 units

·        Toronto is 9-19 this year -15.2 units to opponents that strand 6.9 or less runners per game

·        Detroit 39-10 as road favorites the last two years

·        Pittsburgh is 6-30 -22.4 units on the road after a loss by four or more runs

·        Kelvim Escobar is 8-0 with a 2.30 ERA lifetime to Detroit

·        Livan Hernandez is 3-14 career to Atlanta with a 5.09 ERA

 

Sunday GodsTips

Sunday, July 29, 2007

3-1 SATURDAY ALL DOGS, 2-0 WITH WISE GUY PLAYS ARIZ +123, BALT +155, 4 MAJORS + WISE GUY SUNDAY

The most published author in sports gaming strategy Joe Duffy of GodsTips.com does it again.  We go 3-1 with four dogs.  We nailed both Wise Guy plays with Arizona +123 and Baltimore +155. We have five winners today, four Majors and a Wise Guy.

Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

PHILADELPHIA (KENDRICK -134) Pittsburgh (Snell)

The Phillies are a perfect 5-0 at home with Kendrick. The home team is 7-1 in his starts. Ian Snell is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three starts. Philly is 4-1 in the series and the home team is 7-2 the last nine.

The Bucs have an embarrassing .275 OBP their last seven games. Philly has a .399 OBP in their last seven.

 

Saturday, July 28, 2007

Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, July 28, 2007

Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal. 

MLB

·        Detroit has gone over 27-8 off loss this year

·        Mets over 23-5 as a favorite

·        Pittsburgh over 17-4 to NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better

·        Aaron Harang is 6-1 lifetime to Colorado

·        Greg Maddux has a 26-13 lifetime record to Houston

·        Roy Oswalt is 6-1 career to San Diego

·        Colorado is 20-7 this year +17.7 in double revenge

·        Arizona is 17-5 to NL East foes +12.9 units

Friday, July 27, 2007

Friday Computer Trends

Friday, July 27, 2007

All trends are ATS and from private and commercial databases used by the OffshoreInsiders.com elite handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com

MLB

·        Andy Pettitte is 20-5 lifetime to Baltimore

·        Jon Garland is 8-2 lifetime to Toronto

·        Paul Byrd is 7-3 lifetime to Minnesota

·        Tim Wakefield 16-2 career to Tampa

·        Woody Williams is 4-0 career to San Diego with a 2.25 ERA

·        Detroit has gone over 16-2 off a loss of two runs or less this year

·        The Mets have gone under 22-5 as a favorite of more than 150

·        Atlanta is 7-0 this year in Friday road games

·        Colorado is 20-7 this year +17.7 in double revenge

Friday Computer Trends

Friday, July 27, 2007

All trends are ATS and from private and commercial databases used by the OffshoreInsiders.com elite handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com

MLB

·        Andy Pettitte is 20-5 lifetime to Baltimore

·        Jon Garland is 8-2 lifetime to Toronto

·        Paul Byrd is 7-3 lifetime to Minnesota

·        Tim Wakefield 16-2 career to Tampa

·        Woody Williams is 4-0 career to San Diego with a 2.25 ERA

·        Detroit has gone over 16-2 off a loss of two runs or less this year

·        The Mets have gone under 22-5 as a favorite of more than 150

·        Atlanta is 7-0 this year in Friday road games

·        Colorado is 20-7 this year +17.7 in double revenge

Bombshell Dandy Dog Among 3 Friday Wise Guy Plays

Friday, July 27, 2007

ALERT: DIVISIONAL DANDY DOG OF THE DECADE TONIGHT AMONG 3 WISE GUY PLAYS

America’s Greatest has one of the biggest cards of the year to start out your weekend warrior three day pass at $45 or four-day at $55.  We have our Divisional Dandy Dog of the Decade among three Wise Guy plays and two Majors. Dandy dogs are moneyline dogs of 140 or more (includes runline getting back 140 or more).

Go 5-0 with plenty of dogs among the winners including that huge Dandy Dog. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

OAKLAND (BRADEN +155) Seattle (Hernandez)

Seattle has lost seven straight while Oakland is 3-1 the last four. The road team is a perfect 6-0 in Dallas Braden’s starts.  On the other hand, Felix Hernandez has a 1.855 WHIP in his last three starts. Seattle has lost two straight with him. Oakland is 32-15 in the series.

 

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Thursday Computer Trends

Thursday, July 26, 2007

GodsTips.com has been on fire since getting back to basics and has two night winners now at OffshoreInsiders.com  

 

MLB

·        Byung-Hyun Kim 1-5 8.56 ERA

·        Brad Penny is 11-2 lifetime to Colorado

·        Tampa over 33-9 on grass

·        Mets under 22-4 as a favorite of 150 or more

·        Justin Verlander 1-4 lifetime to White Sox with a 6.96 ERA

·        Florida is 1-10 this year -11.7 units with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or less in their last 10 games

·        Cleveland is 5-14 -15.1 off one run win this year

GodsTips Wins Again Last Night; 6 Winners 2 Day Majors, 2 Night Wise Guy Plays Among Them

Thursday, July 26, 2007

5-3 LAST NIGHT, 7-4 THE LAST 11, 2 DAY WINNERS, 4 NIGHT! 2 NIGHT WISE GUY PLAYS

Promises Made, Promises Delivered continues our assault since getting back to basics. We go 5-3 last night and 7-4 with last two nights. Houston +130 among them as well as a Wise Guy on Texas. We go 6-0 Thursday including two night Wise Guy plays. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

BALTIMORE (TRACHSEL -128) Tampa (Jackson)

Tampa is 5-22 their last 27 and 9-29 their last 38. Baltimore is 8-3 their last 11. Edwin Jackson has a 1.807 WHIP in 18 starts. Steve Trachsel has a home ERA of 3.69 and a personal home mark of 3-0 in seven starts.

Baltimore is 19-4 at home in the series and 32-13 overall. It makes no sense how Baltimore is such a small favorite.

 

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Wednesday Computer Trends

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal. 

MLB

·        Erik Bedard has an 8-3 lifetime mark to Tampa with a 2.96 ERA

·        Kenny Rogers is 16-8 lifetime to the White Sox

·        Jose Contreras is 8-4 lifetime to Detroit

·        The Mets have gone under 22-4 as a favorite of 150 or more

·        Detroit over 25-8 after a loss

·        Mike Mussina has a lifetime record of 15-7 to Kansas City

·        Joe Blanton is 1-6 lifetime to Anaheim

·        Arizona is 25-9 +17 units after batting .240 or worse the last 15 games

·        John Lackey is 10-3 in his career to Oakland with a 2.86 ERA

·        Aaron Cook is 7-3 lifetime to Colorado with a 2.76 ERA

·        Tampa has gone over 33-8 on grass

GodsTips 8 Winners Wednesday

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

2-1 LED BY ONLY WISE GUY BALTIMORE, 2 WG, 6 MAJORS

Wow folks, it’s clearly one of the biggest days of the year.  We have eight winners, seven are at night.  We have two Wise Guy plays, both night winners. We are off another winning day and despite a slump along the way, since getting back to basics, our permanent domination of MLB continues. Go 8-0 now. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

CINCINNATI (LOHSE -110) Milwaukee (Suppan)

Milwaukee is 2-6 his last eight on the road.  Cincinnati is 5-1 at home their last six. Milwaukee is 2-6 their last eight with Suppan on the road. The home team is 15-5 in Lohse’s games. Lohse has a home ERA is 2.67 ERA and a 1.134 WHIP. Milwaukee is hitting .225 their last seven games with a .306 OBP.

Suppan has a 7.94 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in four career starts at Great America. All the splits day go with the tiny home chalk.

 

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Tuesday Computer Trends

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Check out the latest happenings in the sports gambling arena at CasinoBettingNews.com including real-time updates on the NBA game fixing scandal.  

 

MLB

 

·        Arizona 24-9 +16 units after batting .240 or worse after a 15 game span

·        The White Sox are 14-33 -19.3 against a bullpen with an ERA of 6.00 or worse over their last 15 games

·        Detroit is 22-5 +15.8 this year against teams that average .5 or less stolen bases per game

·        Kelvim Escobar is 4-8 lifetime to Anaheim

·        Javier Vazquez is 1-4 career to Detroit

Monday, July 23, 2007

Monday GodsTips Winner

Monday, July 23, 2007

PHILLIES +190 LEAD US TO ANOTHER WINNING DAY, 2 MAJORS MONDAY

Fresh off a winning day yesterday thanks to Dandy Dog Philadelphia, we have two huge plays today (plus possible steam). Which team lost 10 straight with today’s pitcher facing a team that won eight straight with today’s starter?

Find out now as part of today’s sweep.  Begin your weekly pass, it’s just $90. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

SEATTLE (RAMIREZ +115) Texas (Millwood)

Going against favorites of 125-175 with a bullpen WHIP  of 1.350 or better on the year with a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in each of his last two outings is +106.4 units.

Seattle is 20-9 their last 29, though admittedly they’ve cooled down a bit. Texas has lost 4-of-5. Seattle is 6-1 the last seven in the series. Only three Rangers have an OPS better than .689 to lefties.

 

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Monday Computer Trends

Monday, July 23, 2007

Information is compiled from the top free databases at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Mark Buehrle has a career mark to Detroit of 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA

·        Jake Westbrook is 3-1 lifetime to Boston

·        Roger Clemens is 20-6 in his career to Kansas City with a 2.15 ERA

·        Bartolo Colon is 6-3 career to Oakland

·        Jeff Francis has a 4-8 lifetime record to Colorado

·        Matt Cain has a team record of 0-12 in night games this year

·        Johan Santana has a team mark of 38-3 last three years to AL teams averaging 4.7 or less runs per game

·        Aaron Harang has a team record of 16-5 this year on grass

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances.  Team record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the decision.

NBA Totals Would Be Easiest For Maverick Ref to Influence

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Yet another betting scandal has come to the forefront, this time it involves NBA referee Tim Donaghy. So far, the allegations have not pinpointed any specific games under suspicion.

What has been disclosed is that the FBI is investigating games Donaghy officiated over the last two years to see if he intentionally made calls to influence the betting outcome.

Though the media has used the term “pointspread,” it is unclear whether they are aware of the gambling distinction meaning Donaghy’s bets were against the spread as opposed to totals.

I’ve watched as some of my colleagues have tried in vain to find a statistical smoking gun. Nobody has and in truth, in lieu of specific information such as how many games were involved and whether such bets were on pointspread, moneyline or over/under, etc. there is not likely to be damning evidence found in any database. 

Instead, I will try a different approach of getting into the mind of a potential game fixer. If hypothetically I wanted to influence the betting outcome of an NBA game with the aid of an NBA ref, how would I do it without leaving telltale signs?

First and foremost, as a handicapper I am always looking for an edge, never naively banking on a sure thing.  In other words, I never have, nor ever will bet the mortgage on any one game, but instead will look to hit 57 percent or higher over the long run.

Hence, with the knowledge that one referee in a three man crew could not with 100 percent certainty fix any one game without being apparent, my theoretical collusion with a referee would involve achieving the desired gambling result at least 60 percent of the time over a series of games.

Because the accusations do involve games over the previous two years, this appears to be a likely scenario.

Also I would focus on over/unders. This way a referee need not favor any one team.  Not only would this make it much easier to conceal a bias, but if Donaghy were looking for ethical clearance, he can easily convince himself that his unfairness is not favoring either team, instead only affecting the flow of the game.

In such circumstances, a referee need only be much more aggressive in calling fouls, getting both teams in the penalty early and often. Furthermore, all borderline calls would come at the defensive end.  What’s a charge?

And finally a referee could see to it the defensive specialists on each team would get into foul trouble early.  Let’s say Detroit is playing Chicago.  I would order my co-conspirator ref to make sure Ben Wallace gets a quick whistle. But I’m not favoring Detroit, because their defensive guru Tayshaun Prince will also get whistled early and often.

Knowing that the top defensive players on each team will be limited in minutes and that each team will likely make more than normally expected trips to the free throw line more than qualifies as an “edge” to the gambler.

Of course once those teams get in the penalty nice and early, as part of the plan, the referee would be instructed that anytime a good free throw shooter is as much as breathed on, he’s going to the line. Simply put, there need not be preferential treatment towards any one team, just towards both offenses or in other theoretic situations, each defense.

It’s no coincidence I chose the Bulls and Pistons as a hypothetical illustration.  Games with low totals going over or high totals going under would be the type of bets that would have the highest probability of influencing without being glaringly obvious.

Alas, according to the referee database at Covers.com, in the 2006-07 season, games Donaghy officiated went over 10-of-12 times if the posted total were 184.5 or less.  Yet if the total were 205 or more, it went under at an 11-7 rate.

Far from a smoking gun, but when all details come out, it’s the educated opinion of this gambling veteran that the above imaginary scenarios will prove to be very close to the truth. I’ll even bet on it.  

Joe Duffy is former General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the premier hub of world-class handicappers. Media inquiries to joeduffy@joeduffy.net  

GodsTips

Sunday, July 22, 2007

DANDY DOG AMONG AT LEAST 2 WINNERS

America’s Greatest has a Dandy Dog among at least two winners.  We may have some late morning steam. Dandy dogs are moneyline dogs of 140 or more (includes runline getting back 140 or more). Win big now. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

MILWAUKEE (VARGAS -136) San Francisco (Zito)

Milwaukee is 8-2 at home in the series and 7-2 overall the last nine. The Brewers remain one of the top home teams in sports as they are 35-17 at home +12.5 units. The Giants meanwhile are 20-30 on the highway. Incredibly, they are 9-0 at home with Claudio Vargas.

The Giants Barry Zito continues to disappoint. His road ERA is 5.43 and San Francisco has lost six of his last seven starts. Conversely, the Brewers are 6-1 in Vargas last seven starts.

San Francisco is hitting .250 for the year and .245 in their last seven. The Brewers have the second best OPS in all of Major League Baseball versus lefties (.829).

 

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Tuesday GodsTips, 7-0 Tear!

Tuesday, July 17, 2007
7-0 LAST 2 DAYS, LAST NIGHT: MIL, SEA, SEA (RUNLINE -1.5 +145), SAN DIEGO (RUNLINE -1.5 +175), 2 WISE GUY & 3 MAJORS TODAY
Promises Made, Promises Delivered told you getting back to basics would return us to far and away the greatest MLB service ever.  The results: 50-36 (58.1%). The dog winners (or runlines where we get juice) outnumbering chalk losers by 23-9 in that span! Last night runline plays of +145 and +175 cash the ticket. You get the all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  
 
MLB
CUBS (MARSHALL -130) San Francisco (Zito)
San Francisco has dropped five straight overall and 10-of-13 road. The Cubs are hitting .294 their last seven games with a .361 OBP. The Gints are hitting .233 their last seven games with a .306 batting average.
The Cubs are 6-1 their last seven with Marshall. San Francisco has lost 7-of-9 road games with Zito.  They've lost five straight overall with him. The Gints are hitting .233 their last seven games with a .306 OBP. Chicago in the same span is hitting .294 with a .361 OBP.
Going against an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse off a one-run loss is 288-186 +79.6 units.
 
 

Friday, July 13, 2007

Friday 7-0 From GodsTips, Last Day of Sale

Friday, July 13, 2007
7 WINNERS INCLUDES WISE GUY
Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com has seven winners including a Wise Guy play. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  It's been a nice run since June 20, when we got back to basics.  Go 7-0 today. You get the all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

MILWAUKEE (SHEETS -147) Colorado (Francis)
The Brewers are 30-13 at home. This includes 7-2 at home with Sheets whose home ERA is 2.64 with a WHIP of 1.141. Sheets has won his last six decisions and 9-of-10. Jeff Francis has given up six earned runs in two of his last three starts.
Milwaukee is 6-0 at home in the series the last three years. Colorado is hitting just .259 on the road. Milwaukee is 2-0 to Francis whose ERA is 9.29 to them with a WHIP of 1.782.
 

Sunday, July 08, 2007

Sunday GodsTips

Sunday, July 08, 2007
4 MONEYLINE & 1 RUNLINE FROM HOT GODSTIPS
America's Greatest got back to basics and it's been vintage JD of the ACC over the last 2 ½ weeks. Go 5-0 today.  One of our keys to being No. 1 in the industry has been knowing when to "buy low and sell high".  A super system that applies today specifically dictates to go against the hot starting pitcher and with the slumping one.  Don't be on the wrong side. Yes, it a dog winner. You get the all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

COLORADO (COOK -135) Philadelphia (Eaton)
Colorado is 5-0 their last five while Philadelphia is 2-7 their last nine. Philadelphia is 1-3 in Eaton's last four starts.  His ERA in his last three starts is 7.27. Colorado is hitting .350 their last seven games with a spectacular .430 on base percentage their last seven games.
 

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Saturday Sizzling Godstips Free Pick

Saturday, July 7, 2007
TEAR CONTINUES WITH 5-1 LAST 2 DAYS, 34-23 RUN LED BY 15 dog (OR RUNLINE PLUS JUICE) WINNERS AGAINST 5 CHALK LOSERS
The Saturday card is up with a Wise Guy play and three Majors. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.Atlanta, Houston and Cincinnati yesterday continue our endless tear since getting back to basics. You get the all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
 
MLB
HOUSTON (WILLIAMS +112) Mets (Glavine)
Houston is 6-3 their last nine. NY has lost 5-of-6. Tom Glavine has not exactly been sparkling on the road. His personal road mark is 3-5 with a 5.40 ERA. The Mets have lost 6-of-8 with Glavine. The home team has won eight straight Williams starts.
 
 
 

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Thursday GodsTips

Thursday, July 05, 2007
SUPER RARE GUARANTEE PLAY, THE NL GUARANTEED GAME OF THE YEAR, FRIDAY'S CARD FREE IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT IT LOSES
Since our scorephone days, Guaranteed Plays are 17-4 all-time.  We have a super rare Guaranteed Play for Thursday night.  If, under the unlikely even we actually lose it, you are given a password that will unlock the Friday card free! The password is of course included if you get the Bet It Trinity. We have two winners in all. You get the all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

ATLANTA (HUDSON +115) Los Angeles (Penny)
Going against favorites of 125-175 with a bullpen WHIP of 1.350 or better on the year with a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in each of his last two outings is +99.2 units.
Atlanta is 6-3 their last nine. Tim Hudson of the Braves has a 3.18 ERA and 1.143 WHIP. It's 2.25 and .964 on the road. The Braves are hitting a stunning .327 in their last seven games. LA is 1-7 all-time to Hudson.
 

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