Friday NFL Tailgate Report

This is the up-to-the minute Tailgate Party report for Friday’s NFL.  Get this all year long and that includes both advanced and late breaking notes.  It’s all FREE at OffshoreInsiders.com  

 

Friday, August 17, 2007

NFL

Panthers-Eagles

Associated Press

Jerome McDougle’s star-crossed career suffered another blow when the former first-round pick got hurt - again. The fifth-year defensive end injured his right triceps in the Philadelphia Eagles’ preseason opener and likely will miss the rest of the season. Running back Ryan Moats also could be done for the year with an ankle injury. Moats struggled to earn playing time last season and was inactive for eight games. He was competing for a job as the fourth or fifth back. While McDougle and Moats are probably headed for injured reserve, the status of All-Pro guard Shawn Andrews remains uncertain. Andrews has an injured right ankle, the same one he hurt in Week 1 of his rookie season in 2004. Andrews, who’s in a walking boot and rehabbing, made it seem as though the injury is far more serious than the team is letting on. The Eagles host Carolina on Friday night, and quarterback Donovan McNabb is expected to see his first action since tearing a knee ligament last November. Reid will announce how long McNabb and other starters will play on Thursday. “He’s had an awfully good camp, so I expect him to play well,” offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg said. Notes: FS Brian Dawkins (Achilles’ tendinitis) and CB Lito Sheppard (oblique) returned for portions of practice. TE L.J. Smith (groin) probably won’t play against the Panthers.

Cy McCormick, Professional Gambler MasterLockLine.com  

Panther’s Jake Delhomme will play the first half at QB, followed by David Carr. Brett Basanez will come in for the fourth quarter.  Carolina in fact will play all starters most of the first half.

Atlanta-Buffalo

Cy McCormick, Professional Gambler MasterLockLine.com  

Atlanta will play their starters into the second quarter.  Chris Redman has moved ahead of D.J. Shockley as the No. 2 QB. Warrick Dunn is out for Atlanta and Jerious Norwood is slowed with a stomach ailment, so Atlanta’s running game is thinned. Buffalo’s starting QB J.P. Losman will play a quarter or so.

Titans-Patriots

Cy McCormick, Professional Gambler MasterLockLine.com  

Vince Young will start at QB for the Titans after missing the opener. Tennessee has several injuries on the DL. 

Boston.com

For New England: no Laurence Maroney, no Randy Moss, probably no Ty Warren, and not much Tom Brady.  

Vikings-Jets

Cy McCormick, Professional Gambler MasterLockLine.com  

Minnesota will have each QB play one quarter: Tarvaris Jackson, Brooks Bollinger, Drew Henson and Tyler Thigpen. Jets will probably play starters into second quarter.

NY Daily News

After scoring 31 points in last week’s preseason opener, the Jets hope to continue their offensive growth tonight against the Vikings at the Meadowlands. The starters might even do something radical, like try a forward pass. “I don’t know,” Eric Mangini deadpanned. “I think it’s a possibility.” QB Chad Pennington was in for only two series (10 plays) last week, and he didn’t attempt a single pass, as the Jets focused on the Thomas Jones-led running game. Jones (strained calf) won’t play tonight, leaving Leon Washington as the only proven runner in an extremely thin backfield. CB/PR Justin Miller (hamstring), FB Stacy Tutt (foot), S Eric Smith (leg) and CB Drew Coleman (knee) are not expected to play. Mangini declined to reveal his quarterback rotation.

Journal News

The Jets’ first team essentially played the first quarter in this past Friday’s 31-16 win over the Falcons in the preseason opener. Atlanta was playing its first game under new coach Bobby Petrino, and the Jets did minimal scout-team work in preparation. This week has been different, with the Jets starting their on-field game preparation during Tuesday’s practice. “The first game, especially against a team with a new coach, you don’t know exactly what to do, so you don’t prepare as much,” tight end Chris Baker said. “The second and third game, you start to prepare more and really get into game mode. There’s more emphasis on offense and defense this week.”

 

Thursday Trends

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Tailgate Party is up with news and notes for this weekend’s football at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Mike Mussina 17-5 lifetime to Detroit with a 2.50 ERA

·        Arizona has gone under 28-6 on the road with a total of 8.5-10

·        Detroit is 33-13 over 33-13 off a loss this year

·        Detroit is 9-0 +10.8 units on the road after scoring two runs or less this year

·        Arizona is 12-1 this year after a game in which 15 or more total runs were scored

 

The Winning Continued Last Night For GodsTips, Day & Night Winners Thurs NFL & MLB

Thursday, August 16, 2007

3-2 LAST NIGHT MAKES IT WINNING DAYS 5-OF-6! 4-2 NFL RUN; 2 DAY WINNERS INC WISE GUY, NIGHT CARD COMING!

No sports service has a higher client retention rate than Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com Those who are not yet part of the permanent bandwagon; it is your time to hop on board at the beginning of a huge winning streak.  In the NFL we are just getting started at 4-2 and in MLB we’ve had winning days 5-of-6 and counting…and counting some more soon. 

We have two day winners including a Wise Guy. Your NFL Specialist has the Dolphins-Chiefs side, plus four night MLB. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

ST. LOUIS (WAINWRIGHT +100) Milwaukee (Bush)

Adam Wainwright has pitched his best on the road this year. St. Louis is 8-3 in his road starts +5.9.  We know he pitches well under pressure as last year’s postseason leaves no doubt.  But as a starter?  Well as the Cards sneak back into the race, Wainwright’s ERA since the All-Star break is 3.07, compared to 4.66 before.  His strikeout/walk ratio since is 34-10 as opposed to 40-59 in the so-called first half.

Most importantly, the Cards have won four straight and 6-of-7. Milwaukee’s great start was in no small part to a disproportionate number of one-run wins. But with the pressure on, they’ve lost 7-of-10.   They are 9-17 their last 26.

The Cards have won five straight in the series. 

GodsTips Winning Days 4-of-5 MLB

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

WINNING DAYS 4-OF-5 IN MLB, 4-2 NFL (HOP ON AT THE BEGINNING OF OUR STREAKS), 5 NIGHT WINNERS

It wasn’t pretty but we eeked out winning day 4-of-5 in MLB by giving your man a splitting headache.  Dogs Houston and St. Louis lead the way. Football resumes tomorrow! We have five night winners, all dogs or small favorites. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.   

MLB

TEXAS (PADILLA +108) Kansas City (Meche)

KC is 1-6 on the road in their last seven. Texas is 6-2 at home to Kansas City. Going against teams averaging .9 or fewer home runs per game against a pitcher whose ERA is 7.50 or higher over his last three starts is 324-226 +108 units.

The Royals have lost four straight with Meche.  Texas has won two straight with Padilla.

 

Wednesday Computer Trends

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Today only get the MasterLockLine a day free with a purchase of the 4 day pass. Four days = five today on the MasterLockLine at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Gil Meche has a 7.09 lifetime ERA to Texas and a 4-7 record

·        Mark Buehrle is 3-8 to Oakland despite a 3.86 ERA

·        Arizona is 28-5 this year with a total of 8.5-10

·        Tampa has gone over 37-14 on grass this year

·        Sergio Mitre is 0-3 to Arizona with a 13.17 ERA

·        Chris Young is 4-0 to Colorado with a 2.52 ERA

·        Arizona is 33-11 +23.8 after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span

·        Tampa is 2-16 -14.3 units this year after scoring three runs or less in two straight games

·        Matt Morris is 6-3 career to NYY with a 3.27 ERA

Tuesday Computer Trends

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Live odds feed is back up working. Check out the preseason NFL betting odds and MLB live betting line. See our complete menu of free sports gambling and online betting info at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Jon Garland is 3-7 lifetime to Oakland

·        Aaron Harang is 6-2 lifetime to Cubs

·        Dontrelle Willis is 1-4 career to Arizona

·        Arizona is 33-10 +24.8 units after batting .240 or worse in their previous 15 games

·        San Francisco is 8-0 this year +10.3 units if their OBP is .260 or worse in their last three games

·        The Yankees are -22.7 units this year after two straight games of committing no errors

·        Arizona has gone over 28-4 on the road this year if the total is 8.5-10

·        Tampa has gone over 371-13 this year on grass

·        Detroit has gone over 33-12 off a loss this year

 

 

Monday Computer Trends

Monday, August 13, 2007

The famed Tailgate Party has an early look at news, notes, injuries and intangible information for this tonight’s two NFL games.  Updated constantly at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Tampa is 3-28 -24.6 on the road the last two years after scoring four runs or less in three straight games

·        San Francisco is 20-8 -26.1 units the last two years  to teams outscored by .5 or more runs per game

·        Seattle is 22-8 this year to left-handed pitching

·        Tampa is 33-95 the last two years as an underdog

·        Tampa has gone over 37-12 on grass this year

·        Pittsburgh has gone over 18-4 this year to NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better

Preseason Publications Help Isolate Over and Undervalued Teams

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Many a professional handicapper is publishing his preseason college football predictions. Unfortunately, these prognostications can have limited value to the pointspread bettor, even if the conjecture turns out to be spot on.

For example, all of the touts I’ve seen have forecasted USC to win the Pac-10 and Stanford to finish dead last.  It is quite conceivable for these prognostications to be flawless, yet the Cardinal could still finish with a better record against the spread than the Trojans.

We take conference foreboding an imperative step further. Borrowing the research done at Stassen.com, over the years we have compared and contrasted the consensus predictions of the respected preseason college football publications to the offshore odds.  

While this has proven enormously valuable for placing futures bets, it is even more advantageous in compiling a “cheat sheet” of overvalued and undervalued teams entering the season.

First of all, let’s set the simple criterion. Stassen takes 12 preseason publications and uses a basic point system to compile a consensus.  If a periodical predicts a team to win their conference, they are assigned one point.  Two points are given for a second place prediction, three for third and so on.

Of course the consensus is formed by ranking teams by lowest point total to highest. Better yet, the specific point compilation helps us “rate” teams (see previous articles about the difference between rating and ranking). We compare the Stassen research to the odds to win a conference or division as posted by BetUs Sportsbook.

Major dichotomies are noted and teams are graded as overvalued, extremely overvalued, undervalued, extremely undervalued, or at value.

For example, the Miami Hurricanes are modest -115 favorites to win the ACC Coastal even though Virginia Tech at even money is the unanimous choice to win according to the preseason magazines. Yet, GA Tech is at +775 even though they are dead-even with Miami according to the 12 modules.  We flag Virginia Tech as “at value”, Miami as “overvalued” and GA Tech as “extremely undervalued”.

By no means do we gaze at just the top or for that matter the bottom of the standings for an edge.  For example Illinois is the second long shot in the Big 10 at +3500. However, they are a comfortable seventh (remember there are 11 teams in the Big 10) in the compilation.  We grade the Illini as “undervalued”.

Remember that the offshore odds take public perception into account.  No publication is perfect, but we have found the rated assemblage of the numerous sources to be more accurate in distinguishing the talent levels of the teams. 

Even the most accurate conference predictions can be flawed to the gambler because betting odds are the great equalizer. Our system of contrasting the data with the betting odds gives sharp players the premier preseason sports betting cheat sheet. 

Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, home of free picks, live scores and odds, sports betting databases and the famed Tailgate Party, news and notes of interest to the online bettor compiled from hometown newspapers.

Sunday Computer Trends

Sunday, August 12, 2007

All professional handicappers are proud to show off the amount of research that goes into a pick.  If a handicapper gives you no rationale, rest assured you just paid for a coin flip.  Get accurate analysis for every pick at GodsTips.com

MLB

·        Anthony Reyes is 1-11 this year as a favorite 125-175 -14.9 units

·        Jeff Weaver is 10-30 -23.2 units after a game in which he did not walk a batter

·        Claudio Vargas is 14-3 this year if the total is 8.5-10

·        Jake Peavy 4-0 to Cincinnati lifetime with an ERA of 1.99

·        Woody Williams is 12-6 lifetime to Milwaukee

·        Jamie Moyer is 2-6 lifetime to Atlanta with a 5.04 ERA

 

 

 

Saturday GodsTips, Huge NFL & MLB Info

Saturday, August 11, 2007

4 NFL +6 MLB INC 3 WISE GUY PLAYS

There is an NFL team in which several veterans admitted that unlike in previous years, they want to win in the preseason.  Find out who and why. Which MLB team has lost 20-of-24 under tonight’s circumstances and face a team that has won 75 percent of their games with today’s pitcher? It’s the best night of the NFL preseason for our official outlaw line as well. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

OAKLAND (HAREN +120) Detroit (Verlander)

Detroit is 4-13 their last 17. They’ve lost 7-of-9 at home. Oakland is 7-3 their last ten. The A’s are 17-8 at Detroit. Danny Haren has some of the best road numbers in MLB with a 2.37 ERA and 1.097 WHIP.  That’s consistent with his overall numbers. Justin Verlander has a home ERA of 4.10.

 

Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, August 11, 2007

Get live NFL preseason betting odds, plus NFL matchups from SportsDatabases, the famed Tailgate Party with exclusive news and notes, NFL gambling game previews and more to win your online football gambling bets at OffshoreInsiders.com .

MLB

·        Carlos Silva is 5-1 lifetime to Los Angeles Anaheim

·        Jeff Suppan is 2-6 lifetime to Houston

·        Tony Armas is 1-4 lifetime to San Francisco

·        Arizona is 32-9 this year +25.2 units after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this year

·        Seattle is 23-11 +15.4 units this year if they are 3-1 their last four

·        Yankees are 8-14 -14.1 units this year after three straight games without giving up a stolen base

·        Tampa under 37-10 on grass this year

·        Detroit over 18-4 this year if they lost three of their previous four games

 

 

Friday Computer Trends

Friday, August 10, 2007

The Tailgate Party moves here. It’s our news and notes from our private clipboard.  They are compiled from hometown newspapers and the team’s own press releases. They will be updated constantly and include the very popular late breaking warm-up info at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Kelvim Escobar has a team record of 15-23 -28.3 as home favorites of 150 or more

·        Jarrod Washburn is 39-19 on the road since 1997 in virtual pick ‘em games (line 125 or less either way)

·        Jason Jennings has a team mark of 0-7 -9 units as a favorite this year

·        Matt Belisle has gone over 9-1 this year to teams that strike out seven or more times per game

·        Washington is 21-11 this year +15.2 units with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or less over their last 15 games

·        Colorado is 23-8 +19.6 units in double revenge this year

 

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances.  Team record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the decision. Notes on tonight’s NFL Tailgate Party 

 

Friday GodsTips 5 NFL Winners, Find Out Why!

Friday, August 10, 2007

5 NFL WINNERS INC WISE GUY, 4 MLB, YOU MUST SEE THE BIG INFO

Which NFL team has a direct financial motivation to win tonight? We have a famed sharp versus square game in the NFL. As high rollers know, this means most square money is on one side and most sharp money on the other.  Which side do you prefer to be on? Get nine winners in all: five NFL and four MLB.

Dream Team at GodsTips consists of Master Handicapper Joe Duffy, the top NFL and CFB mind ever Mike Godsey and NBA Guru Curt Thomas. We have three NFL winners up for Friday from the NFL Specialists. No handicapper dominates any sport the way Joe Duffy’s GodsTips does the NFL. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

MLB

NY YANKEES (HUGHES +113) Cleveland (Carmona)

Going against favorites of 125-175 with a bullpen WHIP  of 1.350 or better on the year with a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in each of his last two outings is +102.5 units. Cleveland has lost two straight with Carmona -3.45 units.

Yanks are on a 25-10 tear.

 

Thursday Computer Trends

Thursday, August 9, 2007

Tailgate Party news and notes for this weekend’s NFL are up at OffshoreInsiders.com  

MLB

·        Horacio Ramirez is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA to Baltimore

·        Daniel Cabrera is 5-0 with a 3.61 ERA to Seattle

·        Tampa with Kazmir is 21-9 +22.5 units last three years to AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs

·        Jeremy Bonderman 4-1 career to Tampa with a 1.88 ERA

·        Tim Hudson is 6-2 in his career to the New York Mets

·        Tampa has gone over 36-10 on grass this year

·        Detroit over 32-11 off loss this year

·        Philly over 12-1 this year after consecutive games in which their bullpen gave up no earned runs

·        Ian Snell has a team mark of +15 units in night games the last two years

·        Colorado is 23-7 +20.7 units in double revenge this year

·        Washington is +26.4 units this year with a total of 9-9.5

 

Remember the famed to Tailgate Party is up now at OffshoreInsiders.com