Free Betting Picks Against the Pointspread

This is a sample of the type of information you get every day from GodsTips.com We have hit everything in site! Georgia humiliates Hawaii as the Bowl Game of the Year. That made us 20-6 with all Game of the Year plays in college and pro football this year. Most recently we nailed the Bowl Moneyline Game of the Year (Miss State +130 on Dec. 29), Regular Season Game of the Year in CFB (Nov. 22 USC 20-point winner to ASU laying three), NFL Game of the Year (Nov. 11 underdog Arizona beating Detroit by double digits).

Some of the other winners were: On Sept. 20, Miami Florida was the ESPN Game of the Year. Laying -2, they crushed Texas A&M 34-17. On Oct. 4, it was our Thursday Game of the Year on South Carolina -5 to Kentucky. They win by 15. October 13, it Penn State was the Big 10 Game of the Year. Laying seven, they smash Wisconsin by 31. Finally on October 20, we had to sweat one.  Oct. 20 it was Florida beating Kentucky in the SEC Game of the Year. Then on Oct. 27, Tennessee squeaks one out against South Carolina as our Saturday ESPN Game of the Year.  On Nov. 11 our C-USA West Game of the Year on Tulsa, a bloodbath, while Cincinnati was a gift as our Big East GOY. Nov. 17 Kansas was our Big 12 edition and they win easily. But the biggest story of them all was on Nov. 22, USC laying just three points was the CFB Game of the Year. The win by 20!

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CFB

GEORGIA -7.5 Hawaii

Bowl Game of the Year

Another of our Golden Rules is to use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Or as a colleague of mine used to say, “there has got to be a reason”. We have seen it time and time again, if one team has the longest winning streak in the nation or is the last undefeated team and they are a dog, the oddsmakers more than prove right. The same is true with the last winless team being a favorite.

We know in the NFL that theory lost when Miami was a winless chalk to the Jets, but the stronger the “statement” the oddsmakers make, the bigger the play. There is a reason the only undefeated team in the nation is more than a TD dog to team with two losses.

Also when teams skid or streak into the postseason, the big question we always, always ask is why. If it’s simply the team got hot/cold as the year ended, the break neutralizes that. But freshman stud running back Knowshon Moreno emerged as a legitimate reminder of Hershel Walker.

Meanwhile sophomore quarterback Matthew “Spiders and Snakes” Stafford started to justify the hype.

The Bulldogs’ (10-2) six-game win streak coincides with Moreno’s emergence, Stafford’s development and a young offensive line that has gelled.

“You can’t necessarily completely stop the run game, and that’s what makes them very effective,” said one SEC defensive coach. “You have to mix things up with different people in the box. You’re not going to play with seven in the box and stop their running game.

“They’ll run it, and then they stick it to you with the play-action, and Stafford can really throw it deep.”

On the other hand, Hawaii is a dichotomous spread team.  We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles around the Net, basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.  

Despite a 12-0 straight up mark, they are 2-5 their last seven to the number.

Major…

USC -13.5 Illinois

With John David Booty in the line-up, USC is the best team in the country. Booty returned after a two-game layoff—and so did the Trojans’ offense. The senior led USC to four straight wins. Booty threw for 375 yards and four touchdowns against then-No. 6 Arizona State, a game in which USC racked up 508 yards of offense. During that season-ending stretch, Booty threw eight touchdown passes and just one interception as the Trojans outscored opponents 116-51 and racked up 945 yards of offense in their last two games.

There is no letdown in the Rose Bowl for them, so motivation is not an issue.  Remember, it’s a defacto home game. They are still feeling the sting of the cataclysmic Stanford loss.

Booty was not the only key injury. They also lost tackle Sam Baker, center Matt Spanos.

Illinois did something Ron Zook teams never do—they overachieved. That is the type of team that will be killed by the long layoff.

VIRGINIA +6 Texas Tech

This is a competitor consensus.  If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a “competitor consensus”.

 

CBB

Wise Guy…

ALABAMA -2 Clemson

Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 844-631.

 

Alabama-Clemson UNDER 155.5

Our official outlaw line has the total at 141. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.