Thursday, January 27, 2011

Vegas Odds: NCAA Basketball Free Pick

Matt Rivers has a basketball pick against the spread Thursday is on Virginia (+4) to Maryland.

The Cavaliers plus the points in Charlottesville is worth a play here for sure. Maryland is a good team but let's be honest this isn't one of Gary Williams' better teams and all in all I just don't really fear the turtle. Yes Jordan Williams, Adrian Bowie and Dino Gregory form a solid threesome and a team that can win on the road but UVA has looked better of late and just beat up Georgia Tech in that last game. The Yellow Jackets are in the midst of a down season but they have been improved of late except for that loss.

I watched Virginia lead by double digits at Cameron in semi shocking fashion before losing and covering and looked like a team that knew what they were doing. In that last game they competed hard and covered easily in Chestnut Hill against Boston College. I just like what this team is becoming. They won't win the ACC or even make the field of 65 but things are a little better this season and wins at both Virginia Tech and Minnesota show just that.

Tony Bennett is a quality coach and even with the loss of Mike Scott has kept the ship afloat and even at times these guys have looked better. The Cavs have gone small with the four guard sets and it has worked a lot of the time. Mustaphaha Farrakhan is on that streak of six consecutive games of double-figure scoring and will be a large factor if the Cavaliers want to move to .500 at 3-3 in the ACC. It'll be tough to bang with Williams down low but overall to get a handful at home is enough for me with the improving boys from Virginia.

Top expert pick on this game: Virginia (+4)

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