Thursday, March 19, 2009

Free Pick March Madness: Portland State-Xavier

You know the March Madness betting craze is in full swing when we're already talking about Friday games, but that's the case. On paper, the Xavier vs Portland State odds look like a pretty intriguingmatchup ; because of Xavier's size, opponents have to shoot well to beat them, and Portland State can shoot. But online betting fans shouldn't get carried away in this one.

Finishing 25-7, Xavier is one of those teams that isn't mentioned in the same breath as the top contenders but still has multiple sportsbook followers who see them as undervalued. It's hard to argue against that assertion; the Musketeers are one of the biggest teams in March Madness betting, with all of their starters over 6'5". That createsmatchup nightmares on both sides of the court for their competition, particularly on the boards; Xavier ranked near the top of the country in rebounding margin. The Musketeers also have size—big size—on the bench with two seven-footers, so their rebounding prowess runs deep. Their main weakness is a lack of true ball-moving ability.

There's no doubt that Portland State can score. The Vikings had three players average double figures this season and six players shoot 35 per cent or better from three-point range, meaning pretty much everyone on the team is at least a moderate threat from downtown. To have a chance in March Madness betting , they'll have to catch fire from the perimeter.

While a Portland State upset would be fun to see, online betting fans can't help but see them as a "happy to be there" team. Their rebounding isn't anywhere near what it needs to be for the Vikings to contend in March Madness betting. Expect them to hold their own against Xavier—if their shooting doesn't go cold—and still lose in the end. Bet on Xavier to advance.

For all the top sports handicapper spread picks, OffshoreInsiders.com is a no-brainer.

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