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The free picks and jaw-dropping intel podcast for today

New York-Orlando Melo Anthony doubtful for Knicks, 2-4 without him. Magic Tobias Harris also doubtful, 1-3 without him, over 3-1. He averages 17.4 points per game and 6.6 boards. Magic three games in four days.

Washington-Toronto Wizards Bradley Beal out. They’ve covered and gone under both since his latest injury. He is averaging 15 points per game. San Antonio-Detroit Detroit 6-4 without Brandon Jennings. Spurs three games in four days but Detroit back-to-back and three games in four days. Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3. All the picks an intel

Atlanta-Boston Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3.

Memphis-Oklahoma City Memphis back-to-back and three games in four days, OKC three games in four days.

Sacramento-Milwaukee Kings Darren Collison doubtful as they are 1-4 without him and under all five. He averages 16.1 points per game and 5.6 assists. Kings back-to-back and three games in four days while Bucks rested. Bucks now top against the spread team in terms of Margin of Cover. Why MoC is superior to mere against the spread mark: they are 7-3 against the spread last 10 but three setbacks by combined 5.5 points. Hence last 10 games +6.5 MoC as three covers by 11 or more. Kings 2-8 last 10, seven by -6.5 or worse. Kings under seven straight by 15.285 points per game. Kings worst net rating last five by wide margin -16.4 led by worst offensive efficiency at 90.8 points per 100 possessions.

Free pick: MILWAUKEE and UNDER

Miami-Cleveland Heat without Dwayne Wade 7-7-2 minus him and under 9-7. Though Miami No. 2 under team, gone over 3-1 by whopping 12.25 points per game. Cleveland over two straight by average of 17 points per game.

Indiana-New Orleans Pelicans Anthony Davis questionable 2-2 without under 3-1. They are 9-6 without Jrue Holiday going under 9-6. Now without Ryan Anderson 14.9 points per game and 5.2 boards. Pacers three games in four days.

Golden State-Minnesota Wolves three games in four days. Warriors were neck-and-neck with Atlanta as easily the two most dominant spread teams in NBA, but 3-6 their last nine with five of the spread setbacks by double-digits. Minnesota as healthy as they have been all year with Kevin Martin and Ricky Rubio back. Warriors far and away best net rating in NBA at +12.4, second best last 15 at 11.2. Minnesota second worst at -10.3, barely behind Philly. Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3.

Memphis-Oklahoma City Thunder best net rating in their last five games +11.7 led by best offensive efficiency at 117.7 points per 100 possessions.

Utah-Dallas Dallas Monta Ellis likely to miss first game. He averages 20 points per game. They are already minus Rajon Rondo, though 3-2 without him, going over 3-2.

Lakers-Portland Lake Show 3-5-1 since losing Bryant, under 5-3-1. Blazers rested hosting Lakers back-to-back and three games in four days. Lakers second worst net rating last five at -13.3.

Houston-LA Clippers Houston 4-3 without Dwight Howard over 4-3. Clippers without Blake Griffin 1-1 without him over both. Houston back-to-back and three games in four days, Clippers three games in four days. Clippers worst defensive efficiency in their last five games allowing whopping 116.6 points per 100 possessions.

NBA Freeplays and Daily Fantasy Football and Vegas Strip Podcast

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Orlando-Washington Washington G Bradley Beal is questionable. He averages 15 points per game. He is 28th most effective SG according to Hollinger. The Magic are 6-28 ATS (-5.12 ppg) since Dec 14, 2009 off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by double digits. The Wizards are 2-17 ATS (-6.92 ppg) since Apr 18, 1999 at home with at least one day of rest when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game. Teams are 40-14 ATS (3.86 ppg) since Jan 20, 2014 as a home favorite off a win in which they never trailed as a favorite. That says to favor Washington. Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days versus fully rested Washington team.

Free picks podcast http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/sports-betting-podcasts/e/36914924?autoplay=true

San Antonio-Indiana Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Spurs 82 percent of public betting on them.

Golden State-Philadelphia
Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Philadelphia 13-6-1 without Tony Wroten going under 13-7 including 10-4 since he was lost for season. Philly point guard Michael Carter-Williams is questionable. He averages 15.0 points per game, 6.2 boards, and 7.4 assists per game. However, Hollinger says he is only 41st most effective PG, so his absence may be overvalued though Sixers 0-2 against the spread without him. Warriors 3-21 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a win when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points more in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. Philly 2-17 as a dog when their opponent is playing in at least their third straight road game, but 2-0 after losing 17 in a row; 0-11 at home after a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds. Home underdogs of 12 or more 66-40-2 for 62.3 percent. In fact, with large point spreads home teams do well. Phily is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams as they are 6-1 last seven despite 12-40 straight up mark. Golden State 3-5 last eight against the spread despite 40-9 mark. Home underdogs of 10.5 or more with winning percentage that is 55 points or more less than opponent are 57-29.

Free pick: Philadelphia

Knicks-Heat Knicks Melo Anthony probable. Dwayne Wade out for Heat, under 9-6 minus him.

Utah-New Orleans New Orleans Anthony Davis questionable. Pelicans under 3-1 minus him. Hollinger has him best player in the NBA. Pelicans are 9-5 since losing Jrue Holiday, going under 9-5. Teams are 19-56 ATS (-2.45 ppg) since Jan 25, 2014 as a home dog after a double digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field, says to fade New Orleans.

Brooklyn-Milwaukee The Nets are 0-11 ATS as a dog with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak. The Bucks are 18-3 ATS since Jan 05, 2010 as a favorite off a game which was tied 5 or more times win at home but 2-15 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

Atlanta-Minnesota Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Hawks PG Jeff Teague is questionable though Atlanta a surprising 3-0 against the spread minus him. He is fourth most effective PG. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Atlanta big public bet at 82 percent. Clippers-Dallas Clippers without C Blake Griffin rated 10th best player and second best PF. Lost against the spread and went over in first game without him. Dallas minus Rajon Rondo, the 35th most effective PG. LA Clippers back-to-back and three games in four days.

Oklahoma City-Denver Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. OKC back-to-back and three games in four days. OKC top public play at 83 percent. LateInfo gave you a strong hint when we told you it was one of the biggest plays of the season.

Illinois Chicago +444 on the moneyline was the third moneyline bet this season in basketball. All three were +280 or more. All three won. That is now 160-72 since 2012 with many of the winners (and some losers) being money line underdogs, often large money line underdogs.

Hawks-Warriors Free Pick Among Betting and Fantasy Basketball News, Notes

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New York-Brooklyn Knicks 11-38 straight up, 3-21 road but 4-1 last five road and 6-2 all against the spread

Cleveland-Indiana Cavs back-to-back. Road team 29-15 against the spread Pacers games. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Cleveland 85 percent of public bets.

LA Clippers-Toronto Clippers back-to-back. They are 33-16 straight up but 1-5 against the spread. Toronto No. 2 over team, though under last two and Clippers under 6-of-7 with three of the last six under by at least 15. Clippers No. 1 offensive efficiency 110.3 points per 100 possessions.

Lakers-Orlando Magic 14-38 against the spread but 26-21 against the spread recently. Orlando worst defense last five allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions. Last 14 games allowing a league worst 110.8.

Golden State-Atlanta Golden State three games in four days. No. 2 and 3 spread teams in league, Warriors +3.5, Hawks +3.4. Only Bucks are also above 1.9. However Hawks 2-4 last six with covers by a combined five points with setbacks by 37 hence -5.33 last six. Warriors three straight by six or more. Top two net rating teams Golden State +13, Atlanta +7.4. Warriors best defensive efficiency allowing 97.3 points per 100 possessions, Hawks tied at 5th at 100. But Golden State also No. 2 offensive efficiency at 110.3 points per 100 possessions and Atlanta 5th at 107.4. Golden State quickest pace in their last five games 101.92 possessions per 48 minutes. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is Atlanta -1. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves.

Free pick: Atlanta

Denver-Detroit Both three games in four days. Detroit G Brandon Jennings out for year. Pistons 4-3 since going over 4-3.

Utah-Phoenix Phoenix back-to-back but Utah three games in four days. Jazz are 17-32 but 26-21 against the spread and 11-4 on the road last 15 against the spread despite 8-18 straight up mark.

Philadelphia-Boston Boston three games in four days. Sixers are horrid 11-39 straight up, 5-21 road but 5-0 against the spread run and 10-5 last 15. Sixers remain far and away top under team in league by -6.6 and under 33-17. Sixers worst net rating in league -10.8. Sixers a surprising 12-5-1 in all games without Tony Wroten going under 12-6 including 9-3 since he was lost for season. Sixers bar none worst offensive efficiency at 91.6 points per 100 possessions. Boston 8th worst at 101.

New Orleans-Oklahoma City New Orleans without Jrue Holiday, 8-4 against the spread without him going under 8-4. OKC Kevin Durant questionable, under 18-9 without him. New Orleans second best offensive efficiency in their last five games 109.2 points per 100 possessions. New Orleans slowest pace in their last five games 91.63 possessions per 48 minutes. The Pelicans are 12-0 ATS (10.34 ppg) since Dec 10, 2014 as a dog.

Milwaukee-Houston Milwaukee top MoC in NBA 33-16 by 4.1 including 6-1 the last seven. Only spread setback is by 1.5 while every cover is by 5.5 or more, five by nine or more. Dwight Howard still out for Houston, under 3-1 without him. Milwaukee second best defensive efficiency at 98.7 points per 100 possessions.

Free pick: Milwaukee

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Miami-San Antonio Miami three games in four days. The Spurs are 31-18 straight up 19-7 at home but 0-4-1 against the spread recently, two by -25 or worse. Heat No. 2 under team by -4.4 going under 31-18 though over two straight by 14.5 or more. Miami without Dwayne Wade, but no compelling betting numbers to report. Heat slowest pace in NBA 91.80 at possessions per 48 minutes. The Heat are 16-4 ATS (4.78 ppg) since Jun 14, 2012 on the road after a loss as a dog.

Sports Picks Free Top NBA Handicapper

At Joe Duffy's Picks we do not make the absurd promises of 80 percent winners. But one need not when we deliver on consistent upper 50 to lower 60 percentile. The clockwork disembowelment of the overmatched oddsmakers continues tonight with five winners led by a Wise Guy.

An angle that has not applied since Feb. 9 of 2013 is 84.6 percent against the spread and in a bizarre anomaly applies twice tonight. As under-the-radar injury information as we have seen in a while applies tonight. And we do continue to either ride or fade a certain team because of the reasons they are over or undervalued still. We do not make claims without backing them up. All the intel is explicitly exposed. Are you ready to be left speechless and destroy the bookmaker? OffshoreInsiders.com

Detroit-Indiana Detroit back-to-back. Detroit without PG Brandon Jennings but 4-2 without him, including 3-1 since losing him for season. The Pacers are 1-16-1 ATS (-8.53 ppg) since Feb 09, 2014 as a favorite after a game as a home favorite.

Chicago-Houston James Harden probable for Rockets, Dwight Howard out. Houston 1-2 without Howard going under 2-1.

Washington-Atlanta Admittedly surprised to see when teams have winning streaks of at least 15 snapped, actually 11-7 including 6-1 at home! However Atlanta 1-4 last five despite 19-1 straight up and only cover by one. However Wizards in seven-game spread skid, the last two by nine or more.

Denver-Boston Denver back-to-back, Boston back-to-back and three games in four days

Miami-Minnesota Miami back-to-back and three games in four days. Heat guard Dwayne Wade out, under 8-5 minus him, 5-6-2 against the spread.

LA Lakers-Milwaukee Bucks now top spread team in NBA as covered six straight by an average of 10.66 per game. Lakers 2-8-1 last 11 but actually 2-1 last three.

Oklahoma City-New Orleans OKC Kevin Durant doubtful under 18-8 minus him, 11-14-1 against the spread. New Orleans Jrue Holiday out, 8-3 minus him, going under 8-3.

Free pick: UNDER

Memphis-Utah Utah back-to-back. Home dogs 24-10 after 82-119-2 start. Teams are 44-18-4 ATS (4.47 ppg) since Jan 25, 2015 as a dog overall.

Dallas-Golden State Golden back-to-back. Dallas PG Rajon Rondo out. Only game minus him they failed against the spread and went under. The Mavericks are 33-8 ATS (3.27 ppg) since Feb 04, 2011 as a road dog after a game as a dog. Warriors No. 2 spread team and have covered two straight by combined 23.5 after three game skid of -13.5 or more.

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Joe Duffy's Picks is 85-59 for 59 percent in college and pro basketball including Oakland as the Horizon League Game of the Year. Get a college basketball and NBA winner tonight and begin the rest of your gambling life. Just keep winning with the best betting intel the sporting world has to offer. Joe Duffy has the experience, knowledge, and work ethic that make him a legend since his picks first went public on June 1, 1988. Get it all at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com
Philadelphia-Cleveland Both three games in four days. Sixers 10-5 without Tony Wroten and under 8-2 since he was lost for the year. Hollinger Player Efficiency Rating have him 21st best shooting guard. Sixers top under team by -6.8 and under 32-16 including 14-2 the last 16. Cleveland under 18-6, the last four by 12.12 points per game. Free pick: UNDER

Charlotte-Washington Charlotte without Kemba Walker. They are 3-0 without him going under all three. He averages 18.8 points per game and 5.2 assists per game. Hollinger Player Efficiency Rating have him 15th best PG in NBA. Wizards John Wall questionable. He averages 17.4 points per game and 4.5 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee-Toronto Toronto three games in four days. Bucks top spread team in NBA based on margin of cover. They covered five straight all by 5.5 or more, four by at least nine. Toronto over five straight, four by 12 or more now No. 2 over team in NBA. Milwaukee over 4-of-6 but three by 11 or more.

Free pick: OVER

LA Clippers-Brooklyn Clippers three games in four days. Brooklyn’s Joe Johnson is questionable. She averages 15.8 points per game. Nets 2-1 without him going under 2-1.

Atlanta-New Orleans Atlanta three games in four days. New Orleans star Anthony Davis is probable. Hollinger Player Efficiency Rating have him No. 1 most valuable to team. Atlanta 1-3 last four only cover by one.

Orlando-Oklahoma City Magic Victor Oladipo is questionable. Hollinger Player Efficiency Rating 15th best shooting guard 16.6 points per game, 3.8 rebounds, 3.8 assists. The Thunder are 1-11-1 ATS (-7.19 ppg) since Apr 14, 2014 as a favorite after a loss on the road.

Minnesota-Dallas Both three games in four days. Mavs forward Chandler Parsons probable 12th best small forward. Dallas PG Rajon Rondo out. He averages 8.7 points per game, 8.7 assists per game and 6.3 boards. Minnesota worst spread team in NBA based on sweat barometer.

Memphis-Phoenix Phoenix three games in four days. Memphis top public play as 80 percent of bettors on them, 72 percent on the moneyline.