Friday, December 28, 2007

Central Florida-Mississippi State Liberty Bowl Sportsbook Preview

The NCAA's rushing leader takes UCF into the Liberty Bowl against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Kevin Smith led the Golden Knights to a seven-game winning streak and a 10-3 mark while the Mississippi State Bulldogs look to upset them.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Knights listed as 3-point favorites versus the Bulldogs, while the game's total is sitting at 55.

Central Florida forced three Tulsa turnovers last time out in a 44-25 win in the C-USA title game, covering the 8-point home spread. The 69 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 73.5.

Kyle Israel went 6-for-13 for 128 yards, while Kevin Smith had 39 carries for 294 yards and four touchdowns for the Knights.

Mississippi State scored 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter of a 17-14 win over Mississippi last time out, failing to cover the 6-point home spread. The 31 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 49.5.

Wesley Carroll went 13-for-28 for 130 yards, one touchdown and a pick, while Anthony Dixon had seven catches for 101 yards and a score for the Bulldogs.

Team records:
Central Florida: 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS
Mississippi State
: 7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS

Central Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

Mississippi State most recently:
When playing in December are 2-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Central Florida's last 7 games
Central Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games

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