Saturday, October 24, 2009

NFL Handicapping: Patriots vs Buccaneers

The New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Wembley Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 15½-point favorites versus the Buccaneers, while the game's total is sitting at 44½.
The Patriots defeated Tennessee 59-0 as a 9-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38.5).
Tom Brady passed for 380 yards with six touchdowns for New England, while Randy Moss hauled in eight passes for 129 yards and three touchdowns in the win.
The Buccaneers lost to Carolina 28-21 as a 3-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Carnell Williams rushed for 77 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries for Tampa Bay and Josh Johnson passed for 147 yards with an interception.
Current streak:
Tampa Bay has lost 6 straight games.
Team records:
New England: 4-2 SU, 3-3
ATS
Tampa Bay
: 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When favored on the road are 8-2

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When an underdog at home are 3-7
A few trends to consider:
New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 13 games
New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Next up:
New England home to Miami, Sunday, November 8
Tampa Bay home to Green Bay, Sunday, November 8

 

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