Saturday, October 29, 2011

Free NFL Pick Patriots vs. Steelers writer Joseph Falchetti looks at the New England Patriots (-2.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers – Sunday at 4:15 pm.

In a battle for AFC conference supremacy, the Patriots (5-1, 4-2 ATS) travel to Pittsburgh (5-2, 3-4 ATS) to face the Steelers at Heinz field. The Patriots offense is the top ranked in the league and is averaging just over 30 points a game.  On the opposite side of the ball, the Pats also sport the league's worse defense.   The Patriots looked flustered in their last game against Dallas, the best defense they have faced so far.  The Cowboys simply just could not put points up on the board on offense to win the game.  I don't think the Steelers will make the same mistakes.

Look for Big Ben to clock the Patriots

The Steelers are ranked 2nd in pass defense and 3rd overall in total defense making this toughest matchup the Pats have faced all year.  Ike Taylor has done a great job on limiting top opposing receivers for Pittsburgh, I think he continues on his trend and will be able to limit the red hot Wes Welker.  Both teams should attack through the air, which in my opinion gives the Steelers a solid advantage.

The Pats are giving up a league worst 320 yards passing a game.  Ben Roethlisberger has been the hottest QB in the league over the past few weeks throwing 9 touchdowns in his past 3 games.  Although, all pro receiver Hines Ward may not be able to go this week, it could be a blessing in disguise for the Steelers, whose dynamic young receivers of Antonio Brown and Emmanuelle Sanders have been frustrating defensive backs for weeks.  Along with deep threat wide out Mike Wallace, Big Ben's receiving core should gash New England's porous secondary.

The Steelers at +2.5 in Heinz Field is too good to pass up, as a home underdog recently Pittsburgh is 6-1 against the spread in their past 7 games.  In addition to that, I think they win the key matchups in this game and they have started to play their best football of the year, on both sides of the ball.

The pick: Steelers +2.5

Top expert pick on today's card: The greatest sports handicapper the world has ever seen GodsTips, anchor of went 7-0 last week in the NFL.  Led by Ohio State and Louisville we go 2-1 with Wise Guys to make it 17-5 with all football Wise Guys. We go 6-4 overall, not bad but we are capable of much more.

It's a 7-0 NFL Sunday including two Wise Guy plays, a huge moneyline underdog and a total along the way. Oh it includes the Sunday Night Game of the Year on Dallas-Philadelphia. A certain stud team and/or star QB has struggled against a particular defense they face today. Which star player has had something show up on game film to slow him down. There are so many angles that go into today's fantastic sweep. Click now to purchase



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