Monday, September 05, 2011

Reds vs Cubs MLB Handicapping

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs will meet on the field at Wrigley Field on Monday in a battle of division rivals.
The Reds will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Dontrelle Willis in this game. Willis has a 0-4 record and a 4.10 ERA this season.
Willis's opponent in this one will be Matt Garza. The Cubs righthander has a 3.64 ERA to go along with a 7-10 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 143-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game's total has not yet been posted.
Cincinnati won its last outing, a 3-2 result against the Cardinals on September 4. Bettors who backed the Reds at +149 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Chicago was a 6-3 winner in its last match at home against the Pirates. They won as -133 favorites, while the total score of 9 made winners of OVER bettors.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 69-71 SU
Chicago: 60-80 SU
Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Chi Cubs are 5-5
After playing St. Louis are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After playing Pittsburgh are 6-4
After a win are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 17-6 SU in their last 23 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games 
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Cincinnati, Tuesday, September 6




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