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Orlando-Washington Washington G Bradley Beal is questionable. He averages 15 points per game. He is 28th most effective SG according to Hollinger. The Magic are 6-28 ATS (-5.12 ppg) since Dec 14, 2009 off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by double digits. The Wizards are 2-17 ATS (-6.92 ppg) since Apr 18, 1999 at home with at least one day of rest when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game. Teams are 40-14 ATS (3.86 ppg) since Jan 20, 2014 as a home favorite off a win in which they never trailed as a favorite. That says to favor Washington. Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days versus fully rested Washington team.
Free picks podcast http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/sports-betting-podcasts/e/36914924?autoplay=true
San Antonio-Indiana Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Spurs 82 percent of public betting on them.
Golden State-Philadelphia
Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Philadelphia 13-6-1 without Tony Wroten going under 13-7 including 10-4 since he was lost for season. Philly point guard Michael Carter-Williams is questionable. He averages 15.0 points per game, 6.2 boards, and 7.4 assists per game. However, Hollinger says he is only 41st most effective PG, so his absence may be overvalued though Sixers 0-2 against the spread without him. Warriors 3-21 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a win when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points more in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. Philly 2-17 as a dog when their opponent is playing in at least their third straight road game, but 2-0 after losing 17 in a row; 0-11 at home after a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds. Home underdogs of 12 or more 66-40-2 for 62.3 percent. In fact, with large point spreads home teams do well. Phily is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams as they are 6-1 last seven despite 12-40 straight up mark. Golden State 3-5 last eight against the spread despite 40-9 mark. Home underdogs of 10.5 or more with winning percentage that is 55 points or more less than opponent are 57-29.
Free pick: Philadelphia
Knicks-Heat Knicks Melo Anthony probable. Dwayne Wade out for Heat, under 9-6 minus him.
Utah-New Orleans New Orleans Anthony Davis questionable. Pelicans under 3-1 minus him. Hollinger has him best player in the NBA. Pelicans are 9-5 since losing Jrue Holiday, going under 9-5. Teams are 19-56 ATS (-2.45 ppg) since Jan 25, 2014 as a home dog after a double digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field, says to fade New Orleans.
Brooklyn-Milwaukee The Nets are 0-11 ATS as a dog with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak. The Bucks are 18-3 ATS since Jan 05, 2010 as a favorite off a game which was tied 5 or more times win at home but 2-15 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
Atlanta-Minnesota Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Hawks PG Jeff Teague is questionable though Atlanta a surprising 3-0 against the spread minus him. He is fourth most effective PG. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Atlanta big public bet at 82 percent. Clippers-Dallas Clippers without C Blake Griffin rated 10th best player and second best PF. Lost against the spread and went over in first game without him. Dallas minus Rajon Rondo, the 35th most effective PG. LA Clippers back-to-back and three games in four days.
Oklahoma City-Denver Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. OKC back-to-back and three games in four days. OKC top public play at 83 percent. LateInfo gave you a strong hint when we told you it was one of the biggest plays of the season.
Illinois Chicago +444 on the moneyline was the third moneyline bet this season in basketball. All three were +280 or more. All three won. That is now 160-72 since 2012 with many of the winners (and some losers) being money line underdogs, often large money line underdogs.
