Home/Road Comparison Gives Sportsbooks a Splitting Headache

So often a square player believes he hits a goldmine in sports betting when he discovers a team or pitcher is substantially better at home than on the road. This may or may not prove to be a significant breakthrough because it may be within the range of the home field advantage already factored into the line.

Sharps know that the true find is when a pitcher or squad (in any sport) has a home/road dichotomy that is less than the mean. Such circumstances often isolate great situations to bet with the road team.

In betting with Marathonbet UK of course we have exploited conditions where the public prefers: squads that are much better at home. This is so often the case with young and inexperienced teams early in the season.

But when a hurler or lineup has similar home/road splits and in some cases are actually superior away from home, depending on other metrics, opportunity lies to either invest on them on the road and/or versus them at home.

For example, home field is generally worth three points in football and about the same or a notch more in basketball. Hence the net difference between home and road should be about six points. When betting with Marathonbet global the divergence over a significant number of games is only 1.4 points as an example, we have a highly potential for an angle to further explore.

Let there be no doubt, home/road splits can often benefit betting on hosts, but the deviation must be much more substantial. As an illustration, OffshoreInsiders.com’s Mike Godsey says a two-point difference favoring the road team is the equivalent of a 10-point difference pointing towards the home team in football and approximately in basketball.

Splits that value the road team are less pronounced and sneak under the radar. In addition, they often point towards the underdog, where value more often resides.
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