Statesman.com Confirms Chris Jesse is Mack Brown's Son

OffshoreInsiders has confirmed via the Statesman that the idiot who ran on the field and helped sports bettors is Chris Jesse, son of Mack Brown.

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Chris Jesse, Texas Longhorns Moron

How much money will change hands thanks to Chris Jesse, Mack Brown's moronic stepson? Let's hope it benefits us at OffshoreInsiders

Texas Bowl Sports Betting Preview: TCU and Houston

It's the Texas Bowl and appropriately enough two Texas-based teams TCU and Houston do battle. The Horned Frogs are laying 6.5 points with a total of 57.5-58.5 depending on the sportsbooks.

TCU is 7-5 straight up, Houston 8-4, but both teams are under .500 where it counts: against the spread.

TCU is 5-6 to the number, though they did finish the regular season on a 3-1 run. Houston is on a four-game spread skid and they've gone under five straight.

From our bowl previews: It's Houston as the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but TCU on defense. Houston gets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, 1.4 more yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars also complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.

The only exception to Houston winning every offensive and TCU every defensive matchup is Houston allowing 2.6 less percent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are allowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The biggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6.

Houston will be without coach Art Briles who resigned to take the same job at Baylor. The game is essentially a home game for Houston as the contest is at Reliant Stadium.

TCU may be better than their record shows. They played their worst football when defensive end Tommy Blake left the team because of stress. The Horned Frogs were predicted to win the Mountain West.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. He's got the coffee brewing and burning the midnight oil to ensure winning picks. His selections are on GodsTips at OffshoreInsiders.com   

 

Michigan State and Boston College

Michigan State and Boston College clash in the Champs Bowl. The meat and potatoes of the bowl season begins with this game as later today TCU takes on Houston and Maryland battles Oregon State.

The Eagles range from a 4-4.5 point favorite with a total of 56-56.5. The Spartans are 7-5 straight up and against the spread. It was quite the roller coaster ride for them, winning their first four games, but losing 5-of-6 before closing out the year with consecutive impressive wins and covers at Purdue and at home to Penn State.

From our hand-picked previews from around the Internet at Sportsline360.com, we note that motivation could be a problem for BC. An 8-0 start had Boston College thinking national championship, but they finished 2-3 straight up their last five. Will it be a consolation bowl for the Eagles?  

MSU will be without star defensive end Jonal Saint-Dic because of academic issues. "This is a key injury because it hurts their pass rush against Matt Ryan," notes Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com

From our bowl previews: To say the least, these two teams are closely matched statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per game but they are dead even in yards per play. Michigan State gets 93.5 more rushing yards per game but Boston College accrues 103.8 more passing yards. It's a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.

However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per attempt and .8 more passing yards per reception.

Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7 less yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, MSU allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key areas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt allowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception of .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with Mich State having a net edge of two.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, where sports bettors can get the top side and over/under picks throughout the bowls.

 

Betting the Remaining Bowl Games

The bowls are here. A lot of money is to be made, but let us make sure it is not the bookmakers. One of the first blunders that so many gamblers make is that they feel they "have" to bet larger amounts on bowl games or bet every side and total.

Do not get me wrong; there are true harmless "recreational" gamblers. By that we mean people who are couch potatoes and bet only "entertainment" money to insure that they have someone to root for on that chesterfield with a Budweiser in his right hand and a remote.

While this practice defies money management, if one can objectively assert that they are not realistically expecting to make a profit, but just adding to the excitement of the game with the chance of making money along the way, there is really no harm.

The bookmaker will thank you, but there are some Joeybagofdonut guys who will bet lunch money on the bowls then regardless of how poorly or well he does not bet again until March Madness. To them, money management is mere gingerbread. But the serious player must bet postseason games using the same money management techniques mentioned in previous articles here.

The factors to look for and not to look for when handicapping are numerous. A classic gambler's trap is believing that one should focus on teams that finish the season on winning or losing streaks and to bet those streaks to continue.

The truth is nothing can break a team's momentum more than several weeks off. Conversely, not anything is more valuable to a struggling team than to have time to regroup such as which the weeks between the bowls offer.

In addition one must look at why a team performed the way they did down the stretch. Was a team really improved or just "in a groove"? Did injuries play a big part in a teams skid to end a year and did the time off help heal them? Or was it a case of several players improving as the year went on?

Sometimes there is a reason to the rhyme. Georgia, as a shining example, played much better late in the year because young players at key positions emerged or improved. Freshman running back Knowshon Moreno exploded onto to the scene and garnered legitimate comparisons to the most famous Bulldog of them all. Following injuries to senior running backs Thomas Brown and Kregg Lumpkin, Moreno came from deep on the bench to become the SEC's second leading rusher. Sophomore quarterback Matt Stafford progressed and matured as the year went on. Hence the Dogs are more than a team that simply got hot at the end of the year.

Everything must be considered when looking how a team did in September as opposed to how they performed in November. If there was a huge dichotomy one must instead of making the assumption that they progressed as the year went on—which may be the case but may not—do significant analysis and look further.

Keep an eye on injury reports, but not just of guys who return from injuries but also guys who played banged up late in the year. Did a team that struggled late in the year because of injuries get healthy over the long break? Many gamblers merely isolate teams that performed significantly better at the end of the season. Without analyzing why, such an application is fool's gold.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and his picks are part of GodsTips on that site. OffshoreInsiders.com will have free and premium picks on the rest of the bowl games as well as free match-ups, exclusive betting previews and more.

 

Scorephone and Freescoreboard Legend Previews Motor City Bowl for Vegas Experts

Central Michigan takes on Purdue in the Motor City bowl. The Boilermakers are an eight-point favorite with a total of 71.5-72, so shop around at our vetted sportsbooks.

Taken from our sports betting previews from articles around the Internet, Purdue players have expressed how they want to go out on a high note after losing their final three regular season games including to rival Indiana (a GodsTips.com Wise Guy winner for sports bettors.

This is a rare bowl rematch as Purdue crushed the Chippewas 45-22 back on Sept. 23.   

The Bowl previews told you that offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets 27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2 more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more passing yards per attempt, it's Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per reception.

Purdue's defensive superiority is across the board, but not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7 fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3 less passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better than CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are nearly even.

CMU went 7-2 straight up down the stretch and 5-3-1 against the spread during that span. They also exceeded the total in seven of their last eight. Purdue went 3-6 against the spread to close out the regular season, including three straight losses outright.

Both GodsTips and Stevie Vincent have post-Christmas bowl packages, at a reduced price for those who missed out on the huge winnings thus far. Click now to purchase

Bowl Breakdowns2007, Part 4

This is Part-4 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 30-Dec. 31.

Colorado-Alabama

Offensively, the pure numbers could not be closer as Colorado gets 6.0 more yards per game on .1 more yards per play.

Defensively, the Crimson Tide permits 48.7 less yards per game on .7 fewer yards per play. While the Buffs allow .2 less rushing yards per play, Alabama allows .5 less rushing yards per attempt and .5 less passing yards per attempt. They have the turnover ratio edge by eight.

Air Force-California

Air Force gets 148.8 more rushing yards per game and California more 97.2 passing yards per game. The Falcons accumulate .5 more rushing yards per attempt and .5 more passing yards per attempt as well as completing 4.3 percent more of their passes.

On defense, Air Force allows 16.8 less rushing yards per game but the Golden Bears have the upper hand in passing yards allowed by 28.8 per game. The Falcons allow .7 less rushing yards per attempt but the Bears permit .5 less passing yards per attempt.

Air Force allows a completion percentage of 5.8 less and they have a turnover margin of seven better than Cal.

Oregon-South Florida

Oregon gets 3.7 more first downs per game and 39.6 more yards. South Florida though gets 11.2 more passing yards per game. While the Ducks gets .8 more rushing yards per attempt, South Florida gets .4 more passing yards per attempt and .6 more per catch.

USF leads in every major category on defense, but not overwhelmingly. They allow 57.8 less total yards per game and .7 less per play. The biggest edge is the Bulls allowing 1.4 less passing yards per reception. USF also has a turnover ratio of eight better.

Fresno State-Georgia Tech

Fresno has slight edges on offense. They get 21 more total yards per game on .3 more yards per play. Tech gets .1 more rushing yards per attempt while Fresno accrues 1.1 more passing yards per attempt, yet the Yellow Jackets .9 more passing yards per reception. The Bulldogs have a huge edge completing 12.6 more percent of their pass attempts.

On the other side of the ball, Tech allows 99.5 less total yards per game on .9 less yards per play. The Yellow Jackets have a humungous edge allowing 2.2 less rushing yards per attempt, but the Bulldogs allow .7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per reception.

Florida State-Kentucky

On offense it’s Kentucky in most major categories except passing yards per reception where the Noles get .9 more. But it’s the Wildcats in total yards by 78.6 per game, .5 more yards per play, and .7 in passing yards per attempt. They get a phenomenal 7.8 more first downs per game.

FSU allows 39.8 less total yards per game, though Kentucky permits 35.8 less passing yards per game. FSU has a considerable edge of 1.2 on rushing yards per attempt, but Kentucky is superior by 1.0 passing yards per reception

Indiana-Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State gets 89.9 more total yards per game on .9 more yards per play. The biggest edges are on rushing yards per attempt, where OSU gets the checkmark by 1.2 and passing yards per reception by 2.3. The Hoosiers though complete 2.5 more percent of their pass attempts.

On defense, the Cowboys allow 2.2 less first downs per game but the Hoosiers 49.1 less total yards per game. Indiana permits .9 less yards per play. The Hoosiers pass defense is much better, allowing 1.4 less passing yards per attempt and per catch as well as permitting a completion percentage of 4.8 less.

Auburn-Clemson

Clemson gets 2.7 more first downs per game, 50.3 more total yards per game on .7 more yards per play. The SEC Tigers though gets .8 more passing yards per reception. Clemson completes a considerable 8.9 more percent of their passes.

Clemson also leads in most defensive classifications but modestly. They allow 25.1 less total yards per game, but are dead even in yards per play. Clemson has a turnover margin of 10 better.

“The Drudge Report for Sports Handicappers”. OffshoreInsiders.com  has top previews from around the Internet of interest to the do-it-yourself handicapper. This includes key injury information. Best of all, we don’t use a news aggregator! These previews are hand-picked by our sports handicapping experts at OffshoreInsiders.com  

GodsTips 17-7 Football Tear, 3-0 Bowl Sweep Yesterday

Sunday, December 23, 2007

BOWL SWEEP YESTERDAY INC WISE GUYS S MISS & N MEX; 17-7 ALL FOOTBALL INC 5-1 LAST SUN, SEASON HIGH 11 NFL + 2 BOWL

One of the great seasons in football handicapping history continued yesterday where we go 4-1 with all football plays including a sweep of Wise Guy plays and a sweep of bowls. You can't possibly be in the outside looking in, can you? We have 13, yes I said 13 football winners Sunday. We have a season high 11 NFL + ECU-Boise State side and total. We have college and NFL Wise Guy plays. You get all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NFL

BUFFALO +2.5 NY Giants

Our official outlaw line is pick. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.

The Giants and Eli Manning again struggle when the season in on the line. After a 6-2 straight up start, they are just 3-3 straight up.

Buffalo has no pressure, but no team wants a playoff spot clinched on their home field and the Bills show no signs of quitting on the season.

 

Vegas Insider: It’s Southern Mississippi and Cincinnati

 

It's Southern Mississippi and Cincinnati battling it out in the Papa John's Bowl. Cincinnati is an 11 point favorite with a total of 55 according to sportsbooks.

In our bowl previews we told you that the Bearcats have the numbers on offense getting 64.2 more yards on .7 more yards per play. However, the Eagles get 18.4 more rushing yards per game. Cincy gets 1.9 more passing yards per reception.

Defensively it's very close. They are 1.4 yards per game allowed apart with Southern Mississippi getting the nominal win. But the Bearcats actually give up .3 fewer yards per play. While Cincinnati is better against the run by 42.8 yards per game and a full yard per carry, Southern Miss is superior by 44.2 passing yards per game, though it's Cincy allowing .1 less passing yards per attempt and .6 less per catch. As is the case with many statistically evenly matched squads, where the big advantage lies is in the turnover margin category. Give that to Cincinnati by a significant margin of 21.

Southern Miss won't be intimidated as it's their sixth straight bowl appearance. They've won the last three.

Cincinnati has a high powered offense led by Ben Mauk who threw for 27 touchdown passes. He will be going up against the top defense in C-USA. The Bearcats finished 9-3 straight up after a 6-0 start. They were 8-2 to the number.

Southern Miss was 7-5 straight up and 5-6 to the number.

The top sports service pick on this contest is from GodsTips which has this among two Wise Guy plays for the bowls today. Nevada-New Mexico is the other. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  Click now to purchase

Bet On Sports and Win: Memphis-FAU Gambling Preview

Memphis takes on Florida Atlantic in the New Orleans bowl. Florida Atlantic is anywhere from a 2.5-3 point favorite with a total of 66 according to sportsbooks.

In our bowl previews we told you that Memphis has slight edges on the offensive side of the ball, but by only 34.3 yards per game and .2 yards per play. However, showing how close they are mathematically on offense, FAU gets .5 more passing yards per reception.

The biggest sports service plays on tonight’s game happen to be from GodsTips.com which has Wise Guy plays on both the side and the total. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick  

Likewise Florida Atlantic gets the nod defensively, but not by much. They allow 22.4 less total yards per game and .6 less yards per play. The biggest edge by either team is on turnover ratio where Florida Atlantic has a superiority of 13.

Here are some betting numbers from the top Vegas insiders: each team is 7-5 straight up. Florida Atlantic has gone over the total their last seven games. Memphis enters on a 6-3 run against the spread.

From our sports betting previews from articles around the Internet, Owls head coach Howard Schnellenberger is 4-0 straight up in bowl games. They are led by Sun Belt Player of the Year quarterback Rusty Smith, throwing for 28 touchdowns and just eight interceptions.

However, “intangibles” handicappers will want to note that FAU is playing in their first bowl game having just played in the Bowls Subdivision since 2005. So this would qualify as “their biggest game in history” notes Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com, the online betting syndicate.

Memphis has also been successful in bowls, playing in its fourth bowl in five years and sporting a straight up mark of 4-1 all-time.

Simply Put, GodsTips Winning In Every Sport Lately and Of Course All Time

Friday, December 21, 2007

FRESH OFF TNT GAME OF THE MONTH WINNER CLEVELAND, FIRST 2 WISE GUY PLAYS OF BOWLS FAU-MEMPHIS SIDE & TOTAL

Again, anyone and everyone who cares about sustained winning is and will always be a permanent client of GodsTips. For those wanting the hot hand and/or the big play, we have that too. Nobody is approaching GodsTips 79-44 CBB Wise Guy mark for the year. Cleveland as the TNT Game of the Month makes us 14-8 the last 22 NBA.

A football season for the ages (12-4 recent run typical of our year and career) goes to the next level tonight. It's a rare, we do mean rare case of a Wise Guy play on both the side and total. Remember, three bowl games and the NFL go Saturday so get at least a three or four-day pass from your NFL specialists. Oh, we also two college hoop and an NBA Wise Guy among eight football and basketball winners. You get all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NBA

TORONTO -5 Seattle

A five point or more road favorite off a SU loss as an away dog is more than a 60 percent play since 1983. For a team to be more than a five-point road favorite, you are almost always talking about a superior team against a greatly inferior.  For that superior team to have been a dog the previous game, they likely were playing another top-notch team.  So it says that a superior team loses to another superior team and takes out their frustrations on the inferior team.

Handicapping Experts Look at the Steelers-Rams

 

It's time to take a sports betting preview of the Pittsburgh Steelers and St. Louis Rams for Thursday Night action. Don't just win betting the Poinsettia Bowl between Navy and Utah. Also the Cavaliers and Lakers are a great gambling opportunity according to GodsTips.com  

But let's take a look at the Rams-Steelers. First taken from our sports betting previews from articles around the Internet, the Rams have scored 20 or more points just three times this year. Pittsburgh still ranks No. 1 defensively, but has proven vulnerable the last two weeks allowing 842 years, 63 points and seven touchdown passes.

The Rams have gotten healthier at the skilled positions as Torry Holt, Steven Jackson and Marc Bulger are all expected to play tonight. But perennial Pro Bowl tackle Orlando Pace was lost for the year in week 1 and three starters on defense have been lost to injury.

Sportsbooks have Pittsburgh down to a 7.5 point favorite, though they are still eight at some houses. The total is 43.5, though as low as 43.

The Rams are 3-11 straight up and 5-9 to the number while Pittsburgh is 9-5 straight up and 7-7 against the spread. However, the Steelers are on a two-game outright losing streak and a 1-4 spread skid.

The Rams are 3-3 straight up their last six and 4-2 in the back pocket. GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com is 11-3 the last 14 football and the all-time top ranked NFL sports service. They have the NFL side and the Navy-Utah side and total, plus the TNT Wise Guy play on the Lakers-Cavaliers.  Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick   

Navy-Utah Betting Preview

 

Utah takes on Navy in the Poinsettia Bowl in what is all but assured of being another windfall bowl season for sports bettors. The sportsbooks have Utah as a 7.5 point favorite, though they've gone up to eight in some houses. The total is 64.5-65.

Taken from our sports betting previews from articles around the Internet we note that the Utes are as healthy as they've been all year. Both defensive tackle Gabe Long and cornerback Brice McCain will play. The Naval Academy is healthy as well.

Navy is very one dimensional with their triple option as they average only 93.1 passing yards per game. Navy's head coach Paul Johnson left to take the same job at Georgia Tech.

Also from our bowl previews we note that the big underdogs Midshipmen have the numbers on the offensive side of the ball. They get 4.8 more first downs per game, 81.8 total yards and 1.1 more yards per play. However while Navy gets 187.8 more rushing yards per game, Utah passes for 106.1 more.

Navy gets 1.7 more rushing yards per attempt and 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. Surprising to many, the Naval Academy also gets 6.1 more passing yards per reception.

The Utes come back and have the edge in most defensive stats. They allow 6.2 fewer first downs per game, 118.4 fewer yards on 1.6 less yards per play. They allow 3.1 less passing yards per attempt and they have a monster advantage in passing percentage allowing 18.7 less. The Utes have the upper hand in turnover ratio by 11.

The biggest bet comes from GodsTips.com: . We have the Navy-Utah side and total, plus the Steelers-Rams side. We have three CBB Wise Guy plays, three CBB Majors and in the NBA we have the TNT Game of the Month.

We are 32-17 with all Wise Guy plays, 78-42 CBB Wise Guy plays including 6-1 last night. We have hit 11-of-14 football plays. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick.

Utah allowed just 9.5 points per game in the second half of the season. While the Middies averaged 40 points per game, they were just 1-3 straight up to bowl teams.