Thursday, January 01, 2009

Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. South Carolina Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes beat a lot of good teams this year, while the South Carolina Gamecocks seemed to lose to a lot of good teams. What does that mean January 1 when they meet at Raymond James Stadium in the Outback Bowl?
Oddsmakers currently have the Hawkeyes listed as 4-point favorites versus the Gamecocks, while the game's total is sitting at 43.
Ricky Stanzi threw for 255 yards with threw touchdowns to lead Iowa to a 55-0 drubbing of Minnesota in Week 13.
Iowa easily covered the 7-point spread, and the 55 points made it OVER the posted total of 44.5. Shonn Greene ran for two touchdowns in that win.
Chris Smelley completed 22-of-47 pass attempts for 207 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions for South Carolina as they lost 31-14 to Clemson in Week 14.
The Gamecocks failed to cover the 1-point spread, while the final score played OVER the posted total of 40.5.
Team records:
Iowa: 8-4 SU, 7-4 ATS
South Carolina: 7-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS
Iowa most recently:
When playing in January are 2-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

South Carolina most recently:
When playing in January are 2-0
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Iowa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games
South Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

 

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