Friday, December 31, 2010

Wisconsin-TCU Vegas Odds, Rose Bowl Predictions

There are plenty of NCAA football betting matchups to enjoy on New Year's Day but nothing compares to the Rose Bowl. The BCS tilt pits the No. 3 and No. 4 teams in the nation against each other.

(4) Wisconsin Badgers (11-1) vs (3) TCU Horned Frogs (12-0)

Saturday, January 1, 5:00 p.m. ET

Odd son this game:

Betting odds on this game:  favorite: TCU -3

Over/Under: 59

Was there a better team in the country for spread betting this season than the Wisconsin Badgers? Their ATS record of 11-1 matched their straight-up record. When they won, they won big; nine of their 11 wins came by double-digit margins. They're clearly a hot team for bettors, 6-0 against the spread over their last six, but not all their trends are positive. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS over its last eight non-conference games and 1-4 ATS over its last five against the Mountain West Conference.

Given Wisconsin's hilarious offensive explosion this season, in which it topped 70 points three times, it's no surprise that their  

Betting trends favor the OVER massively. Eight of Wisconsin's games went over this year, including seven of its last nine.

Turns out there was a better bet than Wisconsin this year: TCU. The Horned Frogs beat the spread in every single game this season. It doesn't get any better than that. Like Wisconsin, however, TCU isn't as comfortable outside its own conference. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS over their last five non-conference affairs.

TCU trends toward the UNDER much more than Wisconsin does. Six of the Horned Frogs' last seven bowl games have fallen under the total. In their last 18 games against teams with winning records, the point total has gone under 12 times.

Wisconsin is solid pretty much everywhere statistically. Its 43.3 points per game average is fifth in the country and its 248.8 rushing yards per game is the 12th-best mark. Between James White, John Clay, and Montee Ball, the Badgers had a whopping three players with at least 864 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns.

Supporting Wisconsin's 20th-ranked offense is the 21st-ranked defense in the country. The Badgers are best against the pass, allowing only 191.8 yards per game (24th).

TCU is the national standard for defense, leading the country with just 215.4 total yards allowed per game. The Horned Frogs are first in passing yards and points allowed plus third in rushing yards allowed. Andy Dalton leads the nation's 53rd best passing attack but, like Wisconsin, Texas Christian relies more on the run. The Horned Frogs' 260.5 rushing yards per game are good for eighth in the country.

Top expert pick on this game: Visit the OffshoreInsiders.com Network for the best sports betting picks.

 

 

 

Texas A&M vs. LSU Cotton Bowl Preview

One more stop on the bowl betting circuit before we start talking BCS. Next up, it's the Cotton Bowl, which features the very solid LSU versus Texas A&M.

(11) LSU Tigers (10-2) vs (18) Texas A&M Aggies (9-3)

Friday, January 7, 2011

Latest odds: LSU -1

Over/Under: 49

The Louisiana State Tigers were national title contenders earlier this season, opening the year 7-0, but most sports betting sharps saw the cracks. The Tigers scraped by too many so-so opponents, going only 3-4 against the spread during their undefeated start, and their absolutely atrocious passing game had to catch up to them sooner or later.

Though LSU is 2-5 ATS over its last seven against teams with winning records and 1-4 ATS over its last five games as a favorite, the Tigers have fared well at the sportsbook in their recent bowl games. They're 4-1 ATS over their last five bowl affairs.

Not surprisingly for an elite defensive school like LSU, eight of the Tigers' last 11 games have gone UNDER the total.

Texas A&M closed the 2010 season with a phenomenal run both straight-up and against the NCAA football betting spread, going 6-0 over their final six games in both regards and winning tough matchups against Oklahoma and Nebraska along the way.

Strangely enough, while their recent trends are red-hot, their bowl game trends are absolutely ice cold. They're 0-4 ATS over their last four bowl games, 0-5-1 ATS over their last six against the SEC and 0-7 ATS over their last seven neutral-site games. Four of Texas A&M's last five bowl games have fallen UNDER the over/under.

LSU has the No. 9 defense in the nation and the ninth-ranked pass defense, allowing just 165.9 yards per game. That's a highly impressive stat for an SEC team; it largely reflects the outstanding play of cornerback Patrick Peterson, who projects as a high first-round NFL pick.

Offensively, the Tigers did just enough to get by this year. Their running game was solid but their passing game was a mess, ranking 107th in the country with a paltry 155.4 yards per game.

Texas A&M's strength is its passing game, which is 18th in the nation. Jerrod Johnson started the year as the Aggies' go-to quarterback but the job belongs to Ryan Tannehill now. The two signal callers have combined for 25 touchdown passes this season.

Defensively, the Aggies are 22nd against the run and surrender only 20.3 points per game but they struggle mightily against the pass, ranking 95th with 240.5 yards allowed per contest.

 


Florida State vs South Carolina NCAA Football Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Florida State Seminoles and the South Carolina Gamecocks will both be trying to pick up a win on December 31 when they battle at Georgia Dome in the Chick-fil-A Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Gamecocks listed as 3-point favorites versus the Seminoles, while the game's total is sitting at 55.

In their last action, Florida State was a 44-33 loser on the road against Virginia Tech. They failed to cover the 4.5?point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (77) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Last time out for South Carolina, they were a 56-17 loser as they battled Auburn at home. South Carolina failed to cover in the match as a 3.5-point underdog, while 73 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Team records:
Florida State: 9-4 SU, 6-6 ATS
South Carolina: 9-4 SU, 7-5 ATS

Florida State most recently:
When playing in December are 4-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

South Carolina most recently:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on turf are 3-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Florida State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games
Florida State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
South Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina's last 10 games









Central Florida vs Georgia NCAA Football Betting


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Central Florida Knights and the Georgia Bulldogs will both be gunning for a victory on December 30 when they meet at Liberty Bowl in the Liberty Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bulldogs listed as 7-point favorites versus the Knights, while the game's total is sitting at 53.

Central Florida won its last outing, a 17-7 result against Southern Methodist on December 4. Central Florida covered in that game as a 7.5-point favorite, while the 24 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Georgia was a 42-34 winner in its last match at home against Georgia Tech. They failed to cover the 14?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 76 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Team records:
Central Florida: 10-3 SU, 9-3 ATS
Georgia: 6-6 SU, 4-7 ATS

Central Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 2-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

Georgia most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Central Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Georgia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games









Notre Dame vs Miami NCAA Football Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at Sun Bowl will be treated to a game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Miami Hurricanes when they take their seats on December 31 for the Sun Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Hurricanes listed as 3-point favorites versus the Fighting Irish, while the game's total is sitting at 47.

Last time out for Notre Dame, they were a 20-16 winner as they battled Southern Cal on the road. Notre Dame covered in the match as a 5-point underdog, while 36 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Miami lost its last outing, a 23-20 result against South Florida on November 27. Miami failed to cover in that game as a 13-point favorite, while the 43 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Notre Dame: 7-5 SU, 6-4-2 ATS
Miami: 7-5 SU, 4-7 ATS

Notre Dame most recently:
When playing in December are 2-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

Miami most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
Notre Dame is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games







South Florida vs Clemson NCAA Football Odds

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The South Florida Bulls and the Clemson Tigers will both be gunning for a victory on December 31 when they meet at Bank of America Stadium in the Meineke Car Care Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 6-point favorites versus the Bulls, while the game's total is sitting at 41.

Last time out for South Florida, they were a 19-16 loser as they battled Connecticut at home. South Florida failed to cover in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 35 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Clemson lost its last outing, a 29-7 result against South Carolina on November 27. Clemson failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 36 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
South Florida: 7-5 SU, 4-7 ATS
Clemson: 6-6 SU, 5-6 ATS

South Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 2-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Clemson most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
South Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Clemson's last 5 games










Thursday, December 30, 2010

Syracuse vs. Kansas State Betting Line Preview

It's Kansas State vs. Syracuse in the Pinstripes Bowl. The game is a pick at most sportsbooks with a total of 48, though it's 47.5 in some shops. Kansas State is 7-5 straight up and 6-6 against the spread, going over 8-3. Syracuse is 7-5 straight up and against the spread, going under 7-3 their last 10.

Kansas State averages 4.8 yards per rush teams that normally allow 4.3 and 7.7 yards per pass to 7.1, 5.8 yards per play to 5.6. Defensively, the Wildcats allow 5.9 yards per rush to teams that usually get 4.5, but 6.7 yards per pass to 6.9, 6.3 yards per play to 5.5.

Syracuse gets 3.9 yards per rush to defenses that allow an average of 4.1, 6.2 passing yards per attempt to 7.1 and 5.0 yards per play to 5.5.

On defense, the Orange allow 3.6 yards per rush to teams that usually get 4.0, 5.5 passing yards per attempt to 6.3 and 4.4 yards per play to 5.0.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Kansas State is 3-11 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, 0-4 in bowls.

The Orangemen are 10-3 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Wildcats have gone over 16-5 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Syracuse under 8-0 to teams with a winning record, under 20-7 on grass.

Top expert pick on this game: The Duke, Jonathan Mardukas built up a large scorephone following over the last dozen or so years.  With a database that goes back to 1980 the MasterLockLine say he is the top ranked college and pro football handicapper EVER. Just the second time he's released an Infinity Star release in any sport and the first time since 1998, the first time ever on a total. In reality, this is the biggest totals play released by any handicapper in any sport on Syracuse/Kansas State over/under. Click now to purchase or for more information and a free pick


Washington vs Nebraska NCAA Football Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Washington Huskies and the Nebraska Cornhuskers will both be gunning for a victory on December 30 when they meet at Qualcomm Stadium in the Holiday Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cornhuskers listed as 14-point favorites versus the Huskies, while the game's total is sitting at 53.

Washington was a 35-28 winner in its last match on the road against Washington State. They covered the 5.5?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 63 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

In their last action, Nebraska was a 23-20 loser on the road against Oklahoma. They covered the 4.5?point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Team records:
Washington: 6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS
Nebraska: 10-3 SU, 5-7 ATS

Washington most recently:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 2-8

Nebraska most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Nebraska is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games









North Carolina vs Tennessee NCAA Football Betting

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Tennessee Volunteers will both be trying to pick up a win on December 30 when they battle at LP Field in the Music City Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tar Heels listed as 2-point favorites versus the Volunteers, while the game's total is sitting at 50.

In their last action, North Carolina was a 24-19 winner on the road against Duke. They failed to cover the 8.5?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Tennessee was a 24-14 winner at home against Kentucky. They covered the 2.5?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (38) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Team records:
North Carolina: 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Tennessee: 6-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS

North Carolina most recently:
When playing in December are 4-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in December are 3-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
North Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 11 games








Kansas State vs Syracuse NCAA Football Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Kansas State Wildcats and the Syracuse Orange will both be gunning for a victory on December 39 when they meet at Yankee Stadium in the Pinstripe Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Wildcats listed as 1-point favorites versus the Orange, while the game's total is sitting at 48.

Kansas State won its last outing, a 49-41 result against North Texas on November 27. Kansas State failed to cover in that game as a 14-point favorite, while the 90 combined points took the game OVER the total.

In their last action, Syracuse was a 16-7 loser at home against Boston College. They failed to cover the 3.5?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (23) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Team records:
Kansas State: 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Syracuse: 7-5 SU, 5-5 ATS

Kansas State most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Syracuse most recently:
When playing in December are 4-2
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State's last 8 games
Kansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games









Army vs Southern Methodist NCAA Football Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at Gerald J. Ford Stadium will be treated to a game between the Army Black Knights and the Southern Methodist Mustangs when they take their seats on December 30 for the Armed Forces Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mustangs listed as 7-point favorites versus the Black Knights, while the game's total is sitting at 52.

Last time out for Army, they were a 31-17 loser as they battled Navy. Army failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 48 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Last time out for Southern Methodist, they were a 17-7 loser as they battled Central Florida on the road. Southern Methodist failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 24 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Team records:
Army: 6-4 SU, 5-4 ATS
Southern Methodist: 7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS


Southern Methodist most recently:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Army is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games







Wednesday, December 29, 2010

ESPN College Bowl Schedule: Army vs. SMU Picks

The ESPN college football schedule and bowl picks against the spread kicks off Thursday with Army vs. SMU in the Armed Forces Bowl. Southern Methodist is -7 -115 at most sportsbooks with a total of 52.

Army enters 6-6 straight up, 5-6 against the spread having gone over 8-3 this season. SMU is 7-6 outright and 6-7 to the number.

The Black Knights are perceived to be the much better running team but that's for those who confuse the accuracy of ratings vs. rankings. In reality, Army gets 4.5 yards per rush to defenses that permit 4.5, 7.5 yards per pass to 7.2, but just 5.0 yards per play to teams that normally allow 5.6, a number that includes special teams.

On defense, Army allows 4.3 yards per rush to squads that normally accumulate 4.2, a generous 7.8 yards per pass to 7.1 and 5.7 yards per play to 5.4.

Southern Methodist rushes for 4.8 yards per carry to defenses that allow an average of 4.4, 7.4 passing yards per attempt to 7.3, getting a nice margin of 6.3 yards per play against foes that are permitting an average of just 5.8.

Their numbers are quite accomplished on defense permitting 3.7 yards per rush versus teams normally getting 4.4, 6.8 yards per pass to 7.3 and a stingy 5.1 yards per pass against teams that usually get 5.8.

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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Army is 6-1 as road underdogs, yet 7-18  as an underdog of 3.5-10.0, 2-8 to teams with a winning record. SMU is 4-13 as favorites, 0-6 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Army has gone under 7-0 following a double-digit loss at home. SMU has gone over 10-2 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.


Chick-fil-A Bowl South Carolina vs. Florida State

The Chick-fil-A Bowl may not be a BCS matchup but it's still a pretty serious bowl game for college football betting sharps to ponder. We can't go wrong with two nationally ranked teams.

(19) South Carolina Gamecocks (9-4) vs (23) Florida State Seminoles (9-4)

Friday, December 31st, 7:30 p.m. ET

The favorite: South Carolina -3

Over/Under: 54

South Carolina was hot and cold from a betting perspective for much of this season, largely because it didn't have an identity. Was Steve Spurrier's team a top contender or just a high-end gatekeeper for the real powerhouses? It turned out to be more of the latter. South Carolina beat Alabama but lost to Arkansas and Auburn.

Down the stretch, however, South Carolina found its groove. Before getting dominated in the SEC title game, the Gamecocks won three straight games and beat three straight sportsbook spreads. Overall, South Carolina is 7-6 ATS this season. Nine of its 13 games trended OVER the total, which isn't surprising given all the talented SEC offenses they faced. Their games totalled 54.9 points on average.

Florida State seemed destined for a BCS Bowl early this season when it started 6-1 and went 5-2 ATS over that span. However, disappointing losses to N.C. State and North Carolina derailed the Seminoles' hopes. They went 4-3 over their final seven games and 2-5 ATS during that stretch. FSU is 7-6 ATS on the year and the UNDER is 8-5 for their games.

Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks aren't dominant in any one offensive area but pretty solid everywhere. They average 32 points a game; they have an efficient quarterback in Stephen Garcia leading the nation's No. 47 passing attack; and they have a touchdown machine in Marcus Lattimore pacing the 55th-ranked rushing offense.

Defensively, South Carolina is Jekyll and Hyde. The Gamecocks are an outstanding seventh against the run but 107th against the pass. That's what happens when you share a conference with Cameron Newton and Ryan Mallett.

Florida State's offense is an underwhelming 63rd overall, perhaps because it battled injuries all season. Christian Ponder played through an elbow injury and Jermaine Thomas, part of the Seminoles' multi-pronged rushing attack, is battling a knee injury.

Florida State's 65th-ranked pass defense could be in tough against Garcia but Lattimore and the Gamecocks will have to work hard to penetrate Florida State's 30th-ranked run defense (126.8 yards/game) and 24th-ranked scoring defense (19.8 points/game).


Capital One Bowl: Michigan State-Alabama Point Spread

It's not the national championship. It's not even a BCS bowl. The Alabama Crimson Tide therefore have to be disappointed with playing in the Capital One Bowl. But they have a quality opponent in Michigan State and a chance to make a statement, so sports betting fans could get treated to a fun game.

(15) Alabama Crimson Tide (9-3) vs (7) Michigan State Spartans (11-1)

Saturday, January 1, 1:00 p.m. ET

The favorite: Alabama -10

Over/Under: 52

Alabama won't be satisfied with its 9-3 record but such is life in the SEC. The defending national champs' three losses came to three other excellent teams: South Carolina, LSU and Auburn. The first two came on the road and the last loss to Auburn came in a game Alabama led 27-0 before Heisman Trophy winner Cameron Newton took over.

Alabama found itself overvalued against the college football betting spread in big games this year; the Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS over their last five games against teams with winning records. However, they're 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference matchups, so the previous stat once again reflects the hardship of playing in the SEC. Alabama is 1-4 ATS over its last five games when favored by 3.5 to 10 points.

The Crimson Tide tend to crank up the offense in bowl games; their last four bowl affairs have gone OVER the  total. The over is also 6-1-1 in 'Bama's last eight matchups against non-conference opponents.

Though Michigan State is 5-1 against the spread over its last six against teams with winning records, it's just 3-8 ATS over its last 11 contests as an underdog. The Spartans are 1-5 ATS over their last six as a dog of 3.5 to 10 points.

Five of the Spartans' last seven games have gone UNDER the betting total but six of their last seven non-conference affairs have gone over the total. The overall trends for the Capital One bowl seem to be pointing toward offense over defense.

Statistically, Alabama still flirted with elite status this season. It has the country's No. 6 overall defense, ranking 11th against the pass, 23rd against the run and fifth with just 14.1 points allowed per game. Mark Ingram's followup to his Heisman Trophy-winning 2009 season was marred by injuries and inconsistency so Alabama's rushing offense slipped to 36th. Greg McElroy had a productive season as a passer, however, and the Crimson Tide averaged 260.3 yards through the air per game (28th).

Michigan State matches up as a well-rounded but underwhelming opponent, ranking 38th in total offense (408.5 yard per game) and 26th in defense (329.8 yards). Thanks to quarterback Kirk Cousins and running back Edwin Baker, both of whom were effective this year, the Spartans are 43rd in passing and 41st in rushing.

Michigan's greatest strength is run defense. The Spartans allow 114 yards per game this year, good for 20th in the nation.


BCS Bowls '11 Picks, Predictions, Vegas Odds

Illinois-Baylor Spread Picks

Illinois vs. Baylor in the Texas Bowl at Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas. Illinois is a one-point sportsbook favorite with a total of 64. The total keeps going up and Baylor opened as the chalk.

Now here is a sports betting picks preview. Illinois is 6-6 straight up, but 8-4 to the number, going over 7-4. Baylor is 7-5 straight up, 5-7 to the number, also going over 7-of-11 for the year.

The Illini get 5.1 yards per rush to defenses that permit 4.3, but a measly 6.6 passing yards per attempt to 7.2 for 5.6 yards per play to squads usually permitting 5.6.

On defense they permit 3.9 yards per rush squads that normally accumulate 4.4, 6.9 passing yards per attempt to 7.2 and 5.3 yards per play to 5.7, all above average defensive numbers.

Baylor is sensational on offense getting 5.5 yards per rush against teams that normally allow 4.3, 7.8 yards per pass to 6.8 and a very impressive 6.6 yards per play to 5.5.

Defense, though they are subpar. They allow 4.2 yards per rush versus squads that earn 4.0, 7.2 passing yards per attempt to 6.8 and 5.7 yards per play to 5.3.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Illinois is 8-2 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game but 3-13 in their last 16 non-conference games.

The Bears are 9-1 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, but 1-5 as underdogs.

Over/under trends: Illinois has gone over 7-0 off straight up loss, but under 14-4 on grass. Baylor has gone over 7-1 overall.

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East Carolina vs. Maryland in the Eagle Bank Bowl Picks Preview

It's East Carolina vs. Maryland in the Eagle Bank Bowl. The scores and odds Maryland is a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 68.

ECU enters with a 6-6 straight up and against the spread mark, going over 9-of-12. Maryland is 8-4 outright and against the spread, going over 6-4 this season.

The Pirates average 4.5 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 4.0 and 6.7 passing yards per attempt teams that normally allow 7.3, and 5.9 yards per play to 5.6.

They have been very benevolent on the defensive side permitting 5.1 yards per rush versus teams normally getting 4.4, 8.1 passing yards per attempt to 7.5 and 6.4 yards per play to 5.7.

Maryland gets 3.8 yards per rush versus teams that normally allow 4.1, 7.1 passing yards per attempt to 6.7 and 5.4 yards per play to 5.3.

The Terrapins allow a stingy 3.5 yards per rush squads that normally accumulate 4.1, 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 6.5 and 4.7 yards per pass to 5.2.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Maryland is 12-2 after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, yet 1-9 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

ECU is 2-9 outside the conference.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): East Carolina has gone over 8-2 after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and over 7-2 outside the conference.

Top expert pick on this game: Jared Lindsey a handicapper out of Sarasota, FL is among the Top 5 handicappers all sports combined since 1995-present. Stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play. We release his 5* plays. An expert on "statistically significant" raw data, he is widely accepted as the top late and postseason handicapper in the world. The top late and postseason handicapper, long-term, bar none, he has his Bowl Side and Total of the Year on East Carolina/Maryland side and over/under. It's on the MasterLockLine now or for more information and a free pick


Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Insight Bowl Insight and Free Pick Against the Spread

Missouri vs. Iowa in the Insight Bowl official betting preview. Missouri is a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 46.5. They are laying three-points in some Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks.

Mizzou is 10-2 straight up and 7-5 to the number. They've gone under 8-of-11 this season. Iowa is 7-5 straight up, 5-6 against the spread, also going under 8-3.

Missouri gets 4.8 yards per rush to squads usually permitting 4.3, 6.6 yards per pass to 6.7, 5.7 yards per play to 5.4. On defense they allow 3.9 yards per rush versus teams normally getting 4.1, 5.8 yards per pass to 6.8 and 4.9 yards per play to 5.3.

The Hawkeyes get 4.1 yards per rush to squads usually permitting 4.4, 8.5 passing yards per attempt to 7.3 and 6.1 yards per play to 5.7.

Iowa allows 3.3 yards per rush to versus squads that earn 4.3, 6.1 yards per pass to 7.4 and 4.8 yards per play to 5.7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Tigers are 5-12 to teams with a winning record, 0-5 after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Iowa 9-2 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, 24-9 after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 21-8 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Missouri under 8-1 to conference. Iowa under 22-5 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, under 7-0 to Big 12.

Top expert pick on this game: What a great night of betting. The ESPNU Big East O/U of the Year Providence/Syracuse is one of the strongest bets all season. The Insight Bowl late night game between Missouri and Iowa is also a whopping Level 5. If that's not enough, yes week 16 in pro football closes out with what may be the strongest game side yet. Click now to purchase

Matt Rivers free pick winner Tuesday is on Missouri -2.5 over Iowa.

When this matchup first came out I was all over Kirk Ferentz' experienced and senior laden Hawkeyes. I believed that with a month to prepare Iowa would prove to be the better team and outclass a good but not great Missouri team as they did last year against Georgia Tech. But then Johnson-Koulianos was suspended and Adam Robinson was deemed out and I did an about face and for good reason.

I still think Iowa is a solid enough team but the season was underachieving and now without two of their main cogs things just cannot come all that easy today. Blaine Gabbert and the Tigers were not a fluke at all this season and at full strength should be able to prevail here. The Tigers' defense is certainly much improved from what it had been for years and the offense is high flying at times and at the very least extremely capable. Gabbert is a guy who could potentially be playing on Sundays and will make his share of plays today.

Gary Pinkel has been around the block awhile and quite possibly has his best team to date, even including the team led by Chase Daniel and Jeremy Maclin from a few seasons back.

Ferentz' will have his team fired up but they are shorthanded and very possibly not as good as some people, including myself, believed they were earlier in the season.

The pick: Missouri -2.5.

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NC State-West Virginia Betting Odds and Against the Spread Preview

It's North Carolina State vs. West Virginia in the Champs Sports Bowl, which ironically is from Citrus Bowl Stadium in Orlando. Here is the official betting preview.

WVU is laying 2.5 or three-points, so bettors need to check out various sportsbooks for the best lines. The total is 49, pretty much across the board.

NC State is 8-4 straight up and 9-3 to the number, while the Mountaineers are 9-3 s and 7-5 against the spread.

The Wolfpack get 3.5 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 3.9, 6.8 yards per pass to 6.9, but thanks to special teams, they have a little more competitive 5.3 yards per play to 5.3.

NC State is outstanding to the run, holding teams to a full yard below their normal average, though they allow .3 more yards per pass. Overall, they allow 5.3 yards per play versus squads that earn 5.5.

West Virginia gets 3.9 yards per rush against squads that normally accumulate 4.0, an excellent 7.5 yards per pass to 6.7, and 5.4 yards per play to 5.2.

Their defense is nothing short of remarkable allowing 2.7 yards per rush to teams normally getting 3.8, 5.7 yards per pass to 6.5 and 4.2 yards per play to 5.0.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Wolfpack are 21-8 as an underdog and 21-8 on grass. WVU is 4-12 to ACC, 7-1 to teams with a winning record.

Over/under trends:  West Virginia has gone over 5-1 in the bowls.

Top expert pick on this game: The Center of the Handicapping Universe has hit 11-of-16 college football picks including Air Force yesterday. A 3-0 college basketball sweep led by the ESPNU Big East Game of the Year on Pittsburgh in a rout meant another winning day for GodsTips. Get the Champs Sports Bowl side plus the Vikings-Eagles side.

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Monday, December 27, 2010

Free Pick: Independence Bowl Odds

Your free pick winner for Monday is on the under 56 in the Bowl game between Georgia Tech and Air Force.

I am not going to write War and Peace here because there are a few simple factors that I am buying into here and that is enough for me to believe there will be less points than the oddsmaker seems to believe.

For one, both teams run this triple option attack and therefore both defenses play against it on a daily basis in practice and also have had a few extra weeks to prepare for it in this game which can be nothing but advantageous. This is not a regular week where an opponent gets its three or four days to prepare for a much different offense. These squads have had ample amount of time to figure out what they pretty much already know. Certainly executing is another step in defending today's foe but both defenses will be as prepared as any team ever could be against the option.

I also am all about the under as throwing the ball is not the norm for either squad and therefore we will see a lot of running and consequentially a lot of the clock ticking down. In the college game the clock obviously will stop when there's a first down but we are going to see a lot of runs leading to a lot of time running down. With both teams understanding the opposing offense I just do not see big plays being the norm here, I really don't. The defenses should be fairly disciplined and stay with their assignments until the end of plays limiting those 50 yard gallops.

It's unusual to see a game like this and I really believe it is keeping the oddsmakers a bit off balance. Look for the defenses to be a step in front and for this thing to not get into the 50's in the end.

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Magic vs Nets NBA Handicapping

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Orlando Magic and the New Jersey Nets will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Prudential Center.

Oddsmakers currently have the Magic listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Nets, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Last time out for Orlando, they were an 86-78 winner as they battled the Celtics at home. The Magic covered in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 164 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

New Jersey lost its last outing, a 105-91 result against the Hornets on December 22. The Nets failed to cover in that game as an 8-point underdog, while the 196 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Current streak:
Orlando has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Orlando: 18-12 SU, 10-19-1 ATS
New Jersey: 9-21 SU, 15-15 ATS

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Cleveland are 7-3
After playing Boston are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

New Jersey most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Oklahoma City are 3-7
After playing New Orleans are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games

Next up:
Orlando at Cleveland, Tuesday, December 28
New Jersey at Oklahoma City, Wednesday, December 29






Pistons vs Bobcats NBA Betting

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Detroit Pistons and the Charlotte Bobcats will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Time Warner Cable Arena.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

Detroit lost its last outing, a 95-92 result against the Bulls on December 26. The Pistons covered in that game as a 4.5-point underdog, while the 187 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

The Bobcats were a 99-81 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Thunder. They failed to cover the 7?point spread as underdogs, while the total score (180) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
Charlotte has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 10-20 SU, 17-13 ATS
Charlotte: 9-19 SU, 11-15-2 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Chicago are 3-7
After a loss are 4-6

Charlotte most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Cleveland are 5-5
After playing Oklahoma City are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Next up:
Detroit home to Boston, Wednesday, December 29
Charlotte home to Cleveland, Wednesday, December 29






Islanders vs Rangers NHL Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

- If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the New York Islanders and the New York Rangers meet at Madison Square Garden.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

Last time out for New York, they were a 4-1 winner as they battled the Canadiens at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Islanders at +140 were rewarded, while the 5 combined goals moved the game PUSH for totals bettors.

Last time out for New York, they were a 4-3 loser as they battled the Lightning at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Lightning at +125 were rewarded, while the 7 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Current streak:
New York has won 3 straight games.
New York has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 9-18-6
New York: 20-14-2

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing New Jersey are 5-5
After playing Montreal are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Florida are 5-5
After playing Tampa Bay are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Islanders are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Islanders are 5-20 SU in their last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Next up:
NY Islanders home to Pittsburgh, Wednesday, December 29
NY Rangers at New Jersey, Wednesday, December 29







Wild vs Blue Jackets NHL Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Minnesota Wild and the Columbus Blue Jackets will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Nationwide Arena.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

Last time out for Minnesota, they were a 4-1 loser as they battled the Red Wings at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Red Wings at -135 were rewarded, while the 5 combined goals moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

The Blue Jackets were a 4-1 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Blackhawks. That made winners of bettors who got Chicago at -155 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
Columbus has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 16-14-4
Columbus: 17-15-3

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Florida are 4-4-2
After playing Detroit are 7-3
After a loss are 4-6

Columbus most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Toronto are 2-6
After playing Chicago are 5-5
After a loss are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing Columbus
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Columbus's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Columbus is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Next up:
Minnesota home to San Jose, Wednesday, December 29
Columbus at Toronto, Thursday, December 30







Raptors vs Grizzlies NBA Betting


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at FedExForum will be treated to a game between the Toronto Raptors and the Memphis Grizzlies when they take their seats on Monday.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

Toronto was a 115-93 loser in its last match at home against the Pistons. They failed to cover the 5?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 208 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Last time out for Memphis, they were a 104-90 winner as they battled the Pacers on the road. The Grizzlies covered in the match as a 4.5-point underdog, while 194 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Current streak:
Toronto has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Toronto: 10-19 SU, 14-14-1 ATS
Memphis: 13-17 SU, 17-12-1 ATS

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Dallas are 5-5
After playing Detroit are 8-2
After a loss are 4-6

Memphis most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Sacramento are 3-7
After playing Indiana are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Memphis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Toronto at Dallas, Tuesday, December 28
Memphis at Sacramento, Wednesday, December 29





Georgia Tech vs Air Force NCAA Football Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Air Force Falcons will both be gunning for a victory on December 27 when they meet at Independence Stadium in the Independence Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 3-point favorites versus the Yellow Jackets, while the game's total is sitting at 56.

Georgia Tech was a 42-34 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Georgia. They covered the 14?point spread as underdogs, while the total score (76) made winners of OVER bettors.

Air Force won its last outing, a 35-20 result against UNLV on November 18. Air Force failed to cover in that game as a 18.5-point favorite, while the 55 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Georgia Tech: 6-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS
Air Force: 8-4 SU, 4-7 ATS

Georgia Tech most recently:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

Air Force most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games
Georgia Tech is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Air Force's last 11 games
Air Force is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Air Force is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games



Connecticut vs Pittsburgh NCAA Basketball Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Connecticut Huskies and the Pittsburgh Panthers will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Petersen Events Center.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

In their last action, Connecticut was an 81-52 winner at home against Harvard. They covered the 12.5?point spread as favorites.

Pittsburgh won its last outing, a 61-46 result against American on December 22.

Current streak:
Connecticut has won 10 straight games.
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Connecticut: 10-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
Pittsburgh: 12-1 SU, 3-4 ATS

Connecticut most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing South Florida are 2-3
After playing Harvard are 0-1
After a win are 9-1

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Providence are 7-3
After a win are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut

Next up:
Connecticut home to South Florida, Friday, December 31
Pittsburgh at Providence, Tuesday, January 4





Saints vs Falcons NFL Odds

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at Georgia Dome will be treated to a game between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons when they take their seats on Monday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 3-point favorites versus the Saints, while the game's total is sitting at 49.

Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 30-24 loser as they battled the Ravens on the road. The Saints failed to cover in the match as a 2-point underdog, while 54 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

In their last action, Atlanta was a 34-18 winner on the road against the Seahawks. They covered the 5.5?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Current streak:
Atlanta has won 8 straight games.

Team records:
New Orleans: 10-4 SU, 5-9 ATS
Atlanta: 12-2 SU, 10-4 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in December are 8-2
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

Next up:
New Orleans home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, January 2
Atlanta home to Carolina, Sunday, January 2




Sunday, December 26, 2010

NFL Weather, Free Picks Week 16

JoeDuffy.net has NFL weather, free premium picks and week 16 lines and more. 

Texans vs Broncos NFL Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Houston Texans and the Denver Broncos will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at INVESCO Field at Mile High.

Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 3-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total is sitting at 49½.

Last time out for Houston, they were a 31-17 loser as they battled the Titans on the road. The Texans failed to cover in the match as a 1.5-point underdog, while 48 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Last time out for Denver, they were a 39-23 loser as they battled the Raiders on the road. The Broncos failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 62 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Current streak:
Houston has lost 3 straight games.
Denver has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 5-9 SU, 4-9-1 ATS
Denver: 3-11 SU, 4-10 ATS

Houston most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Denver most recently:
When playing in December are 1-9
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Denver's last 19 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Houston home to Jacksonville, Sunday, January 2
Denver home to San Diego, Sunday, January 2



Titans vs Chiefs NFL Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Tennessee Titans and the Kansas City Chiefs will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Arrowhead Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Chiefs listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Titans, while the game's total is sitting at 43.

Tennessee won its last outing, a 31-17 result against the Texans on December 19. The Titans covered in that game as a 1.5-point favorite, while the 48 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Kansas City won its last outing, a 27-13 result against the Rams on December 19. The Chiefs covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Tennessee: 6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS
Kansas City: 9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

Next up:
Tennessee at Indianapolis, Sunday, January 2
Kansas City home to Oakland, Sunday, January 2





Redskins vs Jaguars NFL Betting


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Washington Redskins and the Jacksonville Jaguars will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at EverBank Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Jaguars listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game's total is sitting at 46.

The Redskins were a 33-30 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Cowboys. They covered the 9.5?point spread as underdogs, while the total score (63) made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, Jacksonville was a 34-24 loser on the road against the Colts. They failed to cover the 4?point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (58) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Current streak:
Washington has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Washington: 5-9 SU, 8-5-1 ATS
Jacksonville: 8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS

Washington most recently:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Next up:
Washington home to NY Giants, Sunday, January 2
Jacksonville at Houston, Sunday, January 2





Jets vs Bears NFL Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at Soldier Field will be treated to a game between the New York Jets and the Chicago Bears when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total is sitting at 36.

Last time out for New York, they were a 22-17 winner as they battled the Steelers on the road. The Jets covered in the match as a 3.5-point underdog, while 39 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Chicago won its last outing, a 40-14 result against the Vikings on December 20. The Bears covered in that game as a 5.5-point favorite, while the 54 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Team records:
New York: 10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS
Chicago: 10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Chicago most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing Chicago
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Jets are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Jets
Chicago is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

Next up:
NY Jets home to Buffalo, Sunday, January 2
Chicago at Green Bay, Sunday, January 2





Lions vs Dolphins NFL Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The Detroit Lions and the Miami Dolphins will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Sun Life Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Dolphins listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game's total is sitting at 41½.

In their last action, Detroit was a 23-20 winner on the road against the Buccaneers. They covered the 3.5?point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Miami was a 17-14 loser at home against the Bills. They failed to cover the 6?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (31) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
Detroit has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 4-10 SU, 10-4 ATS
Miami: 7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Miami most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Detroit is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Detroit

Next up:
Detroit home to Minnesota, Sunday, January 2
Miami at New England, Sunday, January 2



Ravens vs Browns NFL Betting


 The Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 4-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game's total is sitting at 40.

In their last action, Baltimore was a 30-24 winner at home against the Saints. They covered the 2?point spread as favorites, while the combined score (54) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Last time out for Cleveland, they were a 19-17 loser as they battled the Bengals on the road. The Browns failed to cover in the match as a 1-point underdog, while 36 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Current streak:
Baltimore has won 2 straight games.
Cleveland has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Baltimore: 10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS
Cleveland: 5-9 SU, 5-9 ATS

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

Next up:
Baltimore home to Cincinnati, Sunday, January 2
Cleveland home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, January 2

Patriots vs Bills NFL Handicapping


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The fans at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be treated to a game between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 9-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

Last time out for New England, they were a 31-27 winner as they battled the Packers at home. The Patriots failed to cover in the match as a 14-point favorite, while 58 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

In their last action, Buffalo was a 17-14 winner on the road against the Dolphins. They covered the 6?point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (31) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
New England has won 6 straight games.
Buffalo has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New England: 12-2 SU, 8-5-1 ATS
Buffalo: 4-10 SU, 8-5-1 ATS

New England most recently:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 12 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Buffalo's last 23 games when playing New England

Next up:
New England home to Miami, Sunday, January 2
Buffalo at NY Jets, Sunday, January 2



49ers vs Rams NFL Odds


 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com

The San Francisco 49ers and the St. Louis Rams will meet on the gridiron at Edward Jones Dome on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rams listed as 3-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game's total is sitting at 40.

San Francisco was a 34-7 loser in its last match on the road against the Chargers. They failed to cover the 10?point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 41 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

St. Louis lost its last outing, a 27-13 result against the Chiefs on December 19. The Rams failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Current streak:
St. Louis has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
San Francisco: 5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS
St. Louis: 6-8 SU, 9-5 ATS

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 8-2

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in December are 1-9
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 17 games

Next up:
San Francisco home to Arizona, Sunday, January 2
St. Louis at Seattle, Sunday, January 2







Saturday, December 25, 2010

NFL Spreads: Cowboys vs. Cardinals

One of the best Vegas scores and odds contests this week in football is the clash between Cowboys vs. Cardinals for Christmas night.

The current Vegas point spread is Dallas -7 to 7.5 with varying juice with a total of 45 in most shops, but 45.5 in some.

The best sports picks experts use different key handicapping numbers than the square player. Here is a preview of that game from a handicapping standpoint.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the superiority from a statistical standpoint goes to the Arizona Cardinals by .4.

Passing yards per completion is another gauge utilized by bettors. The advantage is possessed by Dallas by .4.

Possibly the most utilized number by professional bettors is yards per point. From the offensive viewpoint the positive checkmark is in the column of Dallas by a mere .1.

Now go to the key numbers on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the better run defense is Dallas by .1

The superior passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to Arizona by that same .1 slim margin,

In terms of yards per point, the better defense is Arizona forcing 1.3 more.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dallas is 17-4 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, but 1-6 as favorites.

Arizona 15-5 as home underdog of 3.5-10.0, 15-6 after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, 1-6 grass.

Over/under trends: Dallas over 13-3 all, over 9-0 to NFC. Arizona over 21-7 after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.


Free NBA Picks

NFL picks, the Cowboys vs. Cardinals is the big game from a handicapping standpoint, but the top sports handicappers have many a gift from Santa Claus for day action.

Matt Rivers has a Christmas Day winner for Saturday is on da Chicago Bulls +2 at the NY Knicks.

Reasoning: Mike D'Antoni has done a great job thus far with the Knicks as Amare Stoudemire is playing like a total MVP. Add in Ray Felton and Wilson Chandler and a few others including surprising rookie Landry Fields and the Knickerbockers are somewhat back to relevance.

With the above said though New York is still not in the class of today's opponent as Derrick Rose is phenomenal and an MVP candidate himself and Carlos Boozer is a star as well. The loss of Joakim Noah with that thumb injury wasn't great but Tom Thibodeaux's team continues to plug along and win game after game. Chicago has been victorious on the court in 9 out of their last 10 games and have cashed in six of their last seven. The schedule hasn't exactly been overwhelming with the weaker teams from the East being the fodder but the Bulls are still 18-9 and starting to run away with their division.

Chicago's defense has been off the charts of late as opponents are consistently shooting around 35% and scoring in the low 80's. No doubt the Knicks are going to look to run and get out on the break but these Bulls with Rose and Boozer can play at that pace if necessary and should be just fine in doing so.

The Knicks are coming off big games with the Heat, Celtics and Thunder and I'm hard pressed to believe they are going to be able to keep the focus and intensity once more in a small period of time. Plus the distraction of being at home on Christmas day in the bright lights of New York City could turn out to be a negative and especially so in this early noon tip.

Da Bulls will get the job done in da end.

Top expert pick on this game: Chicago +2

For more information: A much needed and easy winner on the 300,000* Golden Hurricane last night. A trio of winners today including a Raising of the Bar 400,000* on the Heat and Lakers along with a 300,000* Cowboys-Cardinals and 200,000* Mississippi State-Hawaii. I'm running the gamut today with three plays in basically three different sports. Don't miss out! Matt Rivers premium card is up

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