Sunday, July 20, 2008

Phillies-Marlins Who Will Cover?

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Florida Marlins meet at Dolphin Stadium.

Ace lefthander Cole Hamels will take the mound for the Phillies to start this game. Hamels is 9-6 this season with a 3.15 ERA.

The Marlins will counter Hamels with Josh Johnson. Righthander Johnson has a 5.40 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 157-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

John Baker drove in four runs in leading the Marlins to a 9-5 win over the Phillies on Saturday, as a -105 pick'em. The game's 14 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (9).

Baker hit a three-run homer, and finished 2-for-3 at the plate. Jorge Cantu had four hits and two RBIs for the Marlins. Scott Olsen tossed five innings for the win, allowing four runs off eight hits.

Pat Burrell hit two home runs for the Phillies, and finished 3-for-5 at the plate. Kyle Kendrick was rocked for seven runs off 10 hits over 4 1-3 innings in the loss.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 53-45 SU
Florida: 51-46 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing NY Mets are 5-5
After playing Florida are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5

Florida most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Atlanta are 4-6
After playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Florida
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Next up:
Philadelphia at NY Mets, Tuesday, July 22
Florida home to Atlanta, Monday, July 21

 

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