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New York-Brooklyn Knicks 11-38 straight up, 3-21 road but 4-1 last five road and 6-2 all against the spread
Cleveland-Indiana Cavs back-to-back. Road team 29-15 against the spread Pacers games. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Cleveland 85 percent of public bets.
LA Clippers-Toronto Clippers back-to-back. They are 33-16 straight up but 1-5 against the spread. Toronto No. 2 over team, though under last two and Clippers under 6-of-7 with three of the last six under by at least 15. Clippers No. 1 offensive efficiency 110.3 points per 100 possessions.
Lakers-Orlando Magic 14-38 against the spread but 26-21 against the spread recently. Orlando worst defense last five allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions. Last 14 games allowing a league worst 110.8.
Golden State-Atlanta Golden State three games in four days. No. 2 and 3 spread teams in league, Warriors +3.5, Hawks +3.4. Only Bucks are also above 1.9. However Hawks 2-4 last six with covers by a combined five points with setbacks by 37 hence -5.33 last six. Warriors three straight by six or more. Top two net rating teams Golden State +13, Atlanta +7.4. Warriors best defensive efficiency allowing 97.3 points per 100 possessions, Hawks tied at 5th at 100. But Golden State also No. 2 offensive efficiency at 110.3 points per 100 possessions and Atlanta 5th at 107.4. Golden State quickest pace in their last five games 101.92 possessions per 48 minutes. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is Atlanta -1. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves.
Free pick: Atlanta
Denver-Detroit Both three games in four days. Detroit G Brandon Jennings out for year. Pistons 4-3 since going over 4-3.
Utah-Phoenix Phoenix back-to-back but Utah three games in four days. Jazz are 17-32 but 26-21 against the spread and 11-4 on the road last 15 against the spread despite 8-18 straight up mark.
Philadelphia-Boston Boston three games in four days. Sixers are horrid 11-39 straight up, 5-21 road but 5-0 against the spread run and 10-5 last 15. Sixers remain far and away top under team in league by -6.6 and under 33-17. Sixers worst net rating in league -10.8. Sixers a surprising 12-5-1 in all games without Tony Wroten going under 12-6 including 9-3 since he was lost for season. Sixers bar none worst offensive efficiency at 91.6 points per 100 possessions. Boston 8th worst at 101.
New Orleans-Oklahoma City New Orleans without Jrue Holiday, 8-4 against the spread without him going under 8-4. OKC Kevin Durant questionable, under 18-9 without him. New Orleans second best offensive efficiency in their last five games 109.2 points per 100 possessions. New Orleans slowest pace in their last five games 91.63 possessions per 48 minutes. The Pelicans are 12-0 ATS (10.34 ppg) since Dec 10, 2014 as a dog.
Milwaukee-Houston Milwaukee top MoC in NBA 33-16 by 4.1 including 6-1 the last seven. Only spread setback is by 1.5 while every cover is by 5.5 or more, five by nine or more. Dwight Howard still out for Houston, under 3-1 without him. Milwaukee second best defensive efficiency at 98.7 points per 100 possessions.
Free pick: Milwaukee
Memphis-Minnesota Joe Duffy's Picks premium at OffshoreInsiders.com.
Miami-San Antonio Miami three games in four days. The Spurs are 31-18 straight up 19-7 at home but 0-4-1 against the spread recently, two by -25 or worse. Heat No. 2 under team by -4.4 going under 31-18 though over two straight by 14.5 or more. Miami without Dwayne Wade, but no compelling betting numbers to report. Heat slowest pace in NBA 91.80 at possessions per 48 minutes. The Heat are 16-4 ATS (4.78 ppg) since Jun 14, 2012 on the road after a loss as a dog.