Yet again the top sports betting expert makes you a fortune Saturday. GodsTips has all but clinched yet another winning week in football as we are 11-6 so far including 4-2 with Wise Guy plays: TCU, SMU,
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Simply put, if you are betting without the advice of GodsTips led by Joe Duffy and Mike Godsey, we can only thank you for keeping the bookmakers in business for the rest of us.
Below is a sample of what you get on every report as this is the premium report of predominately winners from Saturday collegiate football.
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. We always urge line shopping to compliment the sharpest plays in the world and release plays as early as possible to ensure more success. Often our plays are released before most sportsbooks have lines up. If we released plays later in the day, it would allow us to shop for better lines than we are able to post. But we are more concerned about YOU being able to shop for better lines. Be aware that in many cases better lines will be available than the ones we post.
Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
In MLB, because so many systems are pitcher specific, please note it is now our policy to always specify pitchers unless otherwise noted.
CFB
Wise Guy…
We are tempted to go with
The Wildcats mirror the
Dicky
Locke and wide receiver/quarterback Randall Cobb, combined.
Also the Wildcats have had good fortune this year, which is tough to maintain.
The Jayhawks will be seeking their second straight win against a top 5 opponent, having beaten No. 5 Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl.
We know Bob Stoops is perfect straight up in the week after the Red River Shootout, but this is a lot of points against a quality team.
Oh we have had so much success fading teams once the glass slipper is off. The Commodores lost their first game last week, now for the first time all year play consecutive road games and it's against their toughest foe.
Vandy will for the first time this year get key yardage in the air, but they average 5.0 yards per pass against teams normally allowing 6.4.
Commodores have trailed in every game they've won, falling behind
Ole Miss by 10. It finally bit them in the but, but now that UGA won't have their guard down, is better than any team the 'Dores faced, we see a big blowout.
Those who watch game films—and we subscribe to all of them, tell us UGA outmans
Vanderbilt everywhere. Now the other slipper comes off in blowout.
SMU +13.5 Houston
SMU is looking at each game as a building block and clearly is getting better. The
The most noticeable success has been in the Mustangs' passing offense, which is ranked No. 11 in the country (293.1 yards per game). Other units, however, entered the season with nowhere near the depth present at quarterback and receiver.
Those areas, particularly the running game, are finally showing improvement. SMU racked up 151 rushing yards against
Though they are 1-6 straight up and 16 straight to Division I teams, they have covered 2-of-3 by double digits and the one exception was a .5 point spread setback.
The Mustangs are clearly in building block, moral victory mode. We call them covers.
Major…
UL
Going against road team off home win to conference against a team off double digit win to the conference is 303-199 +84.1 units. The status of ULL QB Mike Desormeaux keeps this as a Major, though there are other key indicators that would make it a Wise Guy.
Going against road team off home win to conference against a team off double digit win to the conference is 303-199 +84.1 units.
This is a competitor consensus. If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a "competitor consensus".
This is a competitor consensus. If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a "competitor consensus".
Our official outlaw line is
Our official outlaw line is
Our official outlaw line is -16. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action. It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.
This is one of the top sharp versus squares games. That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and "outlaw" contacts. We go with the sharp money.
PURDUE +155 (Moneyline) Northwestern
Go against a home team off an straight up loss with a winning record is +97.1 units on the moneyline including +11.8 this year. Also when both teams are averaging 21-28 points per game on offense and the road team gave up and scored 17 or less the previous game, the road team is 25-7 +39.2 units. Again, your wallet considers that better than 100 percent.
This game illustrates why ratings are so much more accurate than rankings. Virginia Tech's success is because they average 175 yards rushing per game, but a closer look shows that they get just 3.8 yards per carry against teams normally allowing 4.2. Now they face a BC team that holds teams to .8 yards per rush below their normal average.
Overall they allow 4.2 yards per play to teams normally getting 4.7. Tech is actually below average on offense and on defense. They are a paper Hokie. BC is above average on both sides of the ball.
Even the rankings tells us that Tech is not as good as their record. The Hokies are ranked 107th nationally in total offense, averaging 292.8 yards per game, their lowest average since 1987, when Virginia Tech averaged 261.7 yards per game in Beamer's first season.
The Hokies' defense, which was ranked third, first, and second the last three seasons, is now ranked 35th, allowing an average of 314.3 yards per game.
Now they have two starters suffering season-ending injuries the last two games - rover back Davon Morgan (torn anterior cruciate ligament) and tailback Kenny Lewis (ruptured Achilles'). Morgan and Lewis were also the Hokies' primary kick returners. This is the youngest team Frank Beamer ever coached.
MLB
Major…
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