Saturday, January 05, 2008

Buccaneers-Giants Pointspread Pointers

Neither the Giants nor the Buccaneers looked much like Super Bowl contenders during the season, but here they are in the NFC Wild Card. New York put a scare into New England, while Tampa rested in a Week 17 loss, their third in four weeks. The Giants bring the NFL's best road rushing game to Tampa. Of note, the past five meetings have all played UNDER the total.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Buccaneers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Giants, while the game's total is sitting at 40.
The Giants failed to hold the lead and were defeated 38-35 by the Patriots in their regular-season finale. The Giants were 13.5-point underdogs in the contest, while the 73 points sailed OVER the posted total of 47.
Eli Manning tossed four TD passes, and completed 22-of-32 passes for 251 yards in the loss.
The Buccaneers lost to Carolina 31-23 as a 3-point underdog in Week 17. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (36).
Luke McCown completed 21-of-28 passes for 236 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Tampa Bay and Jerramy Stevens caught four passes for 30 yards and a touchdown.
Team records:
New York: 10-6 SU, 10-6
ATS
Tampa Bay
: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS
New York most recently:
When playing in January are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
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