Monday, October 20, 2008

Broncos-Patriots Preview

The fans at Gillette Stadium will be treated to a game between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Monday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 3-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total is sitting at 49.
The Broncos lost to Jacksonville 24-17 as a 3-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (48.5).
Jay Cutler threw for 192 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Denver and Michael Pittman rushed for 109 yards on 20 carries.
The Patriots lost to San Diego 30-10 as a 6-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).
Matt Cassel threw for 203 yards with no touchdowns and an interception for New England, while Sammy Morris rushed for 26 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries.
Team records:
Denver: 4-2 SU, 1-4-1 ATS
New England: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New England most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Denver is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
New England is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Next up:
Denver home to Miami, Sunday, November 2
New England home to St. Louis, Sunday, October 26

 

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