Bowl Breakdowns2007, Part 4

This is Part-4 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 30-Dec. 31.

Colorado-Alabama

Offensively, the pure numbers could not be closer as Colorado gets 6.0 more yards per game on .1 more yards per play.

Defensively, the Crimson Tide permits 48.7 less yards per game on .7 fewer yards per play. While the Buffs allow .2 less rushing yards per play, Alabama allows .5 less rushing yards per attempt and .5 less passing yards per attempt. They have the turnover ratio edge by eight.

Air Force-California

Air Force gets 148.8 more rushing yards per game and California more 97.2 passing yards per game. The Falcons accumulate .5 more rushing yards per attempt and .5 more passing yards per attempt as well as completing 4.3 percent more of their passes.

On defense, Air Force allows 16.8 less rushing yards per game but the Golden Bears have the upper hand in passing yards allowed by 28.8 per game. The Falcons allow .7 less rushing yards per attempt but the Bears permit .5 less passing yards per attempt.

Air Force allows a completion percentage of 5.8 less and they have a turnover margin of seven better than Cal.

Oregon-South Florida

Oregon gets 3.7 more first downs per game and 39.6 more yards. South Florida though gets 11.2 more passing yards per game. While the Ducks gets .8 more rushing yards per attempt, South Florida gets .4 more passing yards per attempt and .6 more per catch.

USF leads in every major category on defense, but not overwhelmingly. They allow 57.8 less total yards per game and .7 less per play. The biggest edge is the Bulls allowing 1.4 less passing yards per reception. USF also has a turnover ratio of eight better.

Fresno State-Georgia Tech

Fresno has slight edges on offense. They get 21 more total yards per game on .3 more yards per play. Tech gets .1 more rushing yards per attempt while Fresno accrues 1.1 more passing yards per attempt, yet the Yellow Jackets .9 more passing yards per reception. The Bulldogs have a huge edge completing 12.6 more percent of their pass attempts.

On the other side of the ball, Tech allows 99.5 less total yards per game on .9 less yards per play. The Yellow Jackets have a humungous edge allowing 2.2 less rushing yards per attempt, but the Bulldogs allow .7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per reception.

Florida State-Kentucky

On offense it’s Kentucky in most major categories except passing yards per reception where the Noles get .9 more. But it’s the Wildcats in total yards by 78.6 per game, .5 more yards per play, and .7 in passing yards per attempt. They get a phenomenal 7.8 more first downs per game.

FSU allows 39.8 less total yards per game, though Kentucky permits 35.8 less passing yards per game. FSU has a considerable edge of 1.2 on rushing yards per attempt, but Kentucky is superior by 1.0 passing yards per reception

Indiana-Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State gets 89.9 more total yards per game on .9 more yards per play. The biggest edges are on rushing yards per attempt, where OSU gets the checkmark by 1.2 and passing yards per reception by 2.3. The Hoosiers though complete 2.5 more percent of their pass attempts.

On defense, the Cowboys allow 2.2 less first downs per game but the Hoosiers 49.1 less total yards per game. Indiana permits .9 less yards per play. The Hoosiers pass defense is much better, allowing 1.4 less passing yards per attempt and per catch as well as permitting a completion percentage of 4.8 less.

Auburn-Clemson

Clemson gets 2.7 more first downs per game, 50.3 more total yards per game on .7 more yards per play. The SEC Tigers though gets .8 more passing yards per reception. Clemson completes a considerable 8.9 more percent of their passes.

Clemson also leads in most defensive classifications but modestly. They allow 25.1 less total yards per game, but are dead even in yards per play. Clemson has a turnover margin of 10 better.

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