Monday, July 28, 2008

Mets-Marlins Pointers

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the New York Mets and the Florida Marlins meet at Dolphin Stadium.

The Mets will trot John Maine out to the mound in this one. Righthander Maine has a 9-7 record and a 4.20 ERA this season.

Starting this game for the Marlins will be Ricky Nolasco. The righthander has a 4.17 ERA to go along with a 10-6 record this season.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 121-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Mets defeated the Cardinals 9-1 as a -180 favorite on Sunday. The 10 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7.5).

Johan Santana pitched a complete-game six-hitter, allowing only one run, while Fernando Tatis was 3-4 with a home run and two RBI in the win.

The Marlins lost to the Cubs 9-6 as a -160 favorite on Sunday. The 15 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (10.5).

Mike Jacobs was 3-5 with two home runs and five RBI for Florida, while Dan Uggla homered and scored three runs.

Team records:
New York: 57-48 SU
Florida: 55-50 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Florida are 5-5
After playing St. Louis are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

Florida most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing NY Mets are 5-5
After playing Chi Cubs are 8-2
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
NY Mets are 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Florida
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Florida's last 15 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

Next up:
Florida home to NY Mets, Tuesday, July 29

 

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