Saturday, December 29, 2007

Giants-Patriots Betting Perspective

The NY Giants and the New England Patriots begin the final week of the NFL regular season. Every other publication and website can parrot what you already know about the historic ramifications. We will take a look at it from a betting standpoint.

The Patriots-Giants betting line sees New England currently as a 13 point favorite with an over/under of 46.

Is New England a dichotomous spread team? This is a betting theory perfected by NFL handicapping expert Mike Godsey of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com.

Godsey explains, "We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles around the Net, basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued."

Perhaps you heard, New England is 15-0 straight up and in fact have won 18 consecutive regular season games going back to last year. However, they have failed in 4-of-5 in the back pocket.

The oddsmakers have also caught up to their record shattering offense as New England has gone under three straight.   

Professional gambler Cy McCormick of the online betting syndicate MasterLockLine.com believes the historic simulcast (we are confident you know the details about that too) does have handicapping ramifications.

"Surely this will be the most watched regular season broadcast ever. (Patriots coach) Bill Belichick is well aware of that. He's been 'making statements' all year and with a captive audience, he has all the incentive in the world to run up the score again."

Oh, there is another team playing in this game (though perhaps you haven't heard that). The Giants have actually been much better on the road. The road team is a stunning 11-4 straight up and 10-5 against the spread in their contests.

In fact, the road team has won seven straight contests involving Big Blue.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, a well-respected website for free and premium handicapping information.  

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