Joe Duffy’s Picks has three NFL winners (more possible by game time). Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Get his and other top service bets at OffshoreInsiders.com
Chargers-Bills
· Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Chargers)
o 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
· Philip Rivers predictably unpredictable
· Bills abysmal
· Chargers pass rusher Joey Bosa is out
· Yes home underdogs of 7 or more 53.6 percent but only 33-40 when hosting a team off a loss of seven or more
· Fading teams that average 3 or less points per game, unless they are home favorites is 18-8 (San Diego)
· Josh Allen makes first career start after going 6-of-15 for 74 yards passing and 26 yards rushing
Eagles-Buccaneers
· Tampa has terrible last season and undervalued, while Eagles had everything to right
· Tampa WR DeSean Jackson upgraded to probable
o 5 catches in week 1, 106 previous two years
· Both teams with backup, but very experienced QBs
o Eagles Nick Foles
o Bills Ryan Fitzpatrick
· Road favorites that had at least 200 fewer total yards than their opponent did previous week are 20-9
o Listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you
· Eagles RB Darren Sproles is out
o 3,376 career yards rushing on 4.9 yards per carry
· Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery who has had five straight seasons of 52 or more catches is out
Colts-Redskins
· Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Colts)
o 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Colts)
· Solid momentum angle that has to do with undefeated team versus a winless team under specific circumstances that apply today is 70-49-2 (Redskins)
· Skins undervalued as not sure Cousins to Smith is drop-off, Colts overvalued
· Colts Anthony Castonzo is out after being considered probable early in the week
o OL ravaged by injury and they were counting on his return
Giants-Cowboys
· Two winless teams, go with underdog is 88-66-5 (Giants)
o 58.8 percent road
· Cowboys nobody to catch ball, Zeke Ellliot looking like physical style already caught up to him
o Just 69 yards last week, though only carried 15 times
· Six year starting LB Olivier Vernon is out for Giants
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Panthers-Falcons
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Panthers)
· Falcons RB Devonta Freeman is doubtful
o Averages 4.3 yards per carry in his career and twice rushed for over 1,000 yards
· Panthers WR Curtis Samuel, fellow WR Damiere Byrd and G Trai Turner all are out
o Samuel 15 receptions in 9 games, 4 starts last year
o Byrd had 10 catches last year
· Panthers OL Matt Kalil, Daryl Williams and superstar TE Greg Olsen remain out
Browns-Saints
· Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Saints)
· Fade teams that have no more than one win last 22 SU is 27-10 (Saints)
· Teams off loss as large favorite are 95-66 (Saints)
· Large home favorites with statistically worse defense is 79-57 (Saints)
· Browns tie, mentally draining, but Saints loss motivating
o Teams off a tie 6-14 (go with Saints)
· Saints still without Mark Ingram
o 1124 yards rushing last year, averages 4.5 yards per carry in 5362 lifetime yards
· NO plays Atlanta next week
· Browns dangerous WR Josh Gordon is out
· Browns without one of their best pass rushers in Emmanuel Ogbah
Pick: NEW ORLEANS -9
Cardinals-Rams
· Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Cardinals)
o 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
· Cards starting OT Andrew Smith is out
Lions-49ers
· Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Lions)
o 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Lions)
· Lions starting T T.J. Lang is out
Giants-Cowboys
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Giants)
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Texans-Titans
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Titans)
· Titans starting QB Marcus Mariota limited in practice
o Look for both Mariota and journeyman Blain Gabbert to get playing time
· Texans star WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable and will be limited if he does play
o Among 4 Texans WR dealing with injuries
Patriots-Jaguars
· Jacksonville RB Leonard Fournette is game-time decision
o 9 carries, 45 yards off 1,040 yards last year at 3.9 yards per carry
Vikings-Packers
· Packers QB Aaron Rogers is practiced Saturday for the first time and is questionable
o Backups DeShone Kizer and Tim Boyle
Miami-Jets
· Dolphins WR DeVante Park is probable
o 56 and 7 catches the last two years
· Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Dolphins)
· Teams off impressive prime-time win 123-72-8 (Jets)
· Jets LB Josh Martin is out
o 14 games, 9 starts last year with 48 combined tackles
· Jets DB Marcus May out
o 16 starts last year with 79 combined tackles
· LG Josh Sitton, who played every offensive snap in game 1 it out for the year
o 4 time Pro Bowler
o Ted Larson, who has 73 starts in 111 games, takes over
Chiefs-Steelers
· Ben Roethlisberger has missed practice this week with bruised right elbow, but probable
o 99.1 QBR at home, compared to 88.7 road
· Le’Veon Bell still out
· Teams off a tie 6-14 (fade Pittsburgh)
· Fading home favorites off a tie is 75-54 (KC)
· Chiefs star S Eric Berry is doubtful, opening up passing game for Pittsburgh
Raiders-Broncos
· Oakland down both starting defensive tackles
Superstar Stevie Vincent with two pro football and two pro baseball winners for Sunday led by Pro Baseball OU of Half Century. Get the picks now
