Thursday, March 20, 2008

West Region: Baylor (11) vs. Purdue (6)

The balanced and well-coached Baylor Bears take on the Purdue Boilermakers in the West Region Thursday at Verizon Center. They face a determined Purdue squad that played well in the Big Ten, defeating champion Wisconsin twice during the year.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Boilermakers listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Bears, while the game's total is sitting at 141.
Baylor was upset 91-84 by Colorado on Thursday in the first round of the Big 12 Conference Tourney. Baylor had been favored by 9-points in the contest, while the 175 points sailed OVER the posted total of 135.
LaceDarius Dunn and Curtis Jerrells each tossed in 20 points for Baylor.
E'Twaun Moore had a team-high 22 points in Purdue's 74-67 overtime loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten tournament.
The Boilermakers had been favored by 4.5 points in that contest, while the combined score went OVER the posted total (122).
Team records:
Baylor: 21-10 SU, 13-11 ATS
Purdue: 24-8 SU, 17-11-1 ATS
Baylor most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
After playing Colorado are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

Purdue most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
After playing Illinois are 4-6
After a loss are 9-1
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baylor's last 17 games
Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Baylor is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Purdue is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Purdue is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 games
The MasterLockLine has the No. 1 CBB handicapper based on winning percentage in fact has the highest winning percentage of any handicapper since 1992 (based on at least 125 plays). His plays are 2, 3 and 4%. It's only the third time this season he's had m  

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