Monday, July 28, 2008

Cubs-Brewers Pointspread Pointers

The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Miller Park.

The Cubs will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Ted Lilly in this game. Lilly has a 10-6 record and a 4.49 ERA this season.

Lilly's opponent in this one will be CC Sabathia. The Brewers lefthander has a 3.30 ERA to go along with a 10-8 record this season.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 179-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Cubs defeated Florida 9-6 as a +150 underdog on Sunday. The 15 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (10.5).

Alfonso Soriano was 3-5 with a home run and three RBI for Chicago, while Mike Fontenot also had three RBI in the win.

The Brewers lost to Houston 11-6 as a -150 favorite on Sunday. The 17 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (10.5).

Ryan Braun hit a two-run home run for the Brewers and Jeff Suppan was tagged with the loss after allowing eight runs on 11 hits over six innings.

Team records:
Chicago: 61-44 SU
Milwaukee: 60-45 SU

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Milwaukee are 3-7
After playing Florida are 2-8
After a win are 4-6

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Chi Cubs are 5-5
After playing Houston are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games

Next up:
Milwaukee home to Chi Cubs, Tuesday, July 29

 

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