Thursday, July 28, 2011

Orioles vs Blue Jays MLB Handicapping

 If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Thursday when the Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays meet at Rogers Centre.
The Orioles will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Brad Bergesen in this game. Bergesen has a 2-6 record and a 5.46 ERA this season.
Meanwhile, it'll be Carlos Villanueva who starts for the Blue Jays. Righthander Villanueva is 4-2 with a 4.11 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Blue Jays listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game's total is sitting at 9.
The Orioles were a 3-0 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Blue Jays. That made winners of bettors who got Toronto at -167 on the moneyline, while the total score (3) was good news for UNDER bettors.
Team records:
Baltimore: 41-59 SU
Toronto: 52-52 SU
Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 2-8
Before playing NY Yankees are 2-8
After playing Toronto are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Texas are 5-5
After playing Baltimore are 7-3
After a win are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Baltimore's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games 
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 21 games 
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
Next up:
Baltimore at NY Yankees, Friday, July 29
Toronto home to Texas, Friday, July 29

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