Saturday, October 24, 2009

NFL Handicapping: Falcons vs Cowboys

The fans at Cowboys Stadium will be treated to a game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Dallas Cowboys when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 4-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game's total is sitting at 47½.
The Falcons defeated Chicago 21-14 as a 4-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (46).
Matt Ryan passed for 154 yards with a pair of touchdowns for Atlanta, while Roddy White caught four passes for 56 yards with a touchdown in the win.
The Cowboys defeated Kansas City 26-20 as a 7-point favorite in Week 5. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).
Mile Austin caught 10 passes for 250 yards and two touchdowns for Dallas, while Tony Romo passed for 351 yards with two touchdowns in the win.
Current streak:
Atlanta has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Atlanta: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
Dallas: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Atlanta most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Dallas most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Next up:
Atlanta at New Orleans, Monday, November 2
Dallas home to Seattle, Sunday, November 1

 

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