Sunday, June 01, 2008

Marlins-Phillies Pointers

The division rival Florida Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies are set to renew hostilities on Sunday when they meet at Citizens Bank Park.

The Marlins will give the ball to starter Andrew Miller in this one. Lefthander Miller is 4-4 this season with a 5.53 ERA.

The Phillies will counter Miller with Jamie Moyer. Lefthander Moyer has a 4.45 ERA to go along with a 5-3 record this season.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 138-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Luis Gonzalez and Cody Ross hit two-run homers on Saturday, as the Marlins dumped the Phillies 7-3. The Marlins won the game as +200 underdogs, while the 10 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (9.5).

Wes Helms also drove in two runs for the Marlins, and Ricky Nolasco allowed two runs off four hits over 6 2-3 innings for the win.

Chase Utley homered in a losing effort for the Phillies, who were favored at -230 in the contest. Cole Hamels gave up seven runs off eight hits over 5 2-3 innings in the loss.

Team records:
Florida: 31-23 SU
Philadelphia: 32-25 SU

Florida most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Atlanta are 4-6
After playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After playing Florida are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Florida's last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Florida at Atlanta, Monday, June 2
Philadelphia home to Cincinnati, Monday, June 2

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