Sports betting, sports handicapping, gambling information, betting odds, daily notes, exclusive sportsbook bonuses, sports handicapping articles, by the top online sports betting expert Joe Duffy. It's the same JD of the ACC you've known for years, the NFL pointspread VegasAdvisor.
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· Randy Johnson 8-3 lifetime to
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Tuesday, May 29, 2007
MLB WINNING DAYS 4-OF-5, UNDEFEATED SINCE FRIDAY ALL WISE GUY PLAYS, 7 MLB & NBA WINNERS
The Pads are 11-3.
Thanks to a mediocre offense,
Tuesday, May 29, 2007
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· Andy Pettitte has a 15-7 lifetime mark to
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· Josh Beckett of
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· The White Sox John Danks has won his last three starts with an ERA of 1.89
· Los Angeles Brad Penny is 11-5 lifetime to
· St. Louis Jason Marquis is 5-1 this year with a 2.60 ERA
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· Oliver Perez is 0-4 lifetime to
· Jon Lieber has a 1-7 record to
Monday, May 28, 2007
Thank you to all of our veterans. You are the most important and heroic among us.
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· The Cubs are 2-8 -12 units as a home favorites of 150 or more this year
· Yankees are 4-11 -17.4 units last three years to an
WIN AGAIN SUNDAY, SWEEPS WISE GUY PLAYS FRI, SAT, SUN
The day card is up with two winners and we just added NBA and night baseball. The king of the dog and small favorite is ready to explode into a remarkable summer of winning and it continues on the unofficial beginning of summer today. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
MLB
BALTIMORE (TRACHSEL -124)
They Royals are back to playing like the Royals losing four straight. They are 9-18 at home for the year.
Sunday, May 27, 2007
ONLY WISE GUY ON
Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. We go 5-0 in MLB and NBA (plus hope you got down on our Indy 500 pick). You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
Mike Mussina has an 8.10 ERA at home. In his last two starts he’s given up 12 ER in 12 IP giving up 18 hits.
Sunday, May 27, 2007
OffshoreInsiders.com features the nation’s best handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, BetOnSports360.com, MasterLockLine.com
· Jose Contreras 4-0 lifetime to
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· Mike Maroth is 8-3 lifetime to
· Mike Mussina 15-8 lifetime to
· Roy Oswalt is 6-0 lifetime to
· Kyle Davies 0-3 to
· Dodgers Randy Wolf is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.89 ERA
· St. Louis Adam Wainwright has a 6.02 ERA this year and 7.02 in his last three starts
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· Cubs over 11-1 off three or more consecutive road games
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NBA SIDE & TOTAL, INDY 500, 5 MLB INC WG AND DANDY DOG
Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. We have an MLB Wise Guy after
LOS ANGELES (HENRICKSON +111) Cubs (Zambrano)
The Dodgers are 16-8 in their last 24 home games. The Cubs are 5-10 their last 15. Carlos Zambrano has given up four or more home runs in three of his last four starts. LA is 2-0 at home with Hendrickson. They are 3-0 in his day starts as he has a 2.60 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in those games. Conversely in seven day starts, Zambrano has a 6.48 ERA. He’s allowed home runs in seven straight starts and is off bad outings to
Friday, May 25, 2007
Check out OffshoreInsiders.com this Memorial Day weekend for MLB, NBA, NHL and Indy 500 winners.
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· St. Louis Anthony Reyes is 0-8 the the last two years as a home favorites of 125-175
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2-1 MLB YESTERDAY WITH 3 DOGS, WISE GUY AND MAJOR IN MLB TONIGHT
Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. We have a Wise Guy MLB puppy for tonight plus a Major play. Jump on that four-day pass. We will likely have some
Runline plays where the line is in typical range of -1.5 (+160) to +1.5 (+130) and a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start with a bullpen WHIP under 1.250 in their last 15 games is +124.4 units.
Felix the Cat Hernandez has been beatable lately with an ERA of 8.00 in his last three starts with a 2.778 WHIP. He’s still looking for a quality start since coming off the DL. He faces a Royal team with a .315 batting average and .374 OBP in his their last seven games, averging 6.3 runs.
Gil Meche has great numbers of a 2.44 ERA and 1.236 WHIP for the year. His home WHIP is 1.020. We don’t see
ONE DAY, TWO MLB NIGHT + NBA SIDE
Ervin Santana is road kill. His highway numbers are an 0-4 personal and 0-5 team record with a 7.86 ERA and 1.975 WHIP. The home team is 8-1 in his starts. All he does is face a
Going against road teams averaging .9 or fewer home runs per game against a pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or higher over his last three starts is +76.4.
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MLB
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· NY Mets Tom Glavine has a career mark of 31-0 against
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· Seattle over 6-1 for the year with Horacio Ramirez
Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances. Team record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the decision.
NBA
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· Detroit 3-9 skid at home
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· Dodgers over 18-4 to NL teams with an OBP of .325 or worse this year
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· The Yankees have gone under 16-3 this month
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· NY Yankees are 4-12 -15.8 to the division this year
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6 WINNERS OFF MLB PROFIT YESTERDAY
It’s the biggest day this month in MLB as Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com has six MLB winners. It includes the uber popular competitor consensus. If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a “competitor consensus”.
We also go against a big favorite who has a 2.200 WHIP in his last two starts and whose team has an OBP of just .273 in their last seven games. We have a night and day pitcher—his numbers are much worse at night and his WHIP is above 2.000 in his last three overall starts. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
Go with a team that draws four or more walks per game against a pitcher who gave up two or less earned runs in his last two outings is +83.4 units at 271-185. Go against a team with a bullpen ERA of 5.00 or worse starting a pitcher whose WHIP is less than 1.00 last five starts.
Guadin has great numbers at a 2.94 ERA and 1.288 WHIP for the year.
8-3 NBA RUN, CLEV & UNDER LAST NIGHT, UNDEFEATED SINCE 5-5 WITH NHL WISE GUY PLAYS, MLB, NHL & NBA TONIGHT
Roy Oswalt has a 5.68 road ERA. The Giants have beaten him 5-of-6. Oswalt has an ROI of -8 in those games.
Over the years I’ve heard a common faulty theory regurgitated when either a game has a large pointspread or even more commonplace when a contest involves two teams that play opposite tempos. It entails an if-then-else statement in which both the side and total are essentially handicapped jointly.
“If you like the big favorite you have to like the over, but if you like the big dog, you have to like the under,” the myth goes. Even more humdrum is “If you like the up-tempo team to cover, you have to like the over,” and I’m sure you can figure out what follows.
In a classic illustration, I saw this drivel rear its ugly head on gambling posting boards before the Spurs-Suns series.
Game 5 between
Of the remaining five games,
This is consistent with my observations over the years. Unless there is a push, there are four possible combinations of a side and total: Team A and the under, Team A and the over, Team B and the under and Team B and the over. Random chance suggests the if-then-else fairy tale has a 50 percent chance of being right because it says of the possible four combinations it will likely be one of two possibilities. My educated observations says every time I hear this theory espoused, one of the two alleged to be likely combinations hits less than 50 percent of the time.
I always handicap sides and totals as separate entities. If anything, based on experience, I feel more comfortable if I pick the ball control team to cover and the over, or the fast-paced team and the under.
The domino effect of course is not going to be as overwhelming as the Suns-Spurs series illustrates, but that example is closer to the rule than the exception.
A big believer in contrarian handicapping, as explained in previous articles, I can’t say there is necessarily such an angle here. But the invaluable lesson is to not inhibit handicapping by subscribing to the popular fallacy.
Here is the if-then-else truth for sports bettors. If you rid of the aforesaid robotic fairy tale, then your chances of winning are much greater.
Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com which now has the best free sports gambling match-ups, free picks, databases and more.
Check out the many new features at OffshoreInsiders.com including both StatFox and Sports Data Bases matchups, live odds and much more.
NBA
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· LA Dodgers over 17-3 to NL teams with an OBP of .325 or worse
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· NY Yankees are 4-13 -13.7 units this year off consecutive road games
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6-3 NBA, SIDE AND TOTAL PLUS 3 MLB
Going with a team that gets four or more walks per game against a starting pitcher who gave up two or less earned runs in each of his last two outings is 271-184 +84.4 units.
The Sox have a .226 batting average overall including .210 at home with a horrid .299 OPB.
NAIL ONLY PLAY, A WISE DANDY DOG ON MINNESOTA, WE NAIL CURLIN IN PREAKNESS, NBA SIDE & O/U UP + 3 MLB DOGS
Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com is in one of those grooves where the books run for cover because our expertise in picking underdogs assures that we win a lot of money in a hurry. We have five winners today, three in MLB and the Utah-San Antonio side and total. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.
NY METS (
The Bombers have bombed losing 7-of-9 -8.6 units. The Mets have won 9-of-11. John Maine has been the main man for the Metropolitans. NY is 7-1 in his starts and his ERA is 2.15.
The Mets are hitting .284 in all games with a beautiful .355 on base percentage. In their last seven games their batting average is .298 with a .380 OBP.
