Baseball Betting Tips: Third Paragraph Left Me Speechless and Will Astound You Too

So many of our top sports angles are counterintuitive. A high percentage of systems that have won at least 80 units or have a z-score of 4.5 or better involve betting on bad teams and pitchers and/or against quality teams and pitchers. These angles help us anticipate regression to the mean, isolating overachieving and underachieving teams. This advantage is heightened by the fact the public fancies betting on superior teams, hence while squares pay a premium betting overpriced squads, we get a discount on the posted sportsbook odds.

While this paradigm applies in all sports, certainly not equally. At one extreme, college football is the only team game in which mother lode conventionalities often actually favor the better-quality squad. However in baseball, the semblant paradoxes (to the commoners) are furthest magnified. There are two obvious whys and wherefores. As I have stated countless times, oddsmakers overvalue pitching, so baseball levies higher imposts in select situations than reality justifies. Furthermore oddsmakers must account for taking bets from plebeians, who are even more un-persuaded by steep moneylines than lofty pointspreads. To quote the single worst degenerate gambler I have ever known, “They don’t charge juice when the bet wins.” Those would be words to live by if a gambler hit 100 percent of bets. The sharp riposte is that in moneyline betting, bookmakers do not disburse recompense based on winning percentage.

In baseball betting, many of the most profitable gamblers in the world have winning…and I do mean, “winning” percentages of less than .500. For example if a starting pitcher has an ERA a full three runs higher than the other starting pitcher, the public will salivate at the thought of betting on the better pitcher. They would have lost 89 units if they staked on said situation every time the line was -150 or higher. Betting on the vastly inferior pitcher would have won you 20.8 units. However in the process the winning bettor would be 282-498, hitting just 36.2 percent of bets. Or to put it another way, to the aforesaid degenerate, the bookmakers does pay juice when our underdogs win.

Two terrible starting pitchers (both with ERAs of 5.00 or higher) are facing each other. It must be a higher scoring game right? So bet the over. There is one problem: such games go under at a 722-610-62 rate. Counterintuitive anticipation of mean regression proves invaluable again. Of course, some uncultivated bettors may point out that is only 54.2 percent winners. One could make quite the living riding angles that hit better than 54 percent over nearly 1.400 games. However keep in mind, quoted stats are not our preeminent angles, just a few that demonstrate how contrarian reasoning pays dividends. All systems are only part of the preponderance of evidence before making a bet.

So how about two pitchers with ERAs of less than 2.00 going head-to-head? Did you surmise it would be wise go over instead of the knee-jerk under? You would be correct as such situations have gone over 632-548-46. At 53.6 winners, that is a lukewarm angle at best, but the extreme value is avoiding the impulsive bet to wager on two superior pitchers under. Turning that frown upside down is a substantial net gain. Please note that all quoted angles go back to 2005. Lateral thinking when applied to sports betting means vertical profits. In baseball betting, thinking outside the box translates into significant capital gains.

Getting winning intel like this every day converted to winners from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com

MLB Betting Sports Service Guru About to Change Life For Gamblers and Ruin it For Sportsbooks

Baseball bettors tend to a gift to every sportsbook and bookmaker because of their propensity to bet on big and often losing favorites. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is about to change the life of gamblers with a video in which he reveals his basic secret. He then explains why MLB is more of a buyers beware for those shopping for sports services.

NFL Draft Odds Posted; Marcus Mariota Props, Jameis Winston Projected First

NFL draft odds are posted at many offshore books. The two highest profile players in the draft are the two most recent Heisman Trophy sensations, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota. Once considered a dead-heat between the two, the former Florida State signal caller Winston is an exorbitant 2/13 favorite to be drafted No. 1. This means gamblers would have to risk $130 to win $20. He is at 4-1 to go second or lower.

The erratic stock of the most recent Heisman winner Mariota is back on the rise according to most respect mock drafts. The team currently in possession of the second pick, the Tennessee Titans are the favorite to get him. Sports betting experts do not trust that the Cleveland Browns are buying into Johnny Manziel purported lifestyle epiphany as Cleveland is tied with the New York Jets are 7/2 to be Mariota’s landing spot on draft day.

The complete list from Sportsbook.ag is below:

Which team will draft Marcus Mariota?

Titans 7/5
Browns 7/2
Jets 7/2
Buccaneers 4/1
Rams 15/2
Redskins 12/1
Chargers 15/1
Bears 18/1
Bills 20/1
Texans 20/1

Over/unders are posted on three top wide receivers: Amari Cooper at 5.5 (with slight juice on the under), Kevin White at 7.5, and Melvin Gordon at 21.5 (juiced to the over). Though oddsmakers believe the top two picks could be quarterbacks, no other signal callers are likely to go in the first round. The over-under on quarterbacks selected in round one is 2.5 but under odds are a very steep 2/13 with over unlikely at 4-1. For sports handicapper picks from nation’s top betting experts visit OffshoreInsiders.com

Sports Handicapping Free Plays; NBA Odds Rundown

The Boston Celtics-Cleveland Cavaliers, Washington Wizards-Toronto Raptors, and Dallas Mavericks-Houston Rockets betting odds top the sports handicapping roundup for April 21. With Washington, Houston, and Cleveland leading the respective series 1-0, here is how the public consensus is shaping up as well as line moves.

The Cavs are a steady (-11) at home with a total of 207, also unchanged from the opener. The only double-digit favorite on tonight’s betting portfolio has gotten 71 percent of the sportsbook bets in Vegas and offshore, the top consensus of either the side or total on any NBA playoff game today. Though the public tends to prefer wagering on the over, 56 percent of bets are on the under.

Toronto is (-5) unaffected from the opening line. The total has risen two points to 207. The consensus is 61 percent are betting on the Raptors and 59 percent on the over. Houston is (-6) up a half-point from the first available line with a total of 215.5 up from 214. Sixty-two percent are investing on the home chalk, with a surprising 54 percent taking the under.

A free pick tonight is a premium play from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com.
BOSTON (MILEY +117) Tampa (Archer)

We have an early season underdog angle with very specific parameters that has won 207.4 units. Please note: the reason the units jumped is I more accurately identified as underdog including laying up to -104 because they are underdogs as opposed to pick or plus after juice as previous units won was based. Also we redefined early season based on game number rather than month. Also starting pitchers with an ERA above 10.00 who are not getting at least 130 are solid bets at 236-212 for +14.2 units.

Oh that is far from impressive and does not even quality as corroborating data, but it does tell us not to be deterred by the rough start by Wade Miley. Tampa has lost three straight. Tampa is 1-5 at home -4.2 units hitting just .202. Road team is 3-0 in Chris Archer’s starts this season. Wade Miley is 2-0 to Tampa with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 1.050. Archer is 1-4 to Boston with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.805. Rays are 1-7 in Archers last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The free winner is on the Red Sox. Joe Duffy’s Picks keeps winning. We are 66-54 with 55 underdog winners. Yes after 120 picks we have more underdogs that have won than all picks combined have lost. In fact 18 winners were of 130 or more.

Get more info and winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

May weather vs. Pacquiao Odds, Free Sports Picks, Betting Previews

With several weeks of betting in on the highly-anticipated Floyd Mayweather versus Manny Pacquiao fight, Mayweather is a 20/41 favorite with Pacquiao at 7/4. However, there are many sportsbook options long before that battle takes place, not the least of which is tonight.

Tonight the NBA playoffs roll along. Up one game to none, the Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago is (-7.5) with a total of 186.5. Currently 74 percent of bets taken against the spread are for the Bulls with 62 percent favoring the over. Also leading 1-0 in the series, the Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans. Golden State is the choice of 68 percent who placed a wager on the spread. An overwhelming betting consensus is putting an ante on the over at a substantial 88 percent. Also Joe Duffy’s Picks, the hottest and top all-time MLB handicapper has a free premium pick on the Reds.

CINCINNATI (DESCLAFANI +105) Milwaukee (Peralta)

We have an early season underdog angle that is +207.3 units and you have already won a ton this season with it. While the Reds offensive numbers are not exactly impressive, their OBP, slugging, batting, average, and OPS are all better than Milwaukee. Milwaukee is 2-10 for -9 units this season. They are 0-2 with Wily Peralta. Milwaukee is batting .217 and is last in the majors with 30 runs, a .267 on-base percentage, a .303 slugging percentage and three homers, including none in the last six games. The Brew Crew have the worst home run percentage in MLB since 1948. Anthony Desclafani has a 1.38 ERA and tiny .769 WHIP. Reds are 16-6 in their last 22 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400 and 42-18 overall versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less. On the other hand The Brewers are 5-25 in their last 30 when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game.

There are also three NHL games tonight with the New York Rangers -115 road favorites at Pittsburgh, Minnesota -135 at home to St. Louis, and Winnepeg -140 at home against Anaheim.

Duffy has a stunning 10 bets of the professional gamblers in NBA, MLB, and NHL at OffshoreInsiders.com

Sports Picks For Free: MLB Baseball Sports Handicapper Tips

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com has a free underdog betting winner. Despite never-ending heartbreak in extra innings, Joe Duffy’s Picks has 24 underdog winners in our 27-23 mark. With our domination of underdogs and small favorites, hitting .500 over any long period will make you serious cash. We have five daytime winning picks led by a Wise Guy. Wait until you see all the intel that points very specifically at one team all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Vegas Oddsmakers Beg You Not To See Breathtaking MLB Gambling Intel Revealed

Joe Duffy's Picks is the anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces their roots to the 1980s on the scorephones. Did you know the steroid era helped the best sportbooks but its elimination is a godsend to the sharpest bettors? Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy reveals all in this video. Check out the sports betting Twitter feed for inside intel every day.

Odds March Madness 2015 NCAA Tournament and Big Dance Vegas Pointspread

Selection Sunday is over and the bracketology of the 2015 NCAA Tournament is set. The odds are posted from sports betting podcast host and OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy. Get the sportsbook odds.

Keep checking OffshoreInsiders.com for famed Tailgate Party updates and previews.

March Madness 2015 Betting Advice

Entire card 1:00 ET or later We just keep winning! Joe Duffy's Picks is 20-11 in college basketball. Actually lately even hotter in the conference tournaments. We are 12-3 in the NBA led by Interconfence GOY on Knicks. My word we just keep winning. We have day and night college basketball. Steam added at 11:37 ET. We now have nine winning picks in all at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com

Pittsburgh-NC State Pittsburgh is 7-20 the last 27. They enter on a three-game straight up losing streak and lost by nine and ten points against the spread last two. State 6-1 the last seven, three by nine or more.

Colorado State-Oregon State Oregon State 2-10 the last 12, three times in the last six games they have failed by 13.5 or more.

Rutgers-Minnesota Minnesota 344th luckiest of 351 teams. Rutgers at 87.

Air Force-New Mexico New Mexico DeShawn Delaney out. Games 30 PPG 11.8 RPG 5.3 Steals 38 BLK 18 APG 2.0

Eastern Michigan-Bowling Green Bowling Green Richaun Holmes is questionable. Games 29 PPG 14.7 RPG 8.0 Steals 20 BLK 78 APG 0.9 George Mason-Fordham Eric Paschall is probable. Games 26 PPG 16.5 RPG 5.6 Steals 21 BLK 11 APG 1.0

Southeast Louisiana-McNeese State SLE Zay Jackson doubtful Games 25 PPG 15.4 RPG 4.5 Steals 33 BLK 8 APG 4.6

NBA

Brooklyn-Miami Brooklyn back-to-back and three games in four days.

Orlando-Milwaukee Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days

Detroit-Golden State Detroit back-to-back and three games in four days while Golden State three games in four days.

Free Picks NBA, Fantasy NBA Daily Notes, Injuries

Today is one of the most consequential days for sports gamblers of 2015 or any day in any year for that matter. Mr. Pro Basketball Stevie Vincent is off a 2-1 Sunday. Today he has a Level 5 on the collegiate hardwood. But nobody comes remotely close to picking pro basketball winners at the rate TGO does, nobody! Get the Enterprise Solution Perfect Play of the Year among three, yes three Perfect Plays in pro basketball. A Perfect Play means an angle that is 100 percent and involves a minimum of 12 games. We always unlock the angle inside the play.

A Worldwide Pandemic Warning issued to all bookmakers as today clearly belongs to sharp bettors. The top angle in each games is 43-1 in your favor. Get the angles unlocked inside the play at OffshoreInsiders.com

Toronto-Philadelphia Philadelphia back-to-back and three games in four days though Toronto three games in four days. Toronto Kyle Lowery is questionable. He is the 12th most effecient PG according to Hollinger ratings. Games 58 PPG 18.0 RPG 4.6 SPG 1.5 BPG 0.2 APG 7.0 Toronto lost five straight , four by 10.5 or more. The average is -14.1. The Raptors have gone over 15 straight since Mar 16, 2009 on the road with at most one day of rest off a game in which at least 6 players scored 10 or more points as a favorite

Free pick podcast http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/sports-betting-podcasts/e/37160316?autoplay=true

Phoenix-Miami Miami three games in four days while Phoenix well rested. Suns Brandon Knight is questionable. Knight 18th most effecient PG. Key Stats Games 57 PPG 17.4 RPG 4.0 SPG 1.5 BPG 0.2 APG 5.3 The Suns are 38-14-3 since Dec 02, 1997 with at least one day of rest after a loss when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points fewer in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. The Heat are 2-19-1 since Nov 12, 2014 after Mario Chalmers had a positive plus/minus.

Golden State-Brooklyn Warriors back-to-back and three games in four days. Brooklyn three games in four days. Teams are 11-44-1 ATS (-4.92 ppg) since Nov 27, 2009 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after a double digit win in which they scored 10 or fewer fast break points. This says to fade Brooklyn. Teams are 735-896-25 OU (-1.10 ppg) since Mar 29, 2000 with at least one day of rest after a win on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field. Obviously favors UNDER here.

Free: Brooklyn UNDER

Clippers-Minnesota Clippers back-to-back and three games in four days with Minnesota three games in four days. Clippers without Blake Griffin. They are 6-2 without him going under four straight. He is the second best PF in the NBA. Games 51 PPG 22.5 RPG 7.5 SPG 0.9 BPG 0.4 APG 5.1 The Clippers gone OVER 27-5 (10.48 ppg) since Mar 08, 2003 on the road with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted

New Orleans-Dallas Pelicans back-to-back and three games in four days. New Orleans Anthony Davis is out. They have managed to cover five in a row without him. Davis rated No. 1 in the NBA for all players in efficiency. Pels now 14-8 without Jrue Holiday. Dallas Chandler Parsons is questionable. They have gone under all six without him.

Best NBA Free Bets Courtesy of Top Basketball Handicapper

Joe Duffy's Picks is 108-75 off yet other winning night Tuesday! Follow sharps are pouncing on the same angle that caused a push for most on the Lakers over. We are followed by many whales, but other syndicates weight same metrics, especially loving to pound totals. We have six, yes six college and NBA winners. Three are NBA totals, all others are sides. Purchase only is you demand the absolute best all at OffshoreInsiders.com

The free picks and jaw-dropping intel podcast for today

New York-Orlando Melo Anthony doubtful for Knicks, 2-4 without him. Magic Tobias Harris also doubtful, 1-3 without him, over 3-1. He averages 17.4 points per game and 6.6 boards. Magic three games in four days.

Washington-Toronto Wizards Bradley Beal out. They’ve covered and gone under both since his latest injury. He is averaging 15 points per game. San Antonio-Detroit Detroit 6-4 without Brandon Jennings. Spurs three games in four days but Detroit back-to-back and three games in four days. Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3. All the picks an intel

Atlanta-Boston Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3.

Memphis-Oklahoma City Memphis back-to-back and three games in four days, OKC three games in four days.

Sacramento-Milwaukee Kings Darren Collison doubtful as they are 1-4 without him and under all five. He averages 16.1 points per game and 5.6 assists. Kings back-to-back and three games in four days while Bucks rested. Bucks now top against the spread team in terms of Margin of Cover. Why MoC is superior to mere against the spread mark: they are 7-3 against the spread last 10 but three setbacks by combined 5.5 points. Hence last 10 games +6.5 MoC as three covers by 11 or more. Kings 2-8 last 10, seven by -6.5 or worse. Kings under seven straight by 15.285 points per game. Kings worst net rating last five by wide margin -16.4 led by worst offensive efficiency at 90.8 points per 100 possessions.

Free pick: MILWAUKEE and UNDER

Miami-Cleveland Heat without Dwayne Wade 7-7-2 minus him and under 9-7. Though Miami No. 2 under team, gone over 3-1 by whopping 12.25 points per game. Cleveland over two straight by average of 17 points per game.

Indiana-New Orleans Pelicans Anthony Davis questionable 2-2 without under 3-1. They are 9-6 without Jrue Holiday going under 9-6. Now without Ryan Anderson 14.9 points per game and 5.2 boards. Pacers three games in four days.

Golden State-Minnesota Wolves three games in four days. Warriors were neck-and-neck with Atlanta as easily the two most dominant spread teams in NBA, but 3-6 their last nine with five of the spread setbacks by double-digits. Minnesota as healthy as they have been all year with Kevin Martin and Ricky Rubio back. Warriors far and away best net rating in NBA at +12.4, second best last 15 at 11.2. Minnesota second worst at -10.3, barely behind Philly. Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-15-3.

Memphis-Oklahoma City Thunder best net rating in their last five games +11.7 led by best offensive efficiency at 117.7 points per 100 possessions.

Utah-Dallas Dallas Monta Ellis likely to miss first game. He averages 20 points per game. They are already minus Rajon Rondo, though 3-2 without him, going over 3-2.

Lakers-Portland Lake Show 3-5-1 since losing Bryant, under 5-3-1. Blazers rested hosting Lakers back-to-back and three games in four days. Lakers second worst net rating last five at -13.3.

Houston-LA Clippers Houston 4-3 without Dwight Howard over 4-3. Clippers without Blake Griffin 1-1 without him over both. Houston back-to-back and three games in four days, Clippers three games in four days. Clippers worst defensive efficiency in their last five games allowing whopping 116.6 points per 100 possessions.

NBA Freeplays and Daily Fantasy Football and Vegas Strip Podcast

Yesterday it was a 3-0 sweep led by Wise Guys Clippers OVER, Oakland and a Major on Cavs at 57.856 percent winners at 103-75. We have four NBA winners as two steam were added to the two overnight winners! Winning is everything and we have done it since 1988 publicly. The actuaries say we have hopefully at least another quarter century plus left. Living and breathing sports betting pays off for both of us. There is zero debate that being able to exploit counterintuitive reasoning is a goldmine for bettors. See a perfect example completely revealed at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com

Orlando-Washington Washington G Bradley Beal is questionable. He averages 15 points per game. He is 28th most effective SG according to Hollinger. The Magic are 6-28 ATS (-5.12 ppg) since Dec 14, 2009 off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by double digits. The Wizards are 2-17 ATS (-6.92 ppg) since Apr 18, 1999 at home with at least one day of rest when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game. Teams are 40-14 ATS (3.86 ppg) since Jan 20, 2014 as a home favorite off a win in which they never trailed as a favorite. That says to favor Washington. Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days versus fully rested Washington team.

Free picks podcast http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/sports-betting-podcasts/e/36914924?autoplay=true

San Antonio-Indiana Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Spurs 82 percent of public betting on them.

Golden State-Philadelphia
Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Philadelphia 13-6-1 without Tony Wroten going under 13-7 including 10-4 since he was lost for season. Philly point guard Michael Carter-Williams is questionable. He averages 15.0 points per game, 6.2 boards, and 7.4 assists per game. However, Hollinger says he is only 41st most effective PG, so his absence may be overvalued though Sixers 0-2 against the spread without him. Warriors 3-21 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a win when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points more in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. Philly 2-17 as a dog when their opponent is playing in at least their third straight road game, but 2-0 after losing 17 in a row; 0-11 at home after a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds. Home underdogs of 12 or more 66-40-2 for 62.3 percent. In fact, with large point spreads home teams do well. Phily is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams as they are 6-1 last seven despite 12-40 straight up mark. Golden State 3-5 last eight against the spread despite 40-9 mark. Home underdogs of 10.5 or more with winning percentage that is 55 points or more less than opponent are 57-29.

Free pick: Philadelphia

Knicks-Heat Knicks Melo Anthony probable. Dwayne Wade out for Heat, under 9-6 minus him.

Utah-New Orleans New Orleans Anthony Davis questionable. Pelicans under 3-1 minus him. Hollinger has him best player in the NBA. Pelicans are 9-5 since losing Jrue Holiday, going under 9-5. Teams are 19-56 ATS (-2.45 ppg) since Jan 25, 2014 as a home dog after a double digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field, says to fade New Orleans.

Brooklyn-Milwaukee The Nets are 0-11 ATS as a dog with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak. The Bucks are 18-3 ATS since Jan 05, 2010 as a favorite off a game which was tied 5 or more times win at home but 2-15 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

Atlanta-Minnesota Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. Hawks PG Jeff Teague is questionable though Atlanta a surprising 3-0 against the spread minus him. He is fourth most effective PG. Both back-to-back and three games in four days. Atlanta big public bet at 82 percent. Clippers-Dallas Clippers without C Blake Griffin rated 10th best player and second best PF. Lost against the spread and went over in first game without him. Dallas minus Rajon Rondo, the 35th most effective PG. LA Clippers back-to-back and three games in four days.

Oklahoma City-Denver Home dogs since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start are 32-13-3. OKC back-to-back and three games in four days. OKC top public play at 83 percent. LateInfo gave you a strong hint when we told you it was one of the biggest plays of the season.

Illinois Chicago +444 on the moneyline was the third moneyline bet this season in basketball. All three were +280 or more. All three won. That is now 160-72 since 2012 with many of the winners (and some losers) being money line underdogs, often large money line underdogs.

Hawks-Warriors Free Pick Among Betting and Fantasy Basketball News, Notes

Tired of getting drilled by so-called right angles? Joe Duffy's Picks masters winning angles. A sweet 92-68 in basketball, including 5-1 recently with Wise Guys, Joe Duffy's Picks has the Western Conference Game of the Month in the NBA tonight. Thursday night, Feb. 5 Georgia Southern wins as Sunbelt Game of the Year. Super Bowl Sunday Oakland was the Horizon League Game of the Year winning easily. Tonight the Western Conference Game of the Month in the NBA is among three winning picks. Yes newbies, of course it is a Wise Guy play. What a weekend is in store at OffshoreInsiders.com

New York-Brooklyn Knicks 11-38 straight up, 3-21 road but 4-1 last five road and 6-2 all against the spread

Cleveland-Indiana Cavs back-to-back. Road team 29-15 against the spread Pacers games. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Cleveland 85 percent of public bets.

LA Clippers-Toronto Clippers back-to-back. They are 33-16 straight up but 1-5 against the spread. Toronto No. 2 over team, though under last two and Clippers under 6-of-7 with three of the last six under by at least 15. Clippers No. 1 offensive efficiency 110.3 points per 100 possessions.

Lakers-Orlando Magic 14-38 against the spread but 26-21 against the spread recently. Orlando worst defense last five allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions. Last 14 games allowing a league worst 110.8.

Golden State-Atlanta Golden State three games in four days. No. 2 and 3 spread teams in league, Warriors +3.5, Hawks +3.4. Only Bucks are also above 1.9. However Hawks 2-4 last six with covers by a combined five points with setbacks by 37 hence -5.33 last six. Warriors three straight by six or more. Top two net rating teams Golden State +13, Atlanta +7.4. Warriors best defensive efficiency allowing 97.3 points per 100 possessions, Hawks tied at 5th at 100. But Golden State also No. 2 offensive efficiency at 110.3 points per 100 possessions and Atlanta 5th at 107.4. Golden State quickest pace in their last five games 101.92 possessions per 48 minutes. Home underdogs 24-12 since Jan 22 after shocking 82-119-2 start. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is Atlanta -1. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves.

Free pick: Atlanta

Denver-Detroit Both three games in four days. Detroit G Brandon Jennings out for year. Pistons 4-3 since going over 4-3.

Utah-Phoenix Phoenix back-to-back but Utah three games in four days. Jazz are 17-32 but 26-21 against the spread and 11-4 on the road last 15 against the spread despite 8-18 straight up mark.

Philadelphia-Boston Boston three games in four days. Sixers are horrid 11-39 straight up, 5-21 road but 5-0 against the spread run and 10-5 last 15. Sixers remain far and away top under team in league by -6.6 and under 33-17. Sixers worst net rating in league -10.8. Sixers a surprising 12-5-1 in all games without Tony Wroten going under 12-6 including 9-3 since he was lost for season. Sixers bar none worst offensive efficiency at 91.6 points per 100 possessions. Boston 8th worst at 101.

New Orleans-Oklahoma City New Orleans without Jrue Holiday, 8-4 against the spread without him going under 8-4. OKC Kevin Durant questionable, under 18-9 without him. New Orleans second best offensive efficiency in their last five games 109.2 points per 100 possessions. New Orleans slowest pace in their last five games 91.63 possessions per 48 minutes. The Pelicans are 12-0 ATS (10.34 ppg) since Dec 10, 2014 as a dog.

Milwaukee-Houston Milwaukee top MoC in NBA 33-16 by 4.1 including 6-1 the last seven. Only spread setback is by 1.5 while every cover is by 5.5 or more, five by nine or more. Dwight Howard still out for Houston, under 3-1 without him. Milwaukee second best defensive efficiency at 98.7 points per 100 possessions.

Free pick: Milwaukee

Memphis-Minnesota Joe Duffy's Picks premium at OffshoreInsiders.com.

Miami-San Antonio Miami three games in four days. The Spurs are 31-18 straight up 19-7 at home but 0-4-1 against the spread recently, two by -25 or worse. Heat No. 2 under team by -4.4 going under 31-18 though over two straight by 14.5 or more. Miami without Dwayne Wade, but no compelling betting numbers to report. Heat slowest pace in NBA 91.80 at possessions per 48 minutes. The Heat are 16-4 ATS (4.78 ppg) since Jun 14, 2012 on the road after a loss as a dog.

Sports Picks Free Top NBA Handicapper

At Joe Duffy's Picks we do not make the absurd promises of 80 percent winners. But one need not when we deliver on consistent upper 50 to lower 60 percentile. The clockwork disembowelment of the overmatched oddsmakers continues tonight with five winners led by a Wise Guy.

An angle that has not applied since Feb. 9 of 2013 is 84.6 percent against the spread and in a bizarre anomaly applies twice tonight. As under-the-radar injury information as we have seen in a while applies tonight. And we do continue to either ride or fade a certain team because of the reasons they are over or undervalued still. We do not make claims without backing them up. All the intel is explicitly exposed. Are you ready to be left speechless and destroy the bookmaker? OffshoreInsiders.com

Detroit-Indiana Detroit back-to-back. Detroit without PG Brandon Jennings but 4-2 without him, including 3-1 since losing him for season. The Pacers are 1-16-1 ATS (-8.53 ppg) since Feb 09, 2014 as a favorite after a game as a home favorite.

Chicago-Houston James Harden probable for Rockets, Dwight Howard out. Houston 1-2 without Howard going under 2-1.

Washington-Atlanta Admittedly surprised to see when teams have winning streaks of at least 15 snapped, actually 11-7 including 6-1 at home! However Atlanta 1-4 last five despite 19-1 straight up and only cover by one. However Wizards in seven-game spread skid, the last two by nine or more.

Denver-Boston Denver back-to-back, Boston back-to-back and three games in four days

Miami-Minnesota Miami back-to-back and three games in four days. Heat guard Dwayne Wade out, under 8-5 minus him, 5-6-2 against the spread.

LA Lakers-Milwaukee Bucks now top spread team in NBA as covered six straight by an average of 10.66 per game. Lakers 2-8-1 last 11 but actually 2-1 last three.

Oklahoma City-New Orleans OKC Kevin Durant doubtful under 18-8 minus him, 11-14-1 against the spread. New Orleans Jrue Holiday out, 8-3 minus him, going under 8-3.

Free pick: UNDER

Memphis-Utah Utah back-to-back. Home dogs 24-10 after 82-119-2 start. Teams are 44-18-4 ATS (4.47 ppg) since Jan 25, 2015 as a dog overall.

Dallas-Golden State Golden back-to-back. Dallas PG Rajon Rondo out. Only game minus him they failed against the spread and went under. The Mavericks are 33-8 ATS (3.27 ppg) since Feb 04, 2011 as a road dog after a game as a dog. Warriors No. 2 spread team and have covered two straight by combined 23.5 after three game skid of -13.5 or more.