Sunday, December 30, 2007

Fox Sports Radio Clowns?

I keep hearing these nut jobs on Fox Sports Radio bellyache because the Cowboys have their second stringers against a "divisional opponent".  Of course what those clowns don't mention is they may meet again in the postseason. So why would Dallas want to show all their packages and give a Hall-of-Fame coach Joe Gibbs more to watch on the game film if they meet a third time?

Sportsbooks should post the wild card odds tonight. Check our NFL betting odds.  

Vegas Insider Stevie Vincent Halftime Tip

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com says Dallas versus Washington is going to be one of this biggest second half bets of the year.

Bowl Betting Breakdowns 2007, part. 5

This is Part-5 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy's GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Jan. 1.

Wisconsin-Tennessee

The offensive stats are close. Tennessee gets 2.0 more first downs per game on 25.1 more total yards. However, Wisconsin has the most modest of edges, getting .1 more yards per play. Yet the Vols get 62.6 more passing yards per game. Talk about conflicting stats, the Badgers get 1.1 more passing yards per attempt and 2.7 more passing yards per reception.

The numbers give Wisconsin the check marks on defense. They allow 5.3 fewer first downs per game on 83.9 less yards. The Volunteers permit .2 fewer rushing yards per attempt. Every other comparison gives a small edge to the Badgers. But Tennessee has a turnover ratio of nine better than Wisky.

Arkansas-Missouri

While Missouri gets 6.1 more first downs per game on 35.4 more yards, Arkansas has the upper hand in the most important category (according to sports betting expert Joe Duffy), getting .3 more yards per play. But it's a battle of differing styles as much as any bowl game. Arkansas picks up 131.7 more rushing yards per game; Mizzou 167.1 more passing yards per game. The Razorbacks get a significantly more 1.8 more rushing yards per attempt but Missouri .8 more passing yards per attempt. The Razorbacks have a more efficient passing game, accumulating .9 more passing yards per reception, yet the Tigers complete 11.9 more percent of their pass attempts.

It's see-saw on defense as well. Missouri allows 29.1 less rushing yards per game, but Arkanas 50.3 fewer passing yards per game. The two most significant differences on defense are the Tigers permitting 1.8 less passing yards per reception, but the Razorbacks with a humungous passing percentage against superiority of 16.6.

Michigan-Florida

Florida has the huge upper hand on offense getting 4.7 more first downs per game, 110.8 yards per game, 1.8 more yards per play including 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Gators also complete 13.1 more percent of their passes.

On defense, it's the Wolverines who are superior. They allow 4.7 less first downs per game on .5 fewer yards per play. However, Florida allows 27.4 fewer rushing yards per game on .6 less rushing yards per attempt. Michigan's advantage is 98.2 fewer passing yards per game on 1.2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.6 less passing yards per reception. Michigan has a turnover ratio upper hand of seven.

Texas Tech-Virginia

High powered Tech gets 6.1 more first downs per game, 210.8 total yards per game on 2.4 more yards per play. However, the Cavs have the advantage in rushing yards per game by 61.8. The Red Raiders accumulate 2.1 more passing yards per attempt. They also have a commanding superiority in completion percentage by 13.8.

It's pretty close on defense. The Cavs allow 62.7 less rushing yards per game, and 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt. But the Red Raiders permit 14.2 fewer passing yards per game.  They have minimal edges as well in passing yards per attempt, passing yards per reception and passing percentage against. Virginia has the upper hand in turnover ratio by nine.

Illinois-USC

Contrary to what many may believe, Illinois actually averages a slight 4.9 more total yards per game on offense led by a superiority of 80.3 yards rushing. They also get 1.0 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 more passing yards per reception. The Trojans though complete 5.8 more percent of their passes.

USC allows 3.3 fewer first downs per game on 96.6 fewer total yards per game and 1.1 less yards per play. It's a clean sweep of superiority on defense for Southern Cal giving up 1.3 less passing yards per attempt, 1.4 less passing yards per reception, and a completion percentage against of 4.8 less.

Hawaii-Georgia

Hawaii gets 7.3 more first downs per game on 143.6 more yards offensively. However, the Bulldogs run the ball much better getting 97.6 more yards per game on .8 more rushing yards per attempt. The Rainbow Warriors have a completion percentage of 16.8 better than the Dawgs.

The defensive comparison shows the teams closer than many may think. UGA allows 24.7 fewer yards per game, but Hawaii actually concedes .2 fewer yards per play. Hawaii allows .6 fewer passing yards per attempt on .7 less passing yards per reception. Turnover ratio comparison goes to the Bulldogs by five.  

OffshoreInsiders.com is your one-stop shop for bowl betting. We have the latest live odds, plus CFB First Half Lines, CFB Halftime Lines, CFB Matchups from SportsDataBases or as an alternative CFB Matchups from StatFox, CFB Trend Sheet with ATS info, CFB Game Reports, CFB Game Previews from an online betting perspective. 

 

Sports Bet: Late NFL Kickoffs Injuries and Weather Conditions

Now that your winning sports bets are in for the early NFL kicks and fantasy football line-ups in, OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at late kickoff NFL weather and injuries.

Cowboys-Redskins

It will be raining throughout, probably more reason for Dallas to not play key cogs. Winds though will not be a factor and the thermometer will be well above freezing.

The Pokes will be without wideout Terrell Owens. Wide receiver Terry Glenn will make his season debut, but much like Marvin Harrison for the Colts, the main purpose is to get into game speed conditions for the postseason.

Steelers-Ravens

It will also be raining cats and dogs in the Charm City. Rain will continue throughout the contest, but winds are very minimal.

Pittsburgh starts Charlie Batch at quarterback as Benji Roethlisberger get rested. Baltimore running back Musa Smith starts for Willis McGahee, who is out.

Titans-Colts

In the final game of the NFL season, Marvin Harrison likely starts. Both of GodsTips highest rated Wise Guy plays go late, including this game. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick  

Vikings-Broncos

Winds up to 18 mph will affect the passing game.

Rams-Cardinals

As per usual, Arizona's two-headed fragile monster at wideout, Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald are on the report. Both are expected to start.

Fantasy Football and Sports Betting Weather and Injuries for the Early Card

Fantasy football and sports betting players alike, here is the imperative NFL weather and injury information you need before placing your line-up or football bets.

Bills-Eagles

There is a 40 percent chance of rain at kickoff but temperatures are well above freezing. Buffalo will be without starting strong safety Donte Whitner.

Panthers-Buccaneers

Conditions see a 30 percent chance of rain at kickoff and may change to thunderstorms as the game progresses. Bucs wideout Joey Galloway will not play.

Bengals-Dolphins

Cincinnati running back Rudi Johnson is out again, so Kenny Watson gets the call.

Saints-Bears

This time of the year it's a big story when weather conditions is Chicago, Green Bay or other northern cities won't play a major factor. Light wins, no precipitation here and the temperature will be slightly above freezing.

The Saints have had tons of injuries at running back. Already without Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush, now Aaron Stecker is a game time decision.

Lions-Packers

Much like in Chicago, the fact weather will play little into your sports bets or fantasy football line-ups is a story in and of itself. Detroit is without mediocre running back T.J. Duckett, so Kevin Jones gets the nod.

Green Bay wide receiver Greg Jennings is a game time decision. The top NFL totals handicapper, Stevie Vincent has his biggest over/under of the football week on this game. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick.

Jaguars-Texans

Though Houston's Matt Schaub may suit up, Sage Rosenfels gets the start at quarterback.

Seahawks-Falcons

Seattle's Deion Branch is a game time decision. The good news for Atlanta fans is that their season ends today. Their wide receiver Michael Jenkins is questionable.

49ers-Browns

There is at least some change of rain, but temperatures are above freezing and winds nominal.

Pointspread winners on today's card at OffshoreInsiders.com   

Saturday, December 29, 2007

Stevie Vincent 6-2 Level 5!

12-30-07

6-2 LEVEL 5 ALL, 3-1 NFL LEVEL 5; 6 NFL, 3 ARE LEVEL 5

Let’s keep it simple: 2 Level 5 pro football game sides, 1 Level 5 o/u + 3 additional pro football. We are passing on the bowls. It will cost us sales, but I only pass along picks that I bet myself and I bet more than any gambler does, can or will. Bet with a pro gambler and my revolutionary forensic handicapping. All plays today are pro football. Stevie Vincent BetOnSports360 plays are $40 (less for longer term pick packs) at OffshoreInsiders.com   

PRO FOOTBALL

>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is on Jacksonville/Houston OVER

Forensic ATS information on this game: Jacksonville over 11-1 on more than full week rest this year, over 8-0 if they are 3-1 their last 4 straight up, over 9 straight, Houston over 7-0 to AFC South, over 9-1 against teams with a winning record

I am passing on the bowl game and basketball. GLTA.

It Ain't Braggin' if You Can Do It; Godstips Keeps Giving

Sunday, December 30, 2007

3-1 FOOTBALL INC BOWL MONEYLINE OF YEAR MISS ST +130, 33-16 FB INC 20-10 NFL; 2 NFL WG, 7 MAJORS + BOWL SIDE

America's Greatest sports service is. We nail our Moneyline Bowl Game of the Year on Mississippi State +130. A Wise Guy on Wake Forest and a Major play on the Giants make us 33-16 in football, including 20-10 in the NFL. We have 10 football winners Sunday. If you want to remain on the outside looking in, thank you for keeping the books in business for the rest of us. You get all of today's Joe Duffy's GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NFL

DENVER +3 Minnesota

There is a huge difference between playoff bound teams playing backups and a team like Denver, which may seem to "have nothing to play for" but that's balderdash.

No team wants another squad clinching a playoff birth on their home field. So this is Denver's chance to play spoiler to close out the year.

Denver is much better at home and remember, forget about the fact the Vikes are from a cold weather city, they are a dome team. The home team has won six straight Broncos games.

We love home dogs with no chance at making the playoffs with a chance to play spoiler at home.

 

Giants-Patriots Betting Perspective

The NY Giants and the New England Patriots begin the final week of the NFL regular season. Every other publication and website can parrot what you already know about the historic ramifications. We will take a look at it from a betting standpoint.

The Patriots-Giants betting line sees New England currently as a 13 point favorite with an over/under of 46.

Is New England a dichotomous spread team? This is a betting theory perfected by NFL handicapping expert Mike Godsey of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com.

Godsey explains, "We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles around the Net, basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued."

Perhaps you heard, New England is 15-0 straight up and in fact have won 18 consecutive regular season games going back to last year. However, they have failed in 4-of-5 in the back pocket.

The oddsmakers have also caught up to their record shattering offense as New England has gone under three straight.   

Professional gambler Cy McCormick of the online betting syndicate MasterLockLine.com believes the historic simulcast (we are confident you know the details about that too) does have handicapping ramifications.

"Surely this will be the most watched regular season broadcast ever. (Patriots coach) Bill Belichick is well aware of that. He's been 'making statements' all year and with a captive audience, he has all the incentive in the world to run up the score again."

Oh, there is another team playing in this game (though perhaps you haven't heard that). The Giants have actually been much better on the road. The road team is a stunning 11-4 straight up and 10-5 against the spread in their contests.

In fact, the road team has won seven straight contests involving Big Blue.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, a well-respected website for free and premium handicapping information.  

Friday, December 28, 2007

Penn State-Texas A&M Gamblers Viewpoint

Texas A&M limped to the finish in the Big 12 and get another tough challenge from Joe Paterno's Penn State Nittany Lions. Fans at Alamodome should witness a good one December 29 at the Alamo Bowl.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Nittany Lions listed as 5½-point favorites versus the Aggies, while the game's total is sitting at 52.

The Nittany Lions were upset 35-31 by the Michigan State Spartans last time out. The Nittany Lions were favored by 2.5 points in that contest, while the combined 66 points sailed OVER the posted total of 51.

Rodney Kinlaw carried the ball 28 times for 125 yards with two touchdowns in a losing effort.

Texas A&M were up 38-17 in the fourth quarter last time out, and had to withstand a late Texas rally to win 38-30 as 7-point home underdogs. The 68 points scored were OVER the posted total of 60.

Stephen McGee was 24-for-35 for 364 yards, three touchdowns and two picks, while Earvin Taylor caught seven passes for 113 yards and a score for the Aggies.

Team records:
Penn State: 8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS
Texas A&M: 7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS

Penn State most recently:
When playing in December are 1-1
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

Texas A&M most recently:
When playing in December are 3-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Penn State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

This free preview is brought to you thanks to a partnership with NewBodog sportsbook. Don't thank OffshoreInsiders.com, thank them and open up an account now at the universally renowned NewBodog

Central Florida-Mississippi State Liberty Bowl Sportsbook Preview

The NCAA's rushing leader takes UCF into the Liberty Bowl against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Kevin Smith led the Golden Knights to a seven-game winning streak and a 10-3 mark while the Mississippi State Bulldogs look to upset them.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Knights listed as 3-point favorites versus the Bulldogs, while the game's total is sitting at 55.

Central Florida forced three Tulsa turnovers last time out in a 44-25 win in the C-USA title game, covering the 8-point home spread. The 69 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 73.5.

Kyle Israel went 6-for-13 for 128 yards, while Kevin Smith had 39 carries for 294 yards and four touchdowns for the Knights.

Mississippi State scored 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter of a 17-14 win over Mississippi last time out, failing to cover the 6-point home spread. The 31 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 49.5.

Wesley Carroll went 13-for-28 for 130 yards, one touchdown and a pick, while Anthony Dixon had seven catches for 101 yards and a score for the Bulldogs.

Team records:
Central Florida: 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS
Mississippi State
: 7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS

Central Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

Mississippi State most recently:
When playing in December are 2-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Central Florida's last 7 games
Central Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games

What are the biggest sports service plays in the industry? MasterLockLine.com gives you only the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. You literally have the power of 620 sports services behind every selection

Connecticut-Wake Forest Car Care Bowl Pointspread Preview

When you think UConn and Wake Forest, you think basketball Final Four, not bowl game. But the Connecticut Huskies and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will both be gunning for a victory on December 29 when they meet at Bank of America Stadium in the Meineke Car Care Bowl.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Demon Deacons listed as 3-point favorites versus the Huskies, while the game's total is sitting at 48.

Connecticut was destroyed 66-21 by the West Virginia Mountaineers last time out, as 20-point underdogs. The combined 87 points sailed OVER the posted total of 51.

Donald Brown II had 129 yards rushing with one TD in a losing effort for the Huskies.

Wake Forest intercepted two passes and forced five turnovers last time out as they defeated the Vanderbilt Commodores 31-17. Wake Forest covered the slight 1-point spread, while the game's 48 points made it OVER the posted total of 46.

Josh Adams led the way with 24 carries for 102 yards and two touchdowns in the win.

Team records:
Connecticut: 9-3 SU, 8-3 ATS
Wake Forest
: 8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS

Connecticut most recently:
When playing in December are 1-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Wake Forest most recently:
When playing in December are 2-0-1
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Connecticut is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Connecticut is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games
Wake Forest is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Wake Forest is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 9 games

All professional handicappers are proud to show off the amount of research that goes into a pick. If a handicapper gives you no rationale, rest assured you just paid for a coin flip. Get accurate analysis for every pick at GodsTips.com

Patriots-NY Giants Betting Preview

Tom Brady needs two TD throws to pass Peyton Manning and Randy Moss needs two scoring catches to pass Jerry Rice. But most importantly, they need a win in the Meadowlands over the erratic Giants to clinch a 16-0 regular season. Seven points in that game will also break the Vikings single-season scoring mark of 556.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 14-point favorites versus the Giants, while the game's total is sitting at 47.

The Patriots defeated Miami 28-7 as a 22-point favorite in Week 16. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).

Tom Brady passed for 215 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions for New England, while Laurence Maroney rushed for 156 yards on 14 carries with a touchdown.

The Giants defeated Buffalo 38-21 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 16. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (32).

Brandon Jacobs rushed for 145 yards with two touchdowns and the New York Giants' defense returned two interceptions for touchdowns in the win.

Current streak:
New England has won 15 straight games.

Team records:
New England: 15-0 SU, 10-5 ATS
New York: 10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS

New England most recently:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing outside the division are 9-1

New York most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing New England
NY Giants are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games
NY Giants are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games

Check out timeless articles on sports gaming strategy at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free Premium Sports Picks: Gonzaga over Tennessee and Evansville over Indiana State

We present free winning sports picks, premium picks at that, from two of the world's best handicappers, courtesy of OffshoreInsiders.com   

The first if from GodsTips, who says go with Gonzaga laying the one, on a not-so-neutral court in Washington State. The rationale:

The Zags are playing well defensively and can slow down the more up-tempo Vols who are traveling a long, long way. While it's technically on a neutral court, it's in the state of Washington. The Vols are off some big wins and Gonzaga off  a tough loss, but with each team working key players into the lineup because of eligibility and injury returns, we look for each team to return to their mean. Both are good, but the Zags are playing essentially a home game.

The second free premium sports pick is from Stevie Vincent, forensic handicapping pioneer. He says to go with the Purple Aces of Evansville against Indiana State. The reasons follow.

Forensic ATS information on this game: Evansville 9-0 the last two years opponent averages 64 or fewer points per game, 11-1 off home win, 9-0 if won 2 of their last 3 games.

The records he quotes are against the spread.

What Gamblers Must Know on Oregon State-Maryland

Maryland and Oregon State go at it in the Emerald Bowl. Maryland snuck into the postseason with a 6-6 straight up and 4-7 against the spread record. Oregon State is 8-4 straight up and 7-4 to the number. However, few teams enter the postseason hotter than the Beavers. They finished the regular season on a 6-1 spread and outright run, their only loss being to USC on the road.

However, the Terrapins will likely benefit from the time off as injuries and a string of heart-breaking losses derailed hopes of a better season. Under head man Ralph Friedgen, Maryland has excelled in bowls, outscoring their last three postseason foes 96-17. Keep in mind that his team is traveling across country to play a team from the west coast.

The bowl previews told us Oregon State has slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in all the yards per rush/pass/play categories. OSU has a 20.3 yards per game upper hand on offense. However the Terps get a slight .2 yards per play edge. Maryland gets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes.

Oregon State allows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. Maryland though does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing yards per attempt, but Maryland allows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per reception. Oregon State allows 7.4 less percent of their opponent's passes to be completed. Maryland has a turnover ratio advantage of six.

Some betting records (all are against the spread): Maryland is 1-6 off straight up win, while OSU is 37-17 off a spread win. Totals players, note that the Terrapins have gone under seven straight following a win of 20 or more points.

GodsTips, the anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com is on an incredible bowl run of 8-1 the last nine. They have a pick from all three bowl games today: a Wise Guy and the first moneyline dog of the postseason Click now to purchase

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