Tuesday, June 08, 2010

MLB Handicapping: Cubs vs Brewers

Courtesy of OddsShark.com:

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Tuesday when the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet at Miller Park.
Lefthander Ted Lilly will take the mound for the Cubs to start this game. Lilly is 1-5 this season with a 3.61 ERA.
Meanwhile, it'll be ace Yovani Gallardo who starts for the Brewers. Righthander Gallardo is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 152-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game's total is sitting at 7½.
Carlos Silva allowed one run over seven innings to earn the win, as the Cubs downed the Pirates 6-1 on Monday.
Chicago cashed as -160 road favorites, while the teams played UNDER the 8.5-run total set by oddsmakers.
The Brewers defeated St. Louis 4-3 in extra innings as a +185 underdog on Sunday. The seven runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).
Corey Hart drove in the winning run on a sacrifice fly in the tenth inning fro Milwaukee, while Rickies Weeks hit a solo home run and scored twice in the win.
Team records:
Chicago: 26-31 SU
Milwaukee: 23-34 SU
Chicago most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After playing Pittsburgh are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Chi Cubs are 4-6
After playing St. Louis are 5-5
After a win are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Chi Cubs are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi Cubs's last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Next up:
Milwaukee home to Chi Cubs, Wednesday, June 9

Stevie Vincent is literally 20-25 years ahead of the oddsmakers and they will be the first to admit. His forensic sports handicapping is groundbreaking and there is nothing the books have been able to do to stop him. 

 

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