Friday, November 06, 2009

NCAA Football Odds - Don't Expect A Shootout When Buckeyes, Nittany Lions Hook Up

Whatever the posted total is in your sportsbook for Saturday's Big Ten showdown between No.11 Penn State and No.16 Ohio State, consider the under, which has been the result for four of their last five meetings.

Ohio State vs Penn State odds - Saturday, November 7, 3:30 PM ET

The Buckeyes (7-2, 4-1) pounded New Mexico State 45-0, but don't be surprised, sportsbook players: Ohio State is not an offensive juggernaut. The Buckeyes are 63rd in the nation in offense, including 94th through the air, and quarterback Terrelle Pryor has struggled this year, thanks in part to some poor play-calling by coach Jim Tressel. Pryor was a darkhorse in many sports picks for the Heisman award, but it seems that Tressel still hasn't figured out how to use his dual-threat pivot.

The Nittany Lions (8-1, 4-1) dropped Northwestern 34-13 on the road, and they're a much more balanced offensive squad than the Buckeyes as they're 33rd on the ground, powered by Evan Royster, or you can face Darryl Clark and the No.34-ranked aerial attack. Penn State has been on a mission since their upset home loss to Iowa, who lead the Big Ten, and this will be their first major sportsbook test since then.

Sportsbook odds favor the Nittany Lions by five points at home, and the Buckeyes would love nothing more than to avenge last year's 13-6 loss at the Horseshoe at the hands of Penn State. This should be a low-scoring as the Nittany Lions are fifth in the nation in points allowed, while the Buckeyes are sixth in the country. Outside of Ohio State's 37-17 win at Happy Valley, their recent meetings have been defensive slugfests, and this is looking to follow that trend. The Buckeyes really don't have many outside threats besides Pryor, while the Nittany Lions can go to Royster to take the pressure off of Clark, which also brings the play-action pass into play. The Buckeyes won't win, or at least share, their fifth straight Big Ten title, and the Nittany Lions will keep their hopes alive.

NCAA football picks: Penn State -5

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