Saturday, May 17, 2008

Pirates-Cubs Who Will Cover?

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Saturday when the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field.
The Pirates will give the ball to starter Zach Duke in this one. Lefthander Duke is 2-2 this season with a 4.04 ERA.
The Cubs will counter Duke with ace Carlos Zambrano. Righthander Zambrano has a 2.03 ERA to go along with a 6-1 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 250-moneyline favorites versus the Pirates, while the game's total has not yet been posted.
Alfonso Soriano belted two home runs to lead the Cubs to a 7-4 win over the Pirates in the opener of a three-game series on Friday, as -155 favorites. The 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (10).
Soriano went 2-for-4 at the plate with four RBIs. Sean Gallagher allowed just one run over six innings for the win, and Kerry Wood closed out the ninth for the save.
Doug Mientkiewicz cracked a two-run homer for the Pirates, who were +140 underdogs in that game. Tom Gorzelanny gave up seven runs off seven hits over six innings in the loss.
Current streak:
Chicago has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Pittsburgh: 20-22 SU
Chicago: 26-16 SU
Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Chi Cubs are 2-8
After playing Chi Cubs are 3-7
After a loss are 7-3

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Pittsburgh are 9-1
After playing Pittsburgh are 8-2
After a win are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, May 18
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