Thursday, December 20, 2007

Navy-Utah Betting Preview

 

Utah takes on Navy in the Poinsettia Bowl in what is all but assured of being another windfall bowl season for sports bettors. The sportsbooks have Utah as a 7.5 point favorite, though they've gone up to eight in some houses. The total is 64.5-65.

Taken from our sports betting previews from articles around the Internet we note that the Utes are as healthy as they've been all year. Both defensive tackle Gabe Long and cornerback Brice McCain will play. The Naval Academy is healthy as well.

Navy is very one dimensional with their triple option as they average only 93.1 passing yards per game. Navy's head coach Paul Johnson left to take the same job at Georgia Tech.

Also from our bowl previews we note that the big underdogs Midshipmen have the numbers on the offensive side of the ball. They get 4.8 more first downs per game, 81.8 total yards and 1.1 more yards per play. However while Navy gets 187.8 more rushing yards per game, Utah passes for 106.1 more.

Navy gets 1.7 more rushing yards per attempt and 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. Surprising to many, the Naval Academy also gets 6.1 more passing yards per reception.

The Utes come back and have the edge in most defensive stats. They allow 6.2 fewer first downs per game, 118.4 fewer yards on 1.6 less yards per play. They allow 3.1 less passing yards per attempt and they have a monster advantage in passing percentage allowing 18.7 less. The Utes have the upper hand in turnover ratio by 11.

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Utah allowed just 9.5 points per game in the second half of the season. While the Middies averaged 40 points per game, they were just 1-3 straight up to bowl teams.

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