Monday, March 30, 2009

Villanova-North Carolina Exclusive Betting Preview

In the 2009 Final Four, Villanova and North Carolina follow the Connecticut-Michigan State game. The Vegas odds for North Carolina-Villanova has the Tar Heels as a seven-point favorite at BetUs Sportsbook  and 7.5 at Sports Betting Sportsbook. The total is 160 at all sportsbooks.

Villanova is 30-7 straight up and 19-14 versus the Vegas betting line. UNC is 32-4, but just 16-19 where it counts.

The high total is justified. North Carolina scores a scary 90 points per game to teams that normally allow just 60.2 on shooting 48.3 percent to 42.6.

Their defense is suspect, allowing 72.1 points per game. Villanova scores 77 points per game to teams that normally allow just 68.3. While they permit 66.9, the number is indicative of their pace. They hold teams to 3.8 percent shooting below their normal average. 

As far as against the spread information: The Wildcats are 10-3 off a spread win. The Tar Heels are 7-0 as an NCAA Tournament favorite of 7-12.5 and 3-8 off a spread win. They are also just 7-17 off a straight up win.

Villanova has gone under 9-2 in non-conference games. UNC has gone over 5-0 to the Big East.

Get the winning spread picks from OffshoreInsiders.com and the latest college basketball odds.

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