Friday, October 30, 2009

Free Pick College Football, Saturday Oct. 30

What's scarier than Ghost Adventures live on the Travel Channel? Betting the college football odds Saturday before getting advice from Matt Rivers is like kissing Young Frankenstein or going to and shooting yourself in the wallet. His free pick Saturday is to go with Indiana plus the 17.5 points at Iowa. Here is why:

Everything has been turning up roses this season for Kirk Ferentz and his Hawkeyes but if there has been one issue thus far it has been not blowing out the inferior opponents. No doubt winning at Happy Valley against Joe Pa's Nittany Lions and just prevailing late in comeback fashion against Wisconsin and Michigan State on the road is impressive but when playing much worse competition this Iowa team has not been able to flex its muscles at all.
Certain teams can hang with the big boys but do not have that extra gear and blowout potential and that is the exact scenario here with
Iowa. I am not saying that this can't be that first blowout game of the season because Indiana has a stinker side to them for sure but until I see Ferentz' boys really turn it on I can't help but grab such a hefty number.
The Hawkeyes were extremely lucky to even beat Northern Iowa earlier in the season. Only a few block kicks saved that from being a shocking loss and about a month ago after building a 21-7 lead Iowa held off fairly lowly Arkansas State 24-21 in the end.
I'm not saying that somebody else can't step up but leading rusher Adam Robinson is out and for a team that really does not exactly zip up and down the field this is a ton of points to lay and especially so in-conference in a semi rivalry type of a game against a bad but still somewhat capable Hoosiers squad.
Ever since the win at Penn State, which I do believe was aided by the poor weather conditions, Iowa has not been much of anything. They narrowly beat Arky State, had to hold on very late at home against Michigan and then in those last two games escaped with victories thanks to late comebacks and drives. This is just not the make of a team that will suddenly blow doors off of a conference foe.

Besides that one stinker at Virginia a few weeks back where a lot of the team had the Flu Indiana has been pretty competitive throughout and should be once again today. This thing has 20-10 written all over it.

For more information: Pointspread players, think about this for a moment. Matt Rivers is one of less than a dozen handicappers alive who can truly be categorized as "world class." Saturday his biggest release ever goes.

Matt has his first ever 400,000* College Football Game of My Life going Saturday and it's being released with today's daily card. Matt says, "I have only released one 400,000* in my entire life and it came just a few short weeks ago as the Chiefs cashed the ticket with ease at home against Dallas. KC lost in overtime as the 8 point dog. It's my biggest release ever." He also has an ultra rare totals lock on NC State-Florida State. Click now to purchase


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