Friday, March 27, 2009

Official Betting Preview of Kansas-Michigan State

Kansas plays Michigan State in the Midwest Regional Finals as the 2009 NCAA Tournament brackets continue to evolve. It's time for the official betting preview.

The Jayhawks are 27-7 straight up and have been a rock chalk at 20-8 against the spread. Michigan State is 28-6 outright and 17-13 to the Vegas bookmakers.

Proving that perception does not jibe with reality, the common belief is that Kansas is the better offense, while Michigan State the better defense. The teams have similar ratios as far as points per game on offense. Kansas gets 76.8 points per game to teams that normally allow 68.2, while Michigan State is 72.1 to 64.5.

Kansas though is the betting shooting team, getting 4.9 percent more than their foes normally allow, compared to three-percent for the Spartans.

Defensively, Kansas holds opponents to 6.7 points per game and 6.7 percent shooting below their normal average. This is better than MSU's 4.6 and 3.5 ratios.

As far as against the spread trends: The Jayhawks are 37-14 against teams with a winning record. Michigan State is 15-3 as an NCAA Tournament favorite. Kansas has gone under 13-3 off a win.

For the winning pick and prediction on Kansas-Michigan State to beat the sportsbooks it's the LateInfo. A former Las Vegas oddsmaker was the top tout on a high profile site and one of the most expensive handicappers in the world. His Odds Analyzer Plays—bets that are almost assured of beating the sports betting market are few and far between. He's back to sportsbooks consulting and we are clients at LateInfo. We now have exclusive access to release his Odds Analyzer Plays. He has a significant overlay/underlay on Kansas/Michigan State.

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