Jaguars-Steelers Who Will Cover?

Jacksonville came to Pittsburgh three weeks ago and won in the snow. They might have to do it again in the AFC Wild Card. The surging Jags visit the Steelers, who will be without RB Willie Parker. Both come off meaningless road losses last week. Of note, Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS past eight meetings with Pittsburgh.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Jaguars listed as 3-point favorites versus the Steelers, while the game's total is sitting at 40.

The Jaguars lost to Houston 42-28 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 17. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41.5).

Quinn Gray completed 25-of-39 passes for 302 yards with four touchdowns for Jacksonville and Ernest Wilford caught six passes for 58 yards with two touchdowns.

The Steelers lost to Baltimore 27-21 as a 3-point favorite in Week 17. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (35).

Charlie Batch completed 16-of-31 passes for 218 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Pittsburgh, while Santonio Holmes caught four passes for 98 yards with a touchdown.

Team records:
Jacksonville: 11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS
Pittsburgh: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 9-1

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games at home
Pittsburgh is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games

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