Monday, August 03, 2009

NFL Football Picks: 2009-10 Football Over/Under Regular Season Wins

Foremost to the usual futures disclaimer: we don't bet more than what we would on a single regular season game on any futures bet. This is to ensure the regular season NFL football handicapping is not subconsciously biased by long-term selections.

Weekly NFL picks involve week-to-week alterations based on oddsmakers counterbalancing year to date data, injuries, public perception and more.

But why wait until the preseason NFL betting before making serious cash?

Here are the best over/under win totals in the NFL this year:

Atlanta Falcons under 8.5 wins: last year Atlanta rode the perfect combination—a honeymoon with a new coaching staff and drastic upgrade at quarterback. But now Matt Ryan faces the burden of high expectations, Mike Smith must prove he does not join a long-list of Coach of the Year winners who flopped the next year and is Michael Turner truly the superstar he showed last year?

Cincinnati Bengals over 7 wins: generally going against anything the media says is a goldmine. Does this mean we are buying the consensus media dark horse hype about Cincinnati? Not necessarily as sportsbook total is quite realistic. Cincinnati need only go .500, which still is short of the preseason hype for this talented perennial underachiever.

Dallas over 9 wins: the deepest running back corps in the NFL will bring comparisons to the 1972 Dolphins.

Denver over 7 wins: new coach honeymoon and everyone else is about to find out what GodsTips has said for the last several years: Jay Cutler is the most overrated NFL quarterback since Jeff George. Cutler led the NFL in incomplete passes last year, the most overlooked stat in the NFL. Broncos' fans will say good riddance to that overrated crybaby.

Kansas City over 6 wins: the Chiefs were worst in the NFL last year in two areas: coaching and quarterback. They upgraded both.

The Giants under 10 wins is very tempting, but it's also at -155. All odds courtesy of BetUs Sportsbook

For more information: Get NFL scores and odds and free NFL picks all year long on the Offshore Insiders Network.

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