This is Part-5 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy's GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Jan. 1.
Wisconsin-Tennessee
The offensive stats are close. Tennessee gets 2.0 more first downs per game on 25.1 more total yards. However, Wisconsin has the most modest of edges, getting .1 more yards per play. Yet the Vols get 62.6 more passing yards per game. Talk about conflicting stats, the Badgers get 1.1 more passing yards per attempt and 2.7 more passing yards per reception.
The numbers give Wisconsin the check marks on defense. They allow 5.3 fewer first downs per game on 83.9 less yards. The Volunteers permit .2 fewer rushing yards per attempt. Every other comparison gives a small edge to the Badgers. But Tennessee has a turnover ratio of nine better than Wisky.
Arkansas-Missouri
While Missouri gets 6.1 more first downs per game on 35.4 more yards, Arkansas has the upper hand in the most important category (according to sports betting expert Joe Duffy), getting .3 more yards per play. But it's a battle of differing styles as much as any bowl game. Arkansas picks up 131.7 more rushing yards per game; Mizzou 167.1 more passing yards per game. The Razorbacks get a significantly more 1.8 more rushing yards per attempt but Missouri .8 more passing yards per attempt. The Razorbacks have a more efficient passing game, accumulating .9 more passing yards per reception, yet the Tigers complete 11.9 more percent of their pass attempts.
It's see-saw on defense as well. Missouri allows 29.1 less rushing yards per game, but Arkanas 50.3 fewer passing yards per game. The two most significant differences on defense are the Tigers permitting 1.8 less passing yards per reception, but the Razorbacks with a humungous passing percentage against superiority of 16.6.
Michigan-Florida
Florida has the huge upper hand on offense getting 4.7 more first downs per game, 110.8 yards per game, 1.8 more yards per play including 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Gators also complete 13.1 more percent of their passes.
On defense, it's the Wolverines who are superior. They allow 4.7 less first downs per game on .5 fewer yards per play. However, Florida allows 27.4 fewer rushing yards per game on .6 less rushing yards per attempt. Michigan's advantage is 98.2 fewer passing yards per game on 1.2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.6 less passing yards per reception. Michigan has a turnover ratio upper hand of seven.
Texas Tech-Virginia
High powered Tech gets 6.1 more first downs per game, 210.8 total yards per game on 2.4 more yards per play. However, the Cavs have the advantage in rushing yards per game by 61.8. The Red Raiders accumulate 2.1 more passing yards per attempt. They also have a commanding superiority in completion percentage by 13.8.
It's pretty close on defense. The Cavs allow 62.7 less rushing yards per game, and 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt. But the Red Raiders permit 14.2 fewer passing yards per game. They have minimal edges as well in passing yards per attempt, passing yards per reception and passing percentage against. Virginia has the upper hand in turnover ratio by nine.
Illinois-USC
Contrary to what many may believe, Illinois actually averages a slight 4.9 more total yards per game on offense led by a superiority of 80.3 yards rushing. They also get 1.0 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 more passing yards per reception. The Trojans though complete 5.8 more percent of their passes.
USC allows 3.3 fewer first downs per game on 96.6 fewer total yards per game and 1.1 less yards per play. It's a clean sweep of superiority on defense for Southern Cal giving up 1.3 less passing yards per attempt, 1.4 less passing yards per reception, and a completion percentage against of 4.8 less.
Hawaii-Georgia
Hawaii gets 7.3 more first downs per game on 143.6 more yards offensively. However, the Bulldogs run the ball much better getting 97.6 more yards per game on .8 more rushing yards per attempt. The Rainbow Warriors have a completion percentage of 16.8 better than the Dawgs.
The defensive comparison shows the teams closer than many may think. UGA allows 24.7 fewer yards per game, but Hawaii actually concedes .2 fewer yards per play. Hawaii allows .6 fewer passing yards per attempt on .7 less passing yards per reception. Turnover ratio comparison goes to the Bulldogs by five.
OffshoreInsiders.com is your one-stop shop for bowl betting. We have the latest live odds, plus CFB First Half Lines, CFB Halftime Lines, CFB Matchups from SportsDataBases or as an alternative CFB Matchups from StatFox, CFB Trend Sheet with ATS info, CFB Game Reports, CFB Game Previews from an online betting perspective.
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