As we gear up for the 2024 NFL season, one of the most intriguing prop bets to consider is which player will lead the league in rushing yards. With a deep pool of talented running backs and even a few dual-threat quarterbacks in the mix, the race for the rushing crown is wide open. Below, we’ll analyze the top contenders based on the latest odds and explore who might have the best chance to rack up the most ground yards this season.
Christian McCaffrey (SF) +275 at MyBookie
Christian McCaffrey tops the list with the shortest odds, and it’s easy to see why. He’s a dual-threat back who can dominate both the ground and the air. In San Francisco's run-heavy offense, McCaffrey is poised to get plenty of touches, assuming he stays healthy. His versatility could be a double-edged sword, though; while he’s sure to gain a lot of yards, the 49ers’ reliance on him as a receiver might reduce his rushing attempts.
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +600
Jonathan Taylor had an off year in 2023 due to injuries and a struggling Colts offense, but at +600, he’s a strong candidate to bounce back. If Indianapolis can find more consistency under center, Taylor has the potential to dominate on the ground. His powerful running style and ability to break tackles make him a legitimate contender for the rushing title.
Saquon Barkley (PHI) +625
Saquon Barkley’s move to Philadelphia has generated a lot of buzz. The Eagles have a strong offensive line and a commitment to the run game, which could put Barkley in a prime position to lead the league in rushing. His blend of power and agility, combined with his ability to make big plays, makes him a dangerous contender. The only concern is his history of injuries, which has occasionally limited his effectiveness.
Bijan Robinson (ATL) +800
As the top rookie from last year in this list, Bijan Robinson is an exciting dark horse. Atlanta is expected to lean heavily on the run, and Robinson’s collegiate production suggests he can handle a full workload in the NFL. If he can quickly adjust to the pro game, Robinson could surprise everyone and contend for the rushing title in his debut season.
Breece Hall (NYJ) +800
Breece Hall showed flashes of brilliance before his season was cut short by injury last year. At +800, he offers intriguing value, especially if the Jets’ offense can take a step forward. Hall has the talent to be a bell-cow back, but the key will be his ability to stay on the field and avoid the dreaded sophomore slump.
Derrick Henry (BAL) +1000
Derrick Henry has been a dominant force in the NFL for years, and while his odds are longer this year, you can never count him out. Now with the Baltimore Ravens, Henry will likely be the focal point of the offense, especially in goal-line situations. His combination of size, speed, and power is unparalleled, and if he stays healthy, he could easily outpace the competition.
Kyren Williams (LAR) +1300
Kyren Williams is a bit of a surprise in the top odds, but with the Rams potentially moving to a more run-focused offense, he could see an uptick in carries. If Williams can establish himself as the lead back, he might turn these long odds into a valuable payout for savvy bettors.
Zamir White (LV) +1300
Zamir White is another intriguing option at +1300. With Josh Jacobs no longer in Las Vegas, White could take over as the primary rusher in an offense that has historically relied on the ground game. If he can seize the opportunity, White could emerge as a serious contender.
Josh Jacobs (GB) +1600
Despite moving to the Green Bay Packers, Josh Jacobs remains a strong candidate to lead the league in rushing. Jacobs has proven he can handle a heavy workload, and if the Packers commit to the run, he could be a steal at +1600.
De'Von Achane (MIA) +2000
De'Von Achane’s speed and playmaking ability make him an exciting bet at +2000. The Dolphins’ offense is built around quick, explosive plays, and Achane could be the beneficiary. However, his smaller stature might limit his usage as an every-down back, making him a bit more of a long shot.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) +2000
Another rookie on the list, Jahmyr Gibbs has the talent to make an immediate impact in Detroit. The Lions have a solid offensive line, and Gibbs could thrive if he earns the starting job. His odds reflect both his potential and the uncertainty surrounding his role.
Isiah Pacheco (KC) +2200
Isiah Pacheco turned heads in his young career with the Kansas City Chiefs, and at +2200, he offers solid value. The Chiefs’ offense is high-powered, and if Pacheco can continue to improve, he could rack up significant yardage in a pass-heavy system.
Nick Chubb (CLE) +2200
Nick Chubb consistently ranks among the top rushers in the NFL, and his odds at +2200 might be undervalued. Chubb’s running style is built for grinding out yards, and if the Browns can remain competitive, he could quietly lead the league in rushing.
Alvin Kamara (NO) +2500
Alvin Kamara’s odds reflect his dual-threat ability as a rusher and receiver. While he may not see as many carries as others on this list, Kamara’s efficiency and big-play potential make him a sleeper pick at +2500.
The Long Shots: Big Payouts for Big Risks
Joe Mixon (HOU) +2800 and Kenneth Walker (SEA) +2800: Both offer high upside if their respective offenses can support a strong run game.
Travis Etienne (JAX) +2800: Could emerge as a breakout star if Jacksonville’s offense continues to develop.
Aaron Jones (MIN) +3300: A versatile back who could surprise with a strong season in Minnesota.
Raheem Mostert (MIA) +3300: Has the speed to break big runs but is often limited by injuries.
Tony Pollard (TEN) +5000: Offers massive upside if he can handle a full-time role in Tennessee.
Conclusion: Who Will Lead the League?
Christian McCaffrey is the safe bet at +275, but for those looking for more value, Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry present strong cases at +600 and +1000, respectively. If you’re willing to take a risk, Bijan Robinson at +800 or Josh Jacobs at +1600 could provide substantial returns.
As with all prop bets, it’s crucial to consider not just the player’s talent but also their offensive scheme, health, and the competition within their own team. The race for the rushing crown is sure to be thrilling, and with so many viable contenders, betting on the NFL’s top rusher in 2024 could be as exciting as the season itself.
Most Rushing Yards (Regular Season) from Bovada
Christian McCaffrey (SF)+275
Jonathan Taylor (IND)+600
Saquon Barkley (PHI)+625
Bijan Robinson (ATL)+800
Breece Hall (NYJ)+800
Derrick Henry (BAL)+1000
Kyren Williams (LAR)+1300
Zamir White (LV)+1300
Josh Jacobs (GB)+1600
De'Von Achane (MIA)+2000
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET)+2000
Isiah Pacheco (KC)+2200
Nick Chubb (CLE)+2200
Alvin Kamara (NO)+2500
Joe Mixon (HOU)+2800
Kenneth Walker (SEA)+2800
Travis Etienne (JAX)+2800
Aaron Jones (MIN)+3300
Raheem Mostert (MIA)+3300
David Montgomery (DET)+4000
James Cook (BUF)+4000
Zack Moss (CIN)+4000
D'Andre Swift (CHI)+4500
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)+4500
James Conner (ARI)+5000
Jaylen Warren (PIT)+5000
Jonathon Brooks (CAR)+5000
Rachaad White (TB)+5000
Tony Pollard (TEN)+5000
Brian Robinson (WAS)+6600
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)+6600
Gus Edwards (LAC)+6600
J.K. Dobbins (LAC)+6600
Keaton Mitchell (BAL)+6600
Lamar Jackson (CAR)+6600
Najee Harris (PIT)+6600
Best NFL Handicapper
That’s Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com who has been winning bets since 1988 as part of the famed Amazing Cadillac Club 900-number.
