Reasoning: Jo Jo Reyes hasn't won in a bazillion starts. Literally almost 30, and to get the team with the best record in the American League in the Indians at around a pick today is fine with me. Certainly I never love the dreaded road chalk role and do realize that Cleveland has not played as well over the past few days but for the most part Fausto Carmona has bounced back nicely this season and is far superior to the former Brave Reyes.
I don't mind John Farrell's Blue Jays as Jose Bautista has been crushing the ball and guys like Hill and Lind and Escobar and the suddenly surging Corey Patterson are not bad at all. The problem today is that Reyes has been that bad and he is up against an offense that just continues to perform game in and game out. With Grady Sizemore back to go with Choo, Santana and Cabrera the Tribe are a team that may legitimately be a ton better than anybody believed they would be and that is with this recent mini slide where they have dropped four of the last five games.
I never thought nor do I currently believe that the Indians are a true World Series threat. But these guys are every bit as good as the Jays and probably better as the records indicate and to get the quality sinker baller in Carmona against Reyes is a semi must play.
Top expert pick on this game: Cleveland Indians
