Saturday, June 11, 2011

Baseball Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers Saturday is on the Boston Red Sox (+105) to Toronto.

Reasoning: I backed Toronto in a comp loser as the big dog yesterday and am reversing course here because the price is just too good not to.

Brandon Morrow certainly has the potential to be a very very good pitcher as he is a dominating strikeout machine at times. Shoot the way this season has gone for John Lackey the Blue Jays may even have the advantage on the hill. But with that said I'm not writing Mr. Lackey off just yet and in that first start back off the DL the former Angel actually looked better. Is he back and will this form last for good? I'm not sure about that but he's much better than the 3-5 record and 7.60 ERA would suggest that I can tell you.

As for the two teams, clearly the visitors from Beantown are the more powerful overall squad with a lineup as nasty as any. The Jays can hit as well led by a budding star in Jose Bautista among others but the Sox are obviously far superior. Big Papi is on-fire, Adrian Gonzalez may be the early season MVP and Carl Crawford, Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis are all very good and great at times.

Things won't come easy today for Boston but in my opinion they are of solid value at this number as they just win this game more than they don't and that constitutes a value at this price.

If Lackey regresses today and gets slapped around then so be it. We were able to get a great team at a great value but just happened to lose. But if the guy is healthier and improving then we should be laying a decent chunk of change but yet aren't and I'm more than fine with that scenario!

Top expert pick on this game: Boston from Matt Rivers

For more information: The run is now 58 of 97 winning days, as in 58 winning days compared to only 39 losing ones and 5.7 million* of profit after the 400,000* on the plus money Nationals took care of business. It should have been another sweep of the board had we gotten any sort of a break with the big dog Bruins who were nipped 1-0 but in the end another winning day.

Now to another 400,000* involving the superior but beat up Braves in Houston plus a 300,000* with the Indians and Yankees. Am I feeling good? You bet your arse I am. Click now to purchase

 


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